The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Santos, José Maurício
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Capinha, César, Rocha, Jorge, Sousa, Carla Alexandra
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/148754
Resumo: Funding Information: JMS was supported by a PhD grant from the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), Portugal (https://www.fct.pt) [SFRH/BD/139753/ 2018]. CC was supported by FCT [CC: CEECIND/ 02037/2017; ACH: GHTM-UID/Multi/04413/2013]. CC, CAS, JR were supported by FCT under the framework of the project “TRIAD-health Risk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland Portugal” [PTDC/GES-OUT/30210/2017]and the project “WARDEN-An operational early WARning system for DENgue and other arboviral diseases in Madeira Island” [PTDC/SAU-PUB/ 30089/2017]. JMS, CC, JR were financed by the Research Unit UIDB/00295/2020 and UIDP/00295/ 2020. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.We would like to thanks to Madeira’s Regional Directorate for Health (DRS) and its Department of Licensing and Environmental Health (DLSA) for providing data on the species distribution on the island. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 Santos et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
id RCAP_8769ccd215b68bc45928ffdd4e77661d
oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/148754
network_acronym_str RCAP
network_name_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository_id_str 7160
spelling The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira IslandYellow feverAedes aegyptiMadeira IslandDengueQR MicrobiologyGF Human ecology. AnthropogeographyRA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive MedicinePublic Health, Environmental and Occupational HealthInfectious DiseasesSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingSDG 13 - Climate ActionSDG 15 - Life on LandSDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and CommunitiesFunding Information: JMS was supported by a PhD grant from the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), Portugal (https://www.fct.pt) [SFRH/BD/139753/ 2018]. CC was supported by FCT [CC: CEECIND/ 02037/2017; ACH: GHTM-UID/Multi/04413/2013]. CC, CAS, JR were supported by FCT under the framework of the project “TRIAD-health Risk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland Portugal” [PTDC/GES-OUT/30210/2017]and the project “WARDEN-An operational early WARning system for DENgue and other arboviral diseases in Madeira Island” [PTDC/SAU-PUB/ 30089/2017]. JMS, CC, JR were financed by the Research Unit UIDB/00295/2020 and UIDP/00295/ 2020. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.We would like to thanks to Madeira’s Regional Directorate for Health (DRS) and its Department of Licensing and Environmental Health (DLSA) for providing data on the species distribution on the island. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 Santos et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.The Aedes aegypti mosquito is the main vector for several diseases of global importance, such as dengue and yellow fever. This species was first identified on Madeira Island in 2005, and between 2012 and 2013 was responsible for an outbreak of dengue that affected several thousand people. However, the potential distribution of the species on the island remains poorly investigated. Here we assess the suitability of current and future climatic conditions to the species on the island and complement this assessment with estimates of the suitability of land use and human settlement conditions. We used four modelling algorithms (boosted regression trees, generalized additive models, generalized linear models and random forest) and data on the distribution of the species worldwide and across the island. For both climatic and non-climatic factors, suitability estimates predicted the current distribution of the species with good accuracy (mean area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve = 0.88 ±0.06, mean true skill statistic = 0.72 ±0.1). Minimum temperature of coldest month was the most influential climatic predictor, while human population density, residential housing density and public spaces were the most influential predictors describing land use and human settlement conditions. Suitable areas under current climates are predicted to occur mainly in the warmer and densely inhabited coastal areas of the southern part of the island, where the species is already established. By mid-century (2041– 2060), the extent of climatically suitable areas is expected to increase, mainly towards higher altitudes and in the eastern part of the island. Our work shows that ongoing efforts to monitor and prevent the spread of Ae. aegypti on Madeira Island will have to increasingly consider the effects of climate change.Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical (IHMT)Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM)Vector borne diseases and pathogens (VBD)Universidade NOVA de LisboaRUNSantos, José MaurícioCapinha, CésarRocha, JorgeSousa, Carla Alexandra2023-02-06T22:18:07Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/148754eng1935-2727PURE: 50272508https://doi.org/10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0010715info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T05:30:24Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/148754Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:53:28.414853Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
title The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
spellingShingle The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
Santos, José Maurício
Yellow fever
Aedes aegypti
Madeira Island
Dengue
QR Microbiology
GF Human ecology. Anthropogeography
RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Infectious Diseases
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 15 - Life on Land
SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
title_short The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
title_full The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
title_fullStr The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
title_full_unstemmed The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
title_sort The current and future distribution of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) on Madeira Island
author Santos, José Maurício
author_facet Santos, José Maurício
Capinha, César
Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla Alexandra
author_role author
author2 Capinha, César
Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla Alexandra
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical (IHMT)
Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM)
Vector borne diseases and pathogens (VBD)
Universidade NOVA de Lisboa
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santos, José Maurício
Capinha, César
Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla Alexandra
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Yellow fever
Aedes aegypti
Madeira Island
Dengue
QR Microbiology
GF Human ecology. Anthropogeography
RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Infectious Diseases
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 15 - Life on Land
SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
topic Yellow fever
Aedes aegypti
Madeira Island
Dengue
QR Microbiology
GF Human ecology. Anthropogeography
RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Infectious Diseases
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 15 - Life on Land
SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
description Funding Information: JMS was supported by a PhD grant from the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), Portugal (https://www.fct.pt) [SFRH/BD/139753/ 2018]. CC was supported by FCT [CC: CEECIND/ 02037/2017; ACH: GHTM-UID/Multi/04413/2013]. CC, CAS, JR were supported by FCT under the framework of the project “TRIAD-health Risk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland Portugal” [PTDC/GES-OUT/30210/2017]and the project “WARDEN-An operational early WARning system for DENgue and other arboviral diseases in Madeira Island” [PTDC/SAU-PUB/ 30089/2017]. JMS, CC, JR were financed by the Research Unit UIDB/00295/2020 and UIDP/00295/ 2020. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.We would like to thanks to Madeira’s Regional Directorate for Health (DRS) and its Department of Licensing and Environmental Health (DLSA) for providing data on the species distribution on the island. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 Santos et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2022-01-01T00:00:00Z
2023-02-06T22:18:07Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/148754
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/148754
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 1935-2727
PURE: 50272508
https://doi.org/10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0010715
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799138125236142080

Registros relacionados