The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Machado, Beatriz
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Antunes, Liliana, Caetano, Constantino, Pereira, João F., Nunes, Baltazar, Patrício, Paula, Morgado, M. Luísa
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/134348
Resumo: DOCTORATES 4 COVID-19", number 2020.10172.BD. PP UIDB/00297/2020 UIDB/04621/2020 UIDP/04621/2020
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spelling The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in PortugalCOVID-19EpidemiologySEIR modelVaccinationModelling and SimulationAgricultural and Biological Sciences(all)Computational MathematicsApplied MathematicsSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingDOCTORATES 4 COVID-19", number 2020.10172.BD. PP UIDB/00297/2020 UIDB/04621/2020 UIDP/04621/2020In this work we use simple mathematical models to study the impact of vaccination against COVID-19 in Portugal. First, we fit a SEIR type model without vaccination to the Portuguese data on confirmed cases of COVID-19 by the date of symptom onset, from the beginning of the epidemic until the 23rd January of 2021, to estimate changes in the transmission intensity. Then, by including vaccination in the model we develop different scenarios for the fade-out of the non pharmacological intervention (NPIs) as vaccine coverage increases in the population according to Portuguese vaccination goals. We include a feedback function to mimic the implementation and relaxation of NPIs, according to some disease incidence thresholds defined by the Portuguese health authorities.Comprehensive Health Research Centre (CHRC) - Pólo ENSPCentro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC)Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP)CMA - Centro de Matemática e AplicaçõesDM - Departamento de MatemáticaRUNMachado, BeatrizAntunes, LilianaCaetano, ConstantinoPereira, João F.Nunes, BaltazarPatrício, PaulaMorgado, M. Luísa2022-03-11T23:22:43Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article17application/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/134348eng1547-1063PURE: 36735584https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022043info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-05-22T18:00:07Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/134348Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openairemluisa.alvim@gmail.comopendoar:71602024-05-22T18:00:07Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
title The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
spellingShingle The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
Machado, Beatriz
COVID-19
Epidemiology
SEIR model
Vaccination
Modelling and Simulation
Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
Computational Mathematics
Applied Mathematics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
title_short The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
title_full The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
title_fullStr The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
title_full_unstemmed The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
title_sort The impact of vaccination on the evolution of COVID-19 in Portugal
author Machado, Beatriz
author_facet Machado, Beatriz
Antunes, Liliana
Caetano, Constantino
Pereira, João F.
Nunes, Baltazar
Patrício, Paula
Morgado, M. Luísa
author_role author
author2 Antunes, Liliana
Caetano, Constantino
Pereira, João F.
Nunes, Baltazar
Patrício, Paula
Morgado, M. Luísa
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Comprehensive Health Research Centre (CHRC) - Pólo ENSP
Centro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC)
Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP)
CMA - Centro de Matemática e Aplicações
DM - Departamento de Matemática
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Machado, Beatriz
Antunes, Liliana
Caetano, Constantino
Pereira, João F.
Nunes, Baltazar
Patrício, Paula
Morgado, M. Luísa
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv COVID-19
Epidemiology
SEIR model
Vaccination
Modelling and Simulation
Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
Computational Mathematics
Applied Mathematics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
topic COVID-19
Epidemiology
SEIR model
Vaccination
Modelling and Simulation
Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
Computational Mathematics
Applied Mathematics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
description DOCTORATES 4 COVID-19", number 2020.10172.BD. PP UIDB/00297/2020 UIDB/04621/2020 UIDP/04621/2020
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-03-11T23:22:43Z
2022
2022-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/134348
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/134348
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 1547-1063
PURE: 36735584
https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022043
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 17
application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv mluisa.alvim@gmail.com
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