Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2005 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-005-1039-0 |
Resumo: | The combined mark-recapture and line transect sampling methodology proposed by Alpizar- Jara and Pollock [Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 3(4), 311–327, 1996; In Marine Mammal Survey and Assessment Methods Symposium. G.W. Garner, S.C. Amstrup, J.L. Laake, B.F.J. Manly, L.L. McDonald, and D.C. Robertson (Eds.), A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, pp. 99–114, 1999] is used to illustrate the estimation of population size for populations with prominent nesting structures (i.e., bald eagle nests). In the context of a bald eagle population, the number of nests in a list frame corresponds to a ‘‘pre-marked’’ sample of nests, and an area frame corresponds to a set of transect strips that could be regularly monitored. Unlike previous methods based on dual frame methodology using the screening estimator [Haines and Pollock (Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 5, 245–256, 1998a; Survey Methodology, 24(1), 79–88, 1998b)], we no longer need to assume that the area frame is complete (i.e., all the nests in the sampled sites do not need to be seen). One may use line transect sampling to estimate the probability of detection in a sampled area. Combining information from list and area frames provides more efficient estimators than those obtained by using data from only one frame. We derive an estimator for detection probability and generalize the screening estimator. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the Chapman modification of the Lincoln–Petersen estimator to the screening estimator. Simulation results show that although the Chapman estimator is generally less precise than the screening estimator, the latter can be severely biased in presence of uncertain detection. The screening estimator outperforms the Chapman estimator in terms of mean squared error when detection probability is near 1 wheareas the Chapman estimator outperforms the screening estimator when detection probability is lower than a certain threshold value depending on particular scenarios. |
id |
RCAP_35e62147062649854c404fa644962ba4 |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/6534 |
network_acronym_str |
RCAP |
network_name_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository_id_str |
7160 |
spelling |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probabilityarea samplingeagle nestsLincoln–Petersen methodline transect samplingThe combined mark-recapture and line transect sampling methodology proposed by Alpizar- Jara and Pollock [Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 3(4), 311–327, 1996; In Marine Mammal Survey and Assessment Methods Symposium. G.W. Garner, S.C. Amstrup, J.L. Laake, B.F.J. Manly, L.L. McDonald, and D.C. Robertson (Eds.), A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, pp. 99–114, 1999] is used to illustrate the estimation of population size for populations with prominent nesting structures (i.e., bald eagle nests). In the context of a bald eagle population, the number of nests in a list frame corresponds to a ‘‘pre-marked’’ sample of nests, and an area frame corresponds to a set of transect strips that could be regularly monitored. Unlike previous methods based on dual frame methodology using the screening estimator [Haines and Pollock (Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 5, 245–256, 1998a; Survey Methodology, 24(1), 79–88, 1998b)], we no longer need to assume that the area frame is complete (i.e., all the nests in the sampled sites do not need to be seen). One may use line transect sampling to estimate the probability of detection in a sampled area. Combining information from list and area frames provides more efficient estimators than those obtained by using data from only one frame. We derive an estimator for detection probability and generalize the screening estimator. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the Chapman modification of the Lincoln–Petersen estimator to the screening estimator. Simulation results show that although the Chapman estimator is generally less precise than the screening estimator, the latter can be severely biased in presence of uncertain detection. The screening estimator outperforms the Chapman estimator in terms of mean squared error when detection probability is near 1 wheareas the Chapman estimator outperforms the screening estimator when detection probability is lower than a certain threshold value depending on particular scenarios.Springer2012-12-06T12:47:31Z2012-12-062005-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-005-1039-0engAlpizar-Jara, R., Pollock ,K.H. & Haines, D.E. (2005) Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability. Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 12. p.155–168.1352-8505Environmental and Ecological Statisticsndndnd336Alpizar-Jara, R.Pollock, K.H.Haines, D.E.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-03T18:46:09Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/6534Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:01:20.998489Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
title |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
spellingShingle |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability Alpizar-Jara, R. area sampling eagle nests Lincoln–Petersen method line transect sampling |
title_short |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
title_full |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
title_fullStr |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
title_sort |
Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability |
author |
Alpizar-Jara, R. |
author_facet |
Alpizar-Jara, R. Pollock, K.H. Haines, D.E. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Pollock, K.H. Haines, D.E. |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Alpizar-Jara, R. Pollock, K.H. Haines, D.E. |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
area sampling eagle nests Lincoln–Petersen method line transect sampling |
topic |
area sampling eagle nests Lincoln–Petersen method line transect sampling |
description |
The combined mark-recapture and line transect sampling methodology proposed by Alpizar- Jara and Pollock [Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 3(4), 311–327, 1996; In Marine Mammal Survey and Assessment Methods Symposium. G.W. Garner, S.C. Amstrup, J.L. Laake, B.F.J. Manly, L.L. McDonald, and D.C. Robertson (Eds.), A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, pp. 99–114, 1999] is used to illustrate the estimation of population size for populations with prominent nesting structures (i.e., bald eagle nests). In the context of a bald eagle population, the number of nests in a list frame corresponds to a ‘‘pre-marked’’ sample of nests, and an area frame corresponds to a set of transect strips that could be regularly monitored. Unlike previous methods based on dual frame methodology using the screening estimator [Haines and Pollock (Journal of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 5, 245–256, 1998a; Survey Methodology, 24(1), 79–88, 1998b)], we no longer need to assume that the area frame is complete (i.e., all the nests in the sampled sites do not need to be seen). One may use line transect sampling to estimate the probability of detection in a sampled area. Combining information from list and area frames provides more efficient estimators than those obtained by using data from only one frame. We derive an estimator for detection probability and generalize the screening estimator. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the Chapman modification of the Lincoln–Petersen estimator to the screening estimator. Simulation results show that although the Chapman estimator is generally less precise than the screening estimator, the latter can be severely biased in presence of uncertain detection. The screening estimator outperforms the Chapman estimator in terms of mean squared error when detection probability is near 1 wheareas the Chapman estimator outperforms the screening estimator when detection probability is lower than a certain threshold value depending on particular scenarios. |
publishDate |
2005 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2005-01-01T00:00:00Z 2012-12-06T12:47:31Z 2012-12-06 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-005-1039-0 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6534 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-005-1039-0 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Alpizar-Jara, R., Pollock ,K.H. & Haines, D.E. (2005) Mark-recapture estimators for dual frame population size of prominent nesting structures: the effect of uncertain detection probability. Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 12. p.155–168. 1352-8505 Environmental and Ecological Statistics nd nd nd 336 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1799136496640327680 |