Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Durr, Josefine
Data de Publicação: 2022
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883
Resumo: The pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented.
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spelling Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical studyConvertible bondsPricingFrench marketSimulationLeast-squares methodDomínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e GestãoThe pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented.A valorização de obrigações convertíveis é um campo muito pouco estudado da valorização de ativos devido à complexidade dos instrumentos e ao seu carácter de nicho. O objetivo desta dissertação é calcular os preços implícitos de obrigações convertíveis e compará-los com o seu valor de mercado a fim de determinar se o seu mercado está realmente subvalorizado, um fenómeno frequentemente descrito por outros autores. Como modelo de preços, apliquei uma simulação Monte-Carlo para os preços das ações e determinei a estratégia ótima de exercício através do método de Least-Squares. Com esta metodologia, fixei o preço de 34 obrigações convertíveis no mercado francês e obtive uma subvalorização média de 4,17%, que reduz para 2,72% ao excluir os outliers. Os resultados estão em linha com estudos anteriores realizados no mercado francês, mas contrastam com outros resultados empíricos nos Estados Unidos; no entanto, devido à diferença substancial nos mercados de obrigações convertíveis em todo o mundo, uma comparação direta não é apropriada. Embora a conclusão apoie a alegação geral de subvalorização de obrigações convertíveis e encoraje os investidores a adotar estratégias de cobertura, a falta de investigação substancial no mercado europeu requer mais estudos empíricos e melhorias do trabalho apresentado.Nagler, FlorianVeritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica PortuguesaDurr, Josefine2023-04-19T11:12:56Z2022-10-212022-052022-10-21T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883TID:203132637enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-12T17:46:27Zoai:repositorio.ucp.pt:10400.14/40883Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:33:34.139268Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
title Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
spellingShingle Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
Durr, Josefine
Convertible bonds
Pricing
French market
Simulation
Least-squares method
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
title_short Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
title_full Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
title_fullStr Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
title_full_unstemmed Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
title_sort Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
author Durr, Josefine
author_facet Durr, Josefine
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Nagler, Florian
Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Durr, Josefine
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Convertible bonds
Pricing
French market
Simulation
Least-squares method
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
topic Convertible bonds
Pricing
French market
Simulation
Least-squares method
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
description The pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-10-21
2022-05
2022-10-21T00:00:00Z
2023-04-19T11:12:56Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
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dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883
TID:203132637
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dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
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instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
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