Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2011 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/1822/14566 |
Resumo: | In this paper, we show, from the consumer's budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth and labour income should predict both stock returns and government bond yields. We use data for several OECD countries and find that when agents expect future stock returns to be higher, they will temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding government bond yields, when bonds are seen as a component of asset wealth, then investors react in the same way. If, however, the increase in the yields is perceived as signalling a future rise in taxes, then they will temporarily reduce their consumption. |
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Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidenceSocial SciencesIn this paper, we show, from the consumer's budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth and labour income should predict both stock returns and government bond yields. We use data for several OECD countries and find that when agents expect future stock returns to be higher, they will temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding government bond yields, when bonds are seen as a component of asset wealth, then investors react in the same way. If, however, the increase in the yields is perceived as signalling a future rise in taxes, then they will temporarily reduce their consumption.COMPETE; QREN; UE Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT)Blackwell Publishing LtdUniversidade do MinhoAfonso, AntónioSousa, Ricardo M.2011-122011-12-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/1822/14566eng1467-995710.1111/j.1467-9957.2011.02247.xhttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2011.02247.x/abstractinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-21T12:22:36Zoai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/14566Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T19:16:07.406060Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
title |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
spellingShingle |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence Afonso, António Social Sciences |
title_short |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
title_full |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
title_fullStr |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
title_full_unstemmed |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
title_sort |
Consumption, wealth, stock and government bond returns : international evidence |
author |
Afonso, António |
author_facet |
Afonso, António Sousa, Ricardo M. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Sousa, Ricardo M. |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade do Minho |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Afonso, António Sousa, Ricardo M. |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Social Sciences |
topic |
Social Sciences |
description |
In this paper, we show, from the consumer's budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth and labour income should predict both stock returns and government bond yields. We use data for several OECD countries and find that when agents expect future stock returns to be higher, they will temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding government bond yields, when bonds are seen as a component of asset wealth, then investors react in the same way. If, however, the increase in the yields is perceived as signalling a future rise in taxes, then they will temporarily reduce their consumption. |
publishDate |
2011 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2011-12 2011-12-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/1822/14566 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1822/14566 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
1467-9957 10.1111/j.1467-9957.2011.02247.x http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2011.02247.x/abstract |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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1799132609868988416 |