Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883 |
Resumo: | The pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented. |
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Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical studyConvertible bondsPricingFrench marketSimulationLeast-squares methodDomínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e GestãoThe pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented.A valorização de obrigações convertíveis é um campo muito pouco estudado da valorização de ativos devido à complexidade dos instrumentos e ao seu carácter de nicho. O objetivo desta dissertação é calcular os preços implícitos de obrigações convertíveis e compará-los com o seu valor de mercado a fim de determinar se o seu mercado está realmente subvalorizado, um fenómeno frequentemente descrito por outros autores. Como modelo de preços, apliquei uma simulação Monte-Carlo para os preços das ações e determinei a estratégia ótima de exercício através do método de Least-Squares. Com esta metodologia, fixei o preço de 34 obrigações convertíveis no mercado francês e obtive uma subvalorização média de 4,17%, que reduz para 2,72% ao excluir os outliers. Os resultados estão em linha com estudos anteriores realizados no mercado francês, mas contrastam com outros resultados empíricos nos Estados Unidos; no entanto, devido à diferença substancial nos mercados de obrigações convertíveis em todo o mundo, uma comparação direta não é apropriada. Embora a conclusão apoie a alegação geral de subvalorização de obrigações convertíveis e encoraje os investidores a adotar estratégias de cobertura, a falta de investigação substancial no mercado europeu requer mais estudos empíricos e melhorias do trabalho apresentado.Nagler, FlorianVeritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica PortuguesaDurr, Josefine2023-04-19T11:12:56Z2022-10-212022-052022-10-21T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883TID:203132637enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-12T17:46:27Zoai:repositorio.ucp.pt:10400.14/40883Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:33:34.139268Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
title |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
spellingShingle |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study Durr, Josefine Convertible bonds Pricing French market Simulation Least-squares method Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão |
title_short |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
title_full |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
title_fullStr |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
title_sort |
Convertible bond underpricing in the french market : an empirical study |
author |
Durr, Josefine |
author_facet |
Durr, Josefine |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Nagler, Florian Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Durr, Josefine |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Convertible bonds Pricing French market Simulation Least-squares method Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão |
topic |
Convertible bonds Pricing French market Simulation Least-squares method Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão |
description |
The pricing of convertible bonds is a fairly unstudied field of asset pricing due to the instruments’ complex nature and its niche character. The aim of this dissertation is to compute model implied prices for convertible bonds and compare it to their market value in order to determine whether the market truly underprices convertible bonds, a financial theory that has been discussed broadly in the academic community. As a pricing model I applied a Monte Carlo simulation for stock prices and determined the optimal exercise strategy through the Least-Squares method. With this methodology I priced 34 convertible bonds in the French market and obtained an average underpricing of 4.17%, which reduces to 2.72% when excluding outliers. The results align with previous conducted studies of the French market but are in contrast with some other empirical results in the United States, but due to the substantial difference in convertible bond markets worldwide a direct comparison is not appropriate. Although the finding supports the general claim of convertible bond underpricing and encourages investors to engage in hedging strategies, the lack of substantial research in the European market calls for further empirical studies and improvements of the work presented. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-10-21 2022-05 2022-10-21T00:00:00Z 2023-04-19T11:12:56Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883 TID:203132637 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/40883 |
identifier_str_mv |
TID:203132637 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799132062316232704 |