Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Romero, Elisabet Adeva
Data de Publicação: 2014
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/11548
Resumo: Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies
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spelling Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in EuropeProtestGDELT Global Database of Events, Language, and ToneSpatial Autoregressive modelSpatial Point Pattern AnalysisSpatial distribution patternSpatstatDissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial TechnologiesProtest in Europe where analyzed to foster an understanding of the distribution and the behaviour of those during from 2000 to 2010 time frame. The main object of this study is to discover if there is a relation between economic, social and other variables available in Eurostat in order to discover a pattern in the protests in Europe. For this purpose, least squared method and spatial point pattern analysis method were applied in the R Software environment. The final output indicates that variables can’t explain a cause-effect relation of protests due to tis behaviour is complex and Europe is an inhomogeneous area. In the other hand, we saw that protest tend to increase mostly when other protest have happened in the past. Protest location are scattered within the European megalopolis, and reveals attraction to some capitals some hot spots patterns are observed. They are mostly located in urban areas, close to the borders with other European countries. The resulting models discovered that protest/events distributions do not imitate an inhomogeneous Poisson process and thus we tried to model the behaviour describing special interaction between locations of protests. The best interaction model was chosen by computing different distances. We analyzed the whole Europe area and due a strong influence of United Kingdom we computed the same model to Germany, France, United Kingdom and Spain. Finally, a step further spatial-temporal analysis was taken only for Spain. This analysis is one of the first analyses set by the recently launched Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT), a big free online data base of over 250m events and 300 categories including riots and protests codified from world news sources. After this analysis we recommend, further analysis should contain models that apply border contagion including time.Costa, Ana Cristina Marinho daPebesma, EdzerMateu Mahiques, JorgeRUNRomero, Elisabet Adeva2014-03-10T11:29:35Z2014-02-282014-02-28T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/11548TID:201392186enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T03:46:05Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/11548Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:20:21.389977Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
title Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
spellingShingle Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
Romero, Elisabet Adeva
Protest
GDELT Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
Spatial Autoregressive model
Spatial Point Pattern Analysis
Spatial distribution pattern
Spatstat
title_short Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
title_full Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
title_fullStr Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
title_sort Analysis and simulation of social unrest in Europe: towards understanding social unrest in Europe
author Romero, Elisabet Adeva
author_facet Romero, Elisabet Adeva
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Costa, Ana Cristina Marinho da
Pebesma, Edzer
Mateu Mahiques, Jorge
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Romero, Elisabet Adeva
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Protest
GDELT Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
Spatial Autoregressive model
Spatial Point Pattern Analysis
Spatial distribution pattern
Spatstat
topic Protest
GDELT Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
Spatial Autoregressive model
Spatial Point Pattern Analysis
Spatial distribution pattern
Spatstat
description Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies
publishDate 2014
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2014-03-10T11:29:35Z
2014-02-28
2014-02-28T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/11548
TID:201392186
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/11548
identifier_str_mv TID:201392186
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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