Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101710 |
Resumo: | Climate change can modify the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall across the globe, leading to changes in hazards posed by rainfall-induced landslides. In Brazil, an example of a location with a high occurrence of landslides and with few studies on the subject is the munic ipality of Cunha, located in the State of S˜ ao Paulo. In this way, the main aims of this study are twofold: 1) to identify and analyze areas susceptible to landslides and rainfall-induced landslide hazard in the municipality of Cunha; and 2) by using climate projections from the regional model Eta-HadGEM2-ES under RCP 4.5, to predict new extreme events and possible new landslides in this municipality, from 2024 to 2040. The susceptibility map has been prepared using selected physical-biotic environment elements whereas the hazard map has been produced using precip itation data. Using Eta-HadGEM2-ES climate projections under RCP 4.5, for precipitation events, results project the occurrence of 49 days with landslides for the period between 2024 and 2040. The outcomes of this study are considered of extreme relevance for the local community, public authorities, and decision-makers, to raise awareness regarding future urban planning strategies to prevent and mitigate the effects of catastrophes arising from natural hazard-induced disasters. |
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Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040Climate changeDisaster risk reductionEta-HadGEM2-ES model under RCP 4.5Landslide HazardClimate change can modify the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall across the globe, leading to changes in hazards posed by rainfall-induced landslides. In Brazil, an example of a location with a high occurrence of landslides and with few studies on the subject is the munic ipality of Cunha, located in the State of S˜ ao Paulo. In this way, the main aims of this study are twofold: 1) to identify and analyze areas susceptible to landslides and rainfall-induced landslide hazard in the municipality of Cunha; and 2) by using climate projections from the regional model Eta-HadGEM2-ES under RCP 4.5, to predict new extreme events and possible new landslides in this municipality, from 2024 to 2040. The susceptibility map has been prepared using selected physical-biotic environment elements whereas the hazard map has been produced using precip itation data. Using Eta-HadGEM2-ES climate projections under RCP 4.5, for precipitation events, results project the occurrence of 49 days with landslides for the period between 2024 and 2040. The outcomes of this study are considered of extreme relevance for the local community, public authorities, and decision-makers, to raise awareness regarding future urban planning strategies to prevent and mitigate the effects of catastrophes arising from natural hazard-induced disasters.CNPq - process 123553/2021-0 e FCT - NHRC.IPT - Project UIDB/04033/2020Urban Climate - Elsevier2024-01-18T10:47:50Z2024-01-182023-10-06T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129http://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101710engSouza, Irving;Teixeira, Débora; Rosa, Marcelo; Silva, Tadeu; Ometto, Jean Pierre; Bargos, Danúbia; Andrade, Cristina; Sampaio, Elsa; Soares, Paulo; Bazzan, Thiago. Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040. Urban Climate 52 (2023) 101710https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095523003048irvingrods@gmail.comdeboralsteixeira@gmail.commarcelo.barbio@yahoo.com.brluiz.tadeu@inpe.brjean.ometto@inpe.brdanubiacbargos@usp.brc.andrade@ipt.ptems@uevora.ptpaulo.valladares27@gmail.comthiagobaz@yahoo.com.br404Souza, Irving RodriguesDébora Luisa, Silva TeixeiraMarcelo, Barbio RosaLuiz, Tadeu da SilvaJean Pierre Henry, Balbaud OmettoDanúbia, Caporusso BargosCristina, AndradeElsa Paula, Figueira Ferreira Morgado de SampaioPaulo, Valladares SoaresThiago, Bazzaninfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-23T01:47:04Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/36129Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:56:34.921305Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
title |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
spellingShingle |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 Souza, Irving Rodrigues Climate change Disaster risk reduction Eta-HadGEM2-ES model under RCP 4.5 Landslide Hazard |
title_short |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
title_full |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
title_fullStr |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
title_sort |
Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040 |
author |
Souza, Irving Rodrigues |
author_facet |
Souza, Irving Rodrigues Débora Luisa, Silva Teixeira Marcelo, Barbio Rosa Luiz, Tadeu da Silva Jean Pierre Henry, Balbaud Ometto Danúbia, Caporusso Bargos Cristina, Andrade Elsa Paula, Figueira Ferreira Morgado de Sampaio Paulo, Valladares Soares Thiago, Bazzan |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Débora Luisa, Silva Teixeira Marcelo, Barbio Rosa Luiz, Tadeu da Silva Jean Pierre Henry, Balbaud Ometto Danúbia, Caporusso Bargos Cristina, Andrade Elsa Paula, Figueira Ferreira Morgado de Sampaio Paulo, Valladares Soares Thiago, Bazzan |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Souza, Irving Rodrigues Débora Luisa, Silva Teixeira Marcelo, Barbio Rosa Luiz, Tadeu da Silva Jean Pierre Henry, Balbaud Ometto Danúbia, Caporusso Bargos Cristina, Andrade Elsa Paula, Figueira Ferreira Morgado de Sampaio Paulo, Valladares Soares Thiago, Bazzan |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate change Disaster risk reduction Eta-HadGEM2-ES model under RCP 4.5 Landslide Hazard |
topic |
Climate change Disaster risk reduction Eta-HadGEM2-ES model under RCP 4.5 Landslide Hazard |
description |
Climate change can modify the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall across the globe, leading to changes in hazards posed by rainfall-induced landslides. In Brazil, an example of a location with a high occurrence of landslides and with few studies on the subject is the munic ipality of Cunha, located in the State of S˜ ao Paulo. In this way, the main aims of this study are twofold: 1) to identify and analyze areas susceptible to landslides and rainfall-induced landslide hazard in the municipality of Cunha; and 2) by using climate projections from the regional model Eta-HadGEM2-ES under RCP 4.5, to predict new extreme events and possible new landslides in this municipality, from 2024 to 2040. The susceptibility map has been prepared using selected physical-biotic environment elements whereas the hazard map has been produced using precip itation data. Using Eta-HadGEM2-ES climate projections under RCP 4.5, for precipitation events, results project the occurrence of 49 days with landslides for the period between 2024 and 2040. The outcomes of this study are considered of extreme relevance for the local community, public authorities, and decision-makers, to raise awareness regarding future urban planning strategies to prevent and mitigate the effects of catastrophes arising from natural hazard-induced disasters. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-10-06T00:00:00Z 2024-01-18T10:47:50Z 2024-01-18 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101710 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/36129 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101710 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Souza, Irving;Teixeira, Débora; Rosa, Marcelo; Silva, Tadeu; Ometto, Jean Pierre; Bargos, Danúbia; Andrade, Cristina; Sampaio, Elsa; Soares, Paulo; Bazzan, Thiago. Investigation of landslide hazard areas in the municipality of Cunha (Brazil) and climate projections from 2024 to 2040. Urban Climate 52 (2023) 101710 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095523003048 irvingrods@gmail.com deboralsteixeira@gmail.com marcelo.barbio@yahoo.com.br luiz.tadeu@inpe.br jean.ometto@inpe.br danubiacbargos@usp.br c.andrade@ipt.pt ems@uevora.pt paulo.valladares27@gmail.com thiagobaz@yahoo.com.br 404 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Urban Climate - Elsevier |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Urban Climate - Elsevier |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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