Equity Valuation Nike Inc.

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Darmstadt, Paul Rudolf
Data de Publicação: 2023
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/42489
Resumo: This dissertation provides a comprehensive equity valuation analysis of Nike Inc., the renowned leader in the sportswear industry. The valuation was conducted using the FCFF and APV approach, which were deemed most suitable for determining the intrinsic value of Nike’s equity. Moreover, a comparable company and precedent transaction analysis was performed, incorporating multiples such as P/E, EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales, among others. Based on the valuation methods employed, the target price for Nike’s shares as of May 31st, 2023, was determined to be $118.1, using the FCFF, and $121.0 using the APV approach. Moreover, the twelve-month price target is calculated at $130.4, representing the average of the FCFF and APV methodologies for FY24. This target price implies an upside potential of 8.8% compared to the closing price of $119.9 on May 15th , 2023, and a hold recommendation. The analysis considered factors such as continuous revenue growth and anticipated the company’s ability for margin expansions in future periods. Furthermore, the results were compared with an equity report of Stifel Corp. To validate the findings, a sensitivity analysis was conducted, widening the range of the price target and indicating a hold recommendation in the majority of cases. Given the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties, an upside and downside scenario was presented to compare them with the results of the analysis.
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spelling Equity Valuation Nike Inc.Equity valuationNikeDCFAPVIntrinsic valueRelative valuationSportswearSports apparel and footwearAvaliação de equidadeValor intrínsecoAvaliação relativaVestuário desportivoArtigos desportivos e calçados desportivosDomínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e GestãoThis dissertation provides a comprehensive equity valuation analysis of Nike Inc., the renowned leader in the sportswear industry. The valuation was conducted using the FCFF and APV approach, which were deemed most suitable for determining the intrinsic value of Nike’s equity. Moreover, a comparable company and precedent transaction analysis was performed, incorporating multiples such as P/E, EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales, among others. Based on the valuation methods employed, the target price for Nike’s shares as of May 31st, 2023, was determined to be $118.1, using the FCFF, and $121.0 using the APV approach. Moreover, the twelve-month price target is calculated at $130.4, representing the average of the FCFF and APV methodologies for FY24. This target price implies an upside potential of 8.8% compared to the closing price of $119.9 on May 15th , 2023, and a hold recommendation. The analysis considered factors such as continuous revenue growth and anticipated the company’s ability for margin expansions in future periods. Furthermore, the results were compared with an equity report of Stifel Corp. To validate the findings, a sensitivity analysis was conducted, widening the range of the price target and indicating a hold recommendation in the majority of cases. Given the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties, an upside and downside scenario was presented to compare them with the results of the analysis.Esta dissertação fornece uma análise abrangente de avaliação de patrimônio da Nike Inc., renomada líder na indústria de artigos esportivos. A avaliação foi conduzida utilizando a abordagem FCFF e APV, consideradas as mais adequadas para determinar o valor intrínseco do patrimônio da Nike. Além disso, uma análise comparativa de empresas semelhantes e transações anteriores foi realizada, incorporando múltiplos como P/E, EV/EBITDA e EV/Sales, entre outros. Com base nos métodos de avaliação utilizados, o preço-alvo das ações da Nike em 31 de maio de 2023 foi determinado em $118,1 usando o FCFF e $121,0 usando a abordagem APV. Além disso, o preço-alvo para os próximos doze meses é calculado em $130,4, representando a média das metodologias FCFF e APV para o exercício fiscal de 2024. Esse preço-alvo implica um potencial de valorização de 8,8% em relação ao preço de fechamento de $119,9 em 15 de maio de 2023, e recomenda-se manter as ações. A análise considerou fatores como crescimento contínuo da receita e a expectativa de expansão da margem da empresa em períodos futuros. Além disso, os resultados foram comparados com um relatório de patrimônio da Stifel Corp. Para validar as descobertas, foi realizada uma análise de sensibilidade, ampliando a faixa do preço-alvo e indicando a recomendação de manter a maioria dos casos. Dadas as incertezas macroeconômicas prevalecentes, foram apresentados cenários otimista e pessimista para compará-los com os resultados da análise.Martins, José Carlos TudelaVeritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica PortuguesaDarmstadt, Paul Rudolf2023-06-292023-052024-05-29T00:00:00Z2023-06-29T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/42489TID:203328965enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-09-26T01:44:03Zoai:repositorio.ucp.pt:10400.14/42489Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T20:30:56.550342Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
title Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
spellingShingle Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
Darmstadt, Paul Rudolf
Equity valuation
Nike
DCF
APV
Intrinsic value
Relative valuation
Sportswear
Sports apparel and footwear
Avaliação de equidade
Valor intrínseco
Avaliação relativa
Vestuário desportivo
Artigos desportivos e calçados desportivos
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
title_short Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
title_full Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
title_fullStr Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
title_full_unstemmed Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
title_sort Equity Valuation Nike Inc.
author Darmstadt, Paul Rudolf
author_facet Darmstadt, Paul Rudolf
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Martins, José Carlos Tudela
Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Darmstadt, Paul Rudolf
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Equity valuation
Nike
DCF
APV
Intrinsic value
Relative valuation
Sportswear
Sports apparel and footwear
Avaliação de equidade
Valor intrínseco
Avaliação relativa
Vestuário desportivo
Artigos desportivos e calçados desportivos
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
topic Equity valuation
Nike
DCF
APV
Intrinsic value
Relative valuation
Sportswear
Sports apparel and footwear
Avaliação de equidade
Valor intrínseco
Avaliação relativa
Vestuário desportivo
Artigos desportivos e calçados desportivos
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
description This dissertation provides a comprehensive equity valuation analysis of Nike Inc., the renowned leader in the sportswear industry. The valuation was conducted using the FCFF and APV approach, which were deemed most suitable for determining the intrinsic value of Nike’s equity. Moreover, a comparable company and precedent transaction analysis was performed, incorporating multiples such as P/E, EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales, among others. Based on the valuation methods employed, the target price for Nike’s shares as of May 31st, 2023, was determined to be $118.1, using the FCFF, and $121.0 using the APV approach. Moreover, the twelve-month price target is calculated at $130.4, representing the average of the FCFF and APV methodologies for FY24. This target price implies an upside potential of 8.8% compared to the closing price of $119.9 on May 15th , 2023, and a hold recommendation. The analysis considered factors such as continuous revenue growth and anticipated the company’s ability for margin expansions in future periods. Furthermore, the results were compared with an equity report of Stifel Corp. To validate the findings, a sensitivity analysis was conducted, widening the range of the price target and indicating a hold recommendation in the majority of cases. Given the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties, an upside and downside scenario was presented to compare them with the results of the analysis.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-06-29
2023-05
2023-06-29T00:00:00Z
2024-05-29T00:00:00Z
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