The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408 |
Resumo: | © 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. |
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The current and future burden of heart failure in PortugalHeart failureGlobal burden of diseaseMorbidityMortalityPrematureForecasting© 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome with significant social and economic burden. We aimed to estimate the burden of HF in mainland Portugal over a 22-year time horizon, between 2014 and 2036. METHODS AND RESULTS: Heart failure burden was measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), resulting from the sum of years of life lost (YLL) due to premature death and years lost due to disability (YLD). YLL were estimated based on the Portuguese mortality rates reported by the European Detailed Mortality Database. For YLD, disease duration and the overall incidence were estimated using an epidemiological model developed by the World Health Organization (DISMOD II). Disability weights were retrieved from published literature. The impact of ageing was estimated with a shift-share analysis using official demographic projections. In 2014, 4688 deaths were attributed to HF, corresponding to 4.7% of the total deaths in mainland Portugal. DALYs totalled 21 162, 53.9% due to premature death (YLL: 11 398) and 46.1% due to disability (YLD: 9765). Considering only population ageing over a 22-year horizon, the deaths and burden of HF are expected to increase by 73.0% and 27.9%, respectively, reaching 8112 deaths and 27 059 DALYs lost due to HF in 2036. DALY's growth is mainly driven by the increase of YLL, whose contribution to overall burden will increase to 62.0%. CONCLUSIONS: Heart failure is an emerging and growing health problem where significant health gains may be obtained. The projected significant increase of HF burden highlights the need to set HF as a priority for healthcare system.This study was supported by Novartis Farma, Produtos Farmacêuticos SA through an unrestricted grant to the Research and Development Association of Lisbon University School of Medicine (AIDFM). Funding was independent of the study outcomes. The promoter did not participate in any phase of the study.Wiley Open AccessRepositório da Universidade de LisboaGouveia, MiguelAscenção, RaquelFiorentino, FrancescaCosta, JoãoCaldeira, DanielBroeiro-Gonçalves, PaulaFonseca, CandidaBorges, Margarida2019-01-15T12:39:22Z20192019-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408engESC Heart Fail. 2019 Jan 8. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.12399.2055-582210.1002/ehf2.12399info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-08T16:33:02Zoai:repositorio.ul.pt:10451/36408Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T21:50:40.694050Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
title |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
spellingShingle |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal Gouveia, Miguel Heart failure Global burden of disease Morbidity Mortality Premature Forecasting |
title_short |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
title_full |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
title_fullStr |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
title_full_unstemmed |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
title_sort |
The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal |
author |
Gouveia, Miguel |
author_facet |
Gouveia, Miguel Ascenção, Raquel Fiorentino, Francesca Costa, João Caldeira, Daniel Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula Fonseca, Candida Borges, Margarida |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Ascenção, Raquel Fiorentino, Francesca Costa, João Caldeira, Daniel Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula Fonseca, Candida Borges, Margarida |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Gouveia, Miguel Ascenção, Raquel Fiorentino, Francesca Costa, João Caldeira, Daniel Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula Fonseca, Candida Borges, Margarida |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Heart failure Global burden of disease Morbidity Mortality Premature Forecasting |
topic |
Heart failure Global burden of disease Morbidity Mortality Premature Forecasting |
description |
© 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-01-15T12:39:22Z 2019 2019-01-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
ESC Heart Fail. 2019 Jan 8. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.12399. 2055-5822 10.1002/ehf2.12399 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Open Access |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Wiley Open Access |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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