Efeito-China sobre os termos de trocas globais e a recente alta nos preços de commodities

• Autor(a) principal: Schmiedecke, Wendell Gomes
• Data de Publicação: 2008
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da PUC_SP
• Texto Completo: https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/9359
• topic: Preço dos commodities; Deterioração de termos de troca; Prebisch, Raul -- 1901-1986 -- Critica e interpretacao; Singer, Hans Wolfgang -- 1910-2006 -- Critica e interpretacao; Bolsa de mercadorias; China -- Politica economica; Relacoes de troca (Economia); Deterioration in the terms of trade; CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA

The objective of this work is to answer the following question: How we can explain the recent rise in the commodities prices, due to the entry of China in the international market and which are the tendencies for the next years? For this, the work initially will present the deterioration in terms of trade from Prebisch and Singer, with an evolution of this thought, as well as criticism of this thesys. Afterwards we will present the Chinese economy, as well his impact in the demand of raw-materials and food and in the production capacity of industrialized products, presenting impacts over the terms of trade in the worldwide scenario, after that, we will use the Enzo Grilli and Maw Cheng Yang series updated, to show the prices behavior of the main commodities, with a special focus in the high occurred in this prices in the period comprehended between the Chinese market overture to the worldwide economy until 2007, fact contrary to the Prebisch and Singer thesis. At least we will conclude the work answering the question object of this work