Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/22111 |
Resumo: | The work in this article uses artificial neural networks and support vector machine to forecast electricity consumption in an industrial facility. The main objective is to show that such a problem should be treated with a contextual approach that identifies the most adequate technic in each moment for a single building, contrary to the previous works in the literature that compare the accuracy of each method for the complete data set representing aggregated loads. 72 different algorithms have been implemented and tested. After that, the three most suitable ones are selected in order to support the automated decisions of the best algorithm according to the context. In this way, the implemented methodology finds the best method for the prediction of each 5 min. It can be later used to update the production planning in the industrial facility. It also discussed the size of historical data and the most suitable learning parameters for each method. The case study includes test data for one week and more than one year of training data. |
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Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry FacilityDemand ResponseLoad ShiftingRemunerationRebound EffectTrustworthinessThe work in this article uses artificial neural networks and support vector machine to forecast electricity consumption in an industrial facility. The main objective is to show that such a problem should be treated with a contextual approach that identifies the most adequate technic in each moment for a single building, contrary to the previous works in the literature that compare the accuracy of each method for the complete data set representing aggregated loads. 72 different algorithms have been implemented and tested. After that, the three most suitable ones are selected in order to support the automated decisions of the best algorithm according to the context. In this way, the implemented methodology finds the best method for the prediction of each 5 min. It can be later used to update the production planning in the industrial facility. It also discussed the size of historical data and the most suitable learning parameters for each method. The case study includes test data for one week and more than one year of training data.This work has received funding from FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through (FCT) under the project COLORS (PTDC/EEI-EEE/28967/2017). The work has also been done in the scope of projects UIDB/00760/2020, CEECIND/02887/2017, and SFRH/BD/144200/2019, financed by FEDER Funds through COMPETE program and from National Funds through (FCT).IEEERepositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico do PortoRamos, DanielFaria, PedroVale, ZitaCorreia, Regina2023-02-02T12:00:12Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/22111eng10.1109/TIA.2021.3123103metadata only accessinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-13T13:18:27Zoai:recipp.ipp.pt:10400.22/22111Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T17:42:09.926090Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
title |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
spellingShingle |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility Ramos, Daniel Demand Response Load Shifting Remuneration Rebound Effect Trustworthiness |
title_short |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
title_full |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
title_fullStr |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
title_full_unstemmed |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
title_sort |
Short Time Electricity Consumption Forecast in an Industry Facility |
author |
Ramos, Daniel |
author_facet |
Ramos, Daniel Faria, Pedro Vale, Zita Correia, Regina |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Faria, Pedro Vale, Zita Correia, Regina |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Politécnico do Porto |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Ramos, Daniel Faria, Pedro Vale, Zita Correia, Regina |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Demand Response Load Shifting Remuneration Rebound Effect Trustworthiness |
topic |
Demand Response Load Shifting Remuneration Rebound Effect Trustworthiness |
description |
The work in this article uses artificial neural networks and support vector machine to forecast electricity consumption in an industrial facility. The main objective is to show that such a problem should be treated with a contextual approach that identifies the most adequate technic in each moment for a single building, contrary to the previous works in the literature that compare the accuracy of each method for the complete data set representing aggregated loads. 72 different algorithms have been implemented and tested. After that, the three most suitable ones are selected in order to support the automated decisions of the best algorithm according to the context. In this way, the implemented methodology finds the best method for the prediction of each 5 min. It can be later used to update the production planning in the industrial facility. It also discussed the size of historical data and the most suitable learning parameters for each method. The case study includes test data for one week and more than one year of training data. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022 2022-01-01T00:00:00Z 2023-02-02T12:00:12Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/22111 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/22111 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1109/TIA.2021.3123103 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
metadata only access info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
metadata only access |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
IEEE |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
IEEE |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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