Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Inácio, Miguel
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Karnauskaitė, Donalda, Gomes, Eduardo, Barceló, Damià, Pereira, Paulo
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10451/50996
Resumo: Assessing and mapping ecosystem services (ES) became an integral part of coastal and marine management practices. Hence, quantitative and validated approaches are lacking, especially to address future conditions. The objective of this study is to apply further existing and develop new methodological frameworks to quantitatively assess and map the current and future supply of 3 ES in the coastal zone of Lithuania: coastal flood protection, nutrient regulation, and maintenance of nursery conditions. For coastal flood ES modelling, 2 time periods (1990 and 2018) and 4 scenarios (A0, A1 A2, A3 - based on future socio-economic changes in Lithuania) were analysed. The coastal flood protection ES model was validated (r2 = 0.30) using tree cover density. The results showed spatial differences among the analysed periods but no statistical differences. High supply areas are located in the southern coastal area, while the central part displays a low supply. For nutrient regulation and maintenance of nursery conditions, 7 time periods were analysed: a historical period and 6 scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 and 3 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The nutrient regulation ES model was validated (r2 = 0.85) using in situ nutrient. Statistical differences were observed for this ES, but a similar spatial distribution of high and low supply areas. A decrease in the supply was observed comparing the historical period and future scenarios. Maintenance of nursery conditions was validated (r2 = 0.72) based on the protection status of the coastal zone. Results show no statistical differences and similar spatial patterns among the periods. Rocky and sandbank areas show a high supply for this ES. Limitations of our work are mainly related to the resolution of the utilised indicators. Nevertheless, the information obtained from our models can support spatial planning and decision-making processes.
id RCAP_9fcc381249593c1347cf94bb10524c6b
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.ul.pt:10451/50996
network_acronym_str RCAP
network_name_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository_id_str 7160
spelling Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in LithuaniaHuman wellbeingEcosystem modellingClimate changeCoastal protectionBaltic SeaIndicatorsAssessing and mapping ecosystem services (ES) became an integral part of coastal and marine management practices. Hence, quantitative and validated approaches are lacking, especially to address future conditions. The objective of this study is to apply further existing and develop new methodological frameworks to quantitatively assess and map the current and future supply of 3 ES in the coastal zone of Lithuania: coastal flood protection, nutrient regulation, and maintenance of nursery conditions. For coastal flood ES modelling, 2 time periods (1990 and 2018) and 4 scenarios (A0, A1 A2, A3 - based on future socio-economic changes in Lithuania) were analysed. The coastal flood protection ES model was validated (r2 = 0.30) using tree cover density. The results showed spatial differences among the analysed periods but no statistical differences. High supply areas are located in the southern coastal area, while the central part displays a low supply. For nutrient regulation and maintenance of nursery conditions, 7 time periods were analysed: a historical period and 6 scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 and 3 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The nutrient regulation ES model was validated (r2 = 0.85) using in situ nutrient. Statistical differences were observed for this ES, but a similar spatial distribution of high and low supply areas. A decrease in the supply was observed comparing the historical period and future scenarios. Maintenance of nursery conditions was validated (r2 = 0.72) based on the protection status of the coastal zone. Results show no statistical differences and similar spatial patterns among the periods. Rocky and sandbank areas show a high supply for this ES. Limitations of our work are mainly related to the resolution of the utilised indicators. Nevertheless, the information obtained from our models can support spatial planning and decision-making processes.ElsevierRepositório da Universidade de LisboaInácio, MiguelKarnauskaitė, DonaldaGomes, EduardoBarceló, DamiàPereira, Paulo2022-01-26T14:59:34Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/50996engInácio, M., Karnauskaitė, D., Gomes, E., Barceló, D. & Pereira, P. (2022). Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania. Science of The Total Environment, 812, 152586. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.1525860048-969710.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152586metadata only accessinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-08T16:55:27Zoai:repositorio.ul.pt:10451/50996Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T22:02:20.950740Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
title Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
spellingShingle Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
Inácio, Miguel
Human wellbeing
Ecosystem modelling
Climate change
Coastal protection
Baltic Sea
Indicators
title_short Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
title_full Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
title_fullStr Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
title_full_unstemmed Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
title_sort Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania
author Inácio, Miguel
author_facet Inácio, Miguel
Karnauskaitė, Donalda
Gomes, Eduardo
Barceló, Damià
Pereira, Paulo
author_role author
author2 Karnauskaitė, Donalda
Gomes, Eduardo
Barceló, Damià
Pereira, Paulo
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Inácio, Miguel
Karnauskaitė, Donalda
Gomes, Eduardo
Barceló, Damià
Pereira, Paulo
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Human wellbeing
Ecosystem modelling
Climate change
Coastal protection
Baltic Sea
Indicators
topic Human wellbeing
Ecosystem modelling
Climate change
Coastal protection
Baltic Sea
Indicators
description Assessing and mapping ecosystem services (ES) became an integral part of coastal and marine management practices. Hence, quantitative and validated approaches are lacking, especially to address future conditions. The objective of this study is to apply further existing and develop new methodological frameworks to quantitatively assess and map the current and future supply of 3 ES in the coastal zone of Lithuania: coastal flood protection, nutrient regulation, and maintenance of nursery conditions. For coastal flood ES modelling, 2 time periods (1990 and 2018) and 4 scenarios (A0, A1 A2, A3 - based on future socio-economic changes in Lithuania) were analysed. The coastal flood protection ES model was validated (r2 = 0.30) using tree cover density. The results showed spatial differences among the analysed periods but no statistical differences. High supply areas are located in the southern coastal area, while the central part displays a low supply. For nutrient regulation and maintenance of nursery conditions, 7 time periods were analysed: a historical period and 6 scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 and 3 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The nutrient regulation ES model was validated (r2 = 0.85) using in situ nutrient. Statistical differences were observed for this ES, but a similar spatial distribution of high and low supply areas. A decrease in the supply was observed comparing the historical period and future scenarios. Maintenance of nursery conditions was validated (r2 = 0.72) based on the protection status of the coastal zone. Results show no statistical differences and similar spatial patterns among the periods. Rocky and sandbank areas show a high supply for this ES. Limitations of our work are mainly related to the resolution of the utilised indicators. Nevertheless, the information obtained from our models can support spatial planning and decision-making processes.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-01-26T14:59:34Z
2022
2022-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10451/50996
url http://hdl.handle.net/10451/50996
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Inácio, M., Karnauskaitė, D., Gomes, E., Barceló, D. & Pereira, P. (2022). Mapping and assessment of future changes in the coastal and marine ecosystem services supply in Lithuania. Science of The Total Environment, 812, 152586. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152586
0048-9697
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152586
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv metadata only access
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv metadata only access
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799134573481689088