Desindustrialização ou pós-industrialização? análise da queda da participação da indústria no PIB brasileiro

• Autor(a) principal: Pedrossian Neto, Pedro
• Data de Publicação: 2012
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da PUC_SP
• Texto Completo: https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/9194
• topic: Desindustrialização; Pós-industrialização; Doença-holandesa; Deindustrialization; Post-industrialization; Dutch-disease; CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA

This work investigates the causes of the decline in participation of industry in GDP, attributing this phenomenon to a process of de-industrialization or post-industrialization. The research is based on the theoretical model developed by Rowthorn and Wells (1987) and Rowthorn and Ramaswamy (1999), with modifications introduced for analyzing Brazilian economy. The econometric models designed to test the hypotheses indicate that, although the factors related to deindustrialization - and, in particular, the under-utilization of production capacity - have contributed to the compression on the industrial GDP, among the explanatory sources of this fall prevails the endogenous growth factors, particularly the role of sector productivity differential in the deterioration of industry relative prices. Thus, the diagnostic of post-industrialization is strengthened