Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10773/38824 |
Resumo: | This paper investigates the patterns of tourism growth cycles in domestic and international tourism demand for Portugal and Spain with monthly data on visitor’s arrivals in tourist accommodation establishments from January 1990 to September 2013. The de-trending method proposed by Hodrick-Prescott filter is used to extract the tourism growth cycles for both resident and non-resident tourists. The Bry-Boschan algorithm finds that the duration of contractions tend to be on average twice longer for resident tourists than for non- -resident tourists, and the length of expansions is almost three times higher for non-resident tourists than for resident ones in Portugal. The duration of the tourism growth cycles is much higher in Portugal than in Spain in both groups of tourists by ten to twelve months. Large expansion phases in Portugal tend to coexist with large contraction phases in Spain along the cycles from non-resident tourists. Spectral analysis confirms the existence of one dominant cyclic frequency within tourism demand from both tourist groups. The paper is concluded with a brief discussion of findings. |
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Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and SpainTourism demandExpansionContractionSpectral analysisIberian peninsulaThis paper investigates the patterns of tourism growth cycles in domestic and international tourism demand for Portugal and Spain with monthly data on visitor’s arrivals in tourist accommodation establishments from January 1990 to September 2013. The de-trending method proposed by Hodrick-Prescott filter is used to extract the tourism growth cycles for both resident and non-resident tourists. The Bry-Boschan algorithm finds that the duration of contractions tend to be on average twice longer for resident tourists than for non- -resident tourists, and the length of expansions is almost three times higher for non-resident tourists than for resident ones in Portugal. The duration of the tourism growth cycles is much higher in Portugal than in Spain in both groups of tourists by ten to twelve months. Large expansion phases in Portugal tend to coexist with large contraction phases in Spain along the cycles from non-resident tourists. Spectral analysis confirms the existence of one dominant cyclic frequency within tourism demand from both tourist groups. The paper is concluded with a brief discussion of findings.Este artigo investiga os padrões de ciclos de crescimento da procura turística nacional e internacional para Portugal e Espanha, através de dados mensais das chegadas de visitantes em estabelecimentos de alojamento turístico, no período de janeiro de 1990 a setembro de 2013. A metodologia aplicada consistiu num filtro de Hodrick-Prescott usado para extrair a tendência da série cronológica relativa à procura turística por turistas residentes e não residentes. O algoritmo de Bry-Boschan considera que a duração das contrações tendem a ser, em média, duas vezes maior para os turistas residentes do que para os turistas não residentes, bem como a duração das expansões é quase três vezes maior para os turistas não residentes do que para os residentes em Portugal. A duração dos ciclos de crescimento do turismo é muito mais elevada em Portugal do que em Espanha, em ambos os grupos de turistas por dez a doze meses. As grandes fases de expansão em Portugal tendem a coexistir com grandes fases de contração em Espanha ao longo dos ciclos de turistas não residentes. A análise espectral confirma a existência de uma frequência cíclica dominante na procura turística de ambos os grupos de turistas. O artigo é concluído com uma breve discussão dos resultados.DEGEIT - Universidade de Aveiro2023-07-19T13:59:09Z2014-01-01T00:00:00Z2014-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10773/38824eng1645-926110.34624/rtd.v4i21/22.12215Bento, João Paulo CerdeiraPereira, Elisabeth Teixeirainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-02-22T12:15:47Zoai:ria.ua.pt:10773/38824Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:09:07.636889Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
title |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
spellingShingle |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain Bento, João Paulo Cerdeira Tourism demand Expansion Contraction Spectral analysis Iberian peninsula |
title_short |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
title_full |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
title_fullStr |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
title_sort |
Tourism demand and tourism growth cycles in Portugal and Spain |
author |
Bento, João Paulo Cerdeira |
author_facet |
Bento, João Paulo Cerdeira Pereira, Elisabeth Teixeira |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Pereira, Elisabeth Teixeira |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bento, João Paulo Cerdeira Pereira, Elisabeth Teixeira |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Tourism demand Expansion Contraction Spectral analysis Iberian peninsula |
topic |
Tourism demand Expansion Contraction Spectral analysis Iberian peninsula |
description |
This paper investigates the patterns of tourism growth cycles in domestic and international tourism demand for Portugal and Spain with monthly data on visitor’s arrivals in tourist accommodation establishments from January 1990 to September 2013. The de-trending method proposed by Hodrick-Prescott filter is used to extract the tourism growth cycles for both resident and non-resident tourists. The Bry-Boschan algorithm finds that the duration of contractions tend to be on average twice longer for resident tourists than for non- -resident tourists, and the length of expansions is almost three times higher for non-resident tourists than for resident ones in Portugal. The duration of the tourism growth cycles is much higher in Portugal than in Spain in both groups of tourists by ten to twelve months. Large expansion phases in Portugal tend to coexist with large contraction phases in Spain along the cycles from non-resident tourists. Spectral analysis confirms the existence of one dominant cyclic frequency within tourism demand from both tourist groups. The paper is concluded with a brief discussion of findings. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-01-01T00:00:00Z 2014-01-01 2023-07-19T13:59:09Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10773/38824 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10773/38824 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
1645-9261 10.34624/rtd.v4i21/22.12215 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
DEGEIT - Universidade de Aveiro |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
DEGEIT - Universidade de Aveiro |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799137742379024384 |