The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Mises |
Texto Completo: | https://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/1480 |
Resumo: | This article aims to ascertain the impact that cyclical and monetary macroeconomic variables have on the capital market, as well as, in addition to this, to verify if this repercussion effect empirically confirms some of the postulates of the Austrian theory of business cycles (ABCT), such as the significance of currency in business cycles and its relative impact on production stages. Using data from the year 2009 to 2019, the research was divided into two analyses, the first consisting of econometric tools (through the robust least squares method) and the second based on statistical tools. The results show that the monetary repercussion has a lot of potential to generate cycles in the stock markets, in addition, they reveal that the stages furthest from final consumers are the ones that most suffer impacts from a possible monetary policy. |
id |
IMB-1_89f9658d22be36aa4cab5a151ccd65b7 |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:ojs.emnuvens.com.br:article/1480 |
network_acronym_str |
IMB-1 |
network_name_str |
Mises |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theoryEl mercado de capitales y los ciclos económicos: una aproximación empírica a la teoría austriacaO mercado de capitais e os ciclos econômicos: uma abordagem empírica da teoria austríaca.Mercado acionáriociclos econômicosexpansão monetáriateoria austríacafinançasStock marketbusiness cyclesmonetary expansionBusiness Cycle TheoryMercado de valoresCiclos económicosExpansión monetariaTeoría austriacaFinanzasThis article aims to ascertain the impact that cyclical and monetary macroeconomic variables have on the capital market, as well as, in addition to this, to verify if this repercussion effect empirically confirms some of the postulates of the Austrian theory of business cycles (ABCT), such as the significance of currency in business cycles and its relative impact on production stages. Using data from the year 2009 to 2019, the research was divided into two analyses, the first consisting of econometric tools (through the robust least squares method) and the second based on statistical tools. The results show that the monetary repercussion has a lot of potential to generate cycles in the stock markets, in addition, they reveal that the stages furthest from final consumers are the ones that most suffer impacts from a possible monetary policy.Este artículo tiene como objetivo investigar el impacto que tienen las variables macroeconómicas cíclicas y monetarias en el mercado de capitales, así como verificar si este efecto de repercusión confirma empíricamente algunos de los postulados de la teoría austriaca de los ciclos económicos (TACE), como la importancia del dinero en los ciclos económicos y su impacto relativo en las diferentes etapas de la producción. Utilizando datos de 2009 a 2019, la investigación se dividió en dos análisis, el primero que consta de herramientas econométricas (a través del método robusto de mínimos cuadrados) y el segundo basado en medidas estadísticas. Los resultados muestran que la repercusión monetaria tiene mucho potencial para generar ciclos en las bolsas de valores, además, revelan que las etapas más alejadas de los consumidores finales son las que más sufren impactos de una posible política monetaria.Este artigo tem o propósito de averiguar o impacto que as variáveis macroeconômicas cíclicas e monetárias têm sobre o mercado de capitais, bem como, verificar se esse efeito repercussão confirma, empiricamente, alguns dos postulados da teoria austríaca dos ciclos econômicos (TACE), tais como a significância da moeda nos ciclos econômicos e o impacto relativo dela nos diferentes estágios produtivos. Empregando dados a partir do ano de 2009 até 2019, a pesquisa foi dividida em duas análises, a primeira que foi constituída por ferramentas econométricas (através do método dos mínimos quadrados robustos) e a segunda que foi fundamentada por medidas estatísticas. Os resultados demonstram que a repercussão monetária possui bastante potencial para gerar ciclos nos mercados acionários, além disso, revelam que os estágios mais afastados dos consumidores finais são os que mais sofrem impactos de uma possível política monetária.Instituto Mises Brasil2023-05-05info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/148010.30800/mises.2023.v11.1480MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; Vol. 11 (2023): Yearly Continuous PublicationMISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; Vol. 11 (2023): Publicación Anual ContinuaMISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; v. 11 (2023): Publicação Contínua2594-91872318-0811reponame:Misesinstname:Instituto Mises Brasilinstacron:IMBporhttps://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/1480/747Copyright (c) 2023 MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economicshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessda Silva Oliveira, Glaucio IsraelPires de Sousa, Paulo Roberto S. Moreira, Tito Belchiordos Santos, Luciano Balbino 2023-05-05T12:49:23Zoai:ojs.emnuvens.com.br:article/1480Revistahttps://revistamises.org.br/misesjournalPRIhttps://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/oairevista@mises.org.br2594-91872318-0811opendoar:2023-05-05T12:49:23Mises - Instituto Mises Brasilfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory El mercado de capitales y los ciclos económicos: una aproximación empírica a la teoría austriaca O mercado de capitais e os ciclos econômicos: uma abordagem empírica da teoria austríaca. |
title |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
spellingShingle |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory da Silva Oliveira, Glaucio Israel Mercado acionário ciclos econômicos expansão monetária teoria austríaca finanças Stock market business cycles monetary expansion Business Cycle Theory Mercado de valores Ciclos económicos Expansión monetaria Teoría austriaca Finanzas |
title_short |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
title_full |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
title_fullStr |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
title_full_unstemmed |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
title_sort |
The capital market and economic cycles: an empirical approach to the austrian theory |
author |
da Silva Oliveira, Glaucio Israel |
author_facet |
da Silva Oliveira, Glaucio Israel Pires de Sousa, Paulo Roberto S. Moreira, Tito Belchior dos Santos, Luciano Balbino |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Pires de Sousa, Paulo Roberto S. Moreira, Tito Belchior dos Santos, Luciano Balbino |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
da Silva Oliveira, Glaucio Israel Pires de Sousa, Paulo Roberto S. Moreira, Tito Belchior dos Santos, Luciano Balbino |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Mercado acionário ciclos econômicos expansão monetária teoria austríaca finanças Stock market business cycles monetary expansion Business Cycle Theory Mercado de valores Ciclos económicos Expansión monetaria Teoría austriaca Finanzas |
topic |
Mercado acionário ciclos econômicos expansão monetária teoria austríaca finanças Stock market business cycles monetary expansion Business Cycle Theory Mercado de valores Ciclos económicos Expansión monetaria Teoría austriaca Finanzas |
description |
This article aims to ascertain the impact that cyclical and monetary macroeconomic variables have on the capital market, as well as, in addition to this, to verify if this repercussion effect empirically confirms some of the postulates of the Austrian theory of business cycles (ABCT), such as the significance of currency in business cycles and its relative impact on production stages. Using data from the year 2009 to 2019, the research was divided into two analyses, the first consisting of econometric tools (through the robust least squares method) and the second based on statistical tools. The results show that the monetary repercussion has a lot of potential to generate cycles in the stock markets, in addition, they reveal that the stages furthest from final consumers are the ones that most suffer impacts from a possible monetary policy. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-05-05 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/1480 10.30800/mises.2023.v11.1480 |
url |
https://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/1480 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.30800/mises.2023.v11.1480 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://revistamises.org.br/misesjournal/article/view/1480/747 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Mises Brasil |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Mises Brasil |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; Vol. 11 (2023): Yearly Continuous Publication MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; Vol. 11 (2023): Publicación Anual Continua MISES: Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy, Law and Economics; v. 11 (2023): Publicação Contínua 2594-9187 2318-0811 reponame:Mises instname:Instituto Mises Brasil instacron:IMB |
instname_str |
Instituto Mises Brasil |
instacron_str |
IMB |
institution |
IMB |
reponame_str |
Mises |
collection |
Mises |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Mises - Instituto Mises Brasil |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
revista@mises.org.br |
_version_ |
1798313179656224768 |