The hot hand in professional darts

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Klimas, Hans Jasper
Data de Publicação: 2017
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/27835
Resumo: This paper examines whether a hot hand in professional darts exists or the people’s belief in players performing better after experiencing recent success is a fallacy. By the means of five hot hand statistics, tested in an individual and pooled player analysis, I have found substantial evidence for the existence of the hot hand for the great majority of players. Players hit more often after previous hits than misses, their throw outcomes are clustered and hit streaks appear more often and are longer than expected. Concluding from these results, the economic relevance of the hot hand fallacy should be reconsidered.
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spelling The hot hand in professional dartsHot-hand fallacyHot-hand effectBehavioural economicsDomínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e GestãoThis paper examines whether a hot hand in professional darts exists or the people’s belief in players performing better after experiencing recent success is a fallacy. By the means of five hot hand statistics, tested in an individual and pooled player analysis, I have found substantial evidence for the existence of the hot hand for the great majority of players. Players hit more often after previous hits than misses, their throw outcomes are clustered and hit streaks appear more often and are longer than expected. Concluding from these results, the economic relevance of the hot hand fallacy should be reconsidered.Coutts, AlexanderRUNKlimas, Hans Jasper2019-06-30T00:30:44Z2017-06-302017-06-30T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/27835TID:201752450enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T04:14:45Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/27835Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:28:46.357583Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The hot hand in professional darts
title The hot hand in professional darts
spellingShingle The hot hand in professional darts
Klimas, Hans Jasper
Hot-hand fallacy
Hot-hand effect
Behavioural economics
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
title_short The hot hand in professional darts
title_full The hot hand in professional darts
title_fullStr The hot hand in professional darts
title_full_unstemmed The hot hand in professional darts
title_sort The hot hand in professional darts
author Klimas, Hans Jasper
author_facet Klimas, Hans Jasper
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Coutts, Alexander
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Klimas, Hans Jasper
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Hot-hand fallacy
Hot-hand effect
Behavioural economics
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
topic Hot-hand fallacy
Hot-hand effect
Behavioural economics
Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão
description This paper examines whether a hot hand in professional darts exists or the people’s belief in players performing better after experiencing recent success is a fallacy. By the means of five hot hand statistics, tested in an individual and pooled player analysis, I have found substantial evidence for the existence of the hot hand for the great majority of players. Players hit more often after previous hits than misses, their throw outcomes are clustered and hit streaks appear more often and are longer than expected. Concluding from these results, the economic relevance of the hot hand fallacy should be reconsidered.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2017-06-30
2017-06-30T00:00:00Z
2019-06-30T00:30:44Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/27835
TID:201752450
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/27835
identifier_str_mv TID:201752450
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
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