Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building
Main Author: | |
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Publication Date: | 2022 |
Other Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article |
Language: | eng |
Source: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Download full: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/21227 |
Summary: | The flexibility and management in the storage and control of building expertise in the energy optimization can be enhanced with the support of algorithms involved in forecasting tasks. These play an important role on obtaining anticipated and accurate consumption predictions associated to different contexts through extensive consumption patterns analysis. This paper evaluates the most viable forecasting algorithm for consumption predictions of a building in different contexts according to two alternatives: artificial neural networks and k-nearest neighbors. These algorithms use patterns of data from consumptions integrated in different contexts while retaining additional information from sensors data. The different contexts are classified on a sequence of periods that take place from five-to-five minutes. The decision criterion to evaluate which of the two forecasting algorithms is the most suitable in each five minutes periods is supported with decision trees that select the forecasting algorithms that looks to be more suitable followed by a logical answer that clarifies if the selection was the most viable option. Parameterization updates concerning the depth are studied to understand the forecasting accuracy impact. The decision trees approach has the potential to improve the accuracy of prediction as it plays a promising role in decision making. |
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Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office buildingDecision treeLoad forecastNeural networksThe flexibility and management in the storage and control of building expertise in the energy optimization can be enhanced with the support of algorithms involved in forecasting tasks. These play an important role on obtaining anticipated and accurate consumption predictions associated to different contexts through extensive consumption patterns analysis. This paper evaluates the most viable forecasting algorithm for consumption predictions of a building in different contexts according to two alternatives: artificial neural networks and k-nearest neighbors. These algorithms use patterns of data from consumptions integrated in different contexts while retaining additional information from sensors data. The different contexts are classified on a sequence of periods that take place from five-to-five minutes. The decision criterion to evaluate which of the two forecasting algorithms is the most suitable in each five minutes periods is supported with decision trees that select the forecasting algorithms that looks to be more suitable followed by a logical answer that clarifies if the selection was the most viable option. Parameterization updates concerning the depth are studied to understand the forecasting accuracy impact. The decision trees approach has the potential to improve the accuracy of prediction as it plays a promising role in decision making.The present work has been developed under the EUREKA - ITEA3 Project TIoCPS, Portugal (ITEA-18008), Project TIoCPS, Portugal (ANIP2020 POCI-01-0247-FEDER-046182), and has received funding from European Regional Development Fund through COMPETE 2020 - Operational Programme for Competitiveness and Internationalization. The work has been done also in the scope of projects UIDB/00760/2020, and CEECIND/02887/2017, financed by FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through (FCT, Portugal ).ElsevierRepositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico do PortoRamos, D.Faria, PedroMorais, A.Vale, Zita2022-12-21T11:52:36Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/21227eng10.1016/j.egyr.2022.01.046info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-13T13:16:45Zoai:recipp.ipp.pt:10400.22/21227Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T17:41:01.337230Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
title |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
spellingShingle |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building Ramos, D. Decision tree Load forecast Neural networks |
title_short |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
title_full |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
title_fullStr |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
title_full_unstemmed |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
title_sort |
Using decision tree to select forecasting algorithms in distinct electricity consumption context of an office building |
author |
Ramos, D. |
author_facet |
Ramos, D. Faria, Pedro Morais, A. Vale, Zita |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Faria, Pedro Morais, A. Vale, Zita |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico do Porto |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Ramos, D. Faria, Pedro Morais, A. Vale, Zita |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Decision tree Load forecast Neural networks |
topic |
Decision tree Load forecast Neural networks |
description |
The flexibility and management in the storage and control of building expertise in the energy optimization can be enhanced with the support of algorithms involved in forecasting tasks. These play an important role on obtaining anticipated and accurate consumption predictions associated to different contexts through extensive consumption patterns analysis. This paper evaluates the most viable forecasting algorithm for consumption predictions of a building in different contexts according to two alternatives: artificial neural networks and k-nearest neighbors. These algorithms use patterns of data from consumptions integrated in different contexts while retaining additional information from sensors data. The different contexts are classified on a sequence of periods that take place from five-to-five minutes. The decision criterion to evaluate which of the two forecasting algorithms is the most suitable in each five minutes periods is supported with decision trees that select the forecasting algorithms that looks to be more suitable followed by a logical answer that clarifies if the selection was the most viable option. Parameterization updates concerning the depth are studied to understand the forecasting accuracy impact. The decision trees approach has the potential to improve the accuracy of prediction as it plays a promising role in decision making. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12-21T11:52:36Z 2022 2022-01-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/21227 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/21227 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1016/j.egyr.2022.01.046 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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