Why do people migrate irregularly?
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10362/107917 |
Resumo: | Irregular migration to Europe by sea, though risky, remains one of the most popular migration options for many sub-Saharan Africans. This study examines the determinants of irregular migration from West Africa to Europe. We implemented an incentivized lab-in-the-field experiment in rural Gambia, the country with the region’s highest rate of irregular migration to Europe. Male youths aged 15 to 25 were given hypothetical scenarios regarding the probability of dying en route to Europe and of gaining legal residence status after successful arrival. According to the data we collected, potential migrants overestimate both the risk of dying en route to Europe and the probability of obtaining legal residency status. In this context, our experimental results show that providing potential migrants with official numbers on the probability of getting a legal residence permit decreases their likelihood of migration by 2.88 percentage points (pp), while information on the death risk of migrating increases their likelihood of migration by 2.29 pp—although the official numbers should be regarded as a lower bound to actual mortality. Follow-up data collected one year after the experiment show that the migration decisions reported in the lab experiment correlate well with actual migration decisions and intentions. Overall, our study indicates that the migration decisions of potential migrants are likely to respond to relevant information. |
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Why do people migrate irregularly?Evidence from a lab-in-the-field experiment in West AfricaExpectationsInformationInternational migrationIrregular migrationLab-in-the-Field ExperimentThe GambiaWillingness to migrateGeography, Planning and DevelopmentDevelopmentIrregular migration to Europe by sea, though risky, remains one of the most popular migration options for many sub-Saharan Africans. This study examines the determinants of irregular migration from West Africa to Europe. We implemented an incentivized lab-in-the-field experiment in rural Gambia, the country with the region’s highest rate of irregular migration to Europe. Male youths aged 15 to 25 were given hypothetical scenarios regarding the probability of dying en route to Europe and of gaining legal residence status after successful arrival. According to the data we collected, potential migrants overestimate both the risk of dying en route to Europe and the probability of obtaining legal residency status. In this context, our experimental results show that providing potential migrants with official numbers on the probability of getting a legal residence permit decreases their likelihood of migration by 2.88 percentage points (pp), while information on the death risk of migrating increases their likelihood of migration by 2.29 pp—although the official numbers should be regarded as a lower bound to actual mortality. Follow-up data collected one year after the experiment show that the migration decisions reported in the lab experiment correlate well with actual migration decisions and intentions. Overall, our study indicates that the migration decisions of potential migrants are likely to respond to relevant information.NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)RUNBah, Tijan L.Batista, Catia2020-11-27T23:26:09Z2020-01-012020-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article40application/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/107917engPURE: 33997977info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-10T15:57:13ZPortal AgregadorONG |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Why do people migrate irregularly? Evidence from a lab-in-the-field experiment in West Africa |
title |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
spellingShingle |
Why do people migrate irregularly? Bah, Tijan L. Expectations Information International migration Irregular migration Lab-in-the-Field Experiment The Gambia Willingness to migrate Geography, Planning and Development Development |
title_short |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
title_full |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
title_fullStr |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
title_sort |
Why do people migrate irregularly? |
author |
Bah, Tijan L. |
author_facet |
Bah, Tijan L. Batista, Catia |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Batista, Catia |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE) RUN |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bah, Tijan L. Batista, Catia |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Expectations Information International migration Irregular migration Lab-in-the-Field Experiment The Gambia Willingness to migrate Geography, Planning and Development Development |
topic |
Expectations Information International migration Irregular migration Lab-in-the-Field Experiment The Gambia Willingness to migrate Geography, Planning and Development Development |
description |
Irregular migration to Europe by sea, though risky, remains one of the most popular migration options for many sub-Saharan Africans. This study examines the determinants of irregular migration from West Africa to Europe. We implemented an incentivized lab-in-the-field experiment in rural Gambia, the country with the region’s highest rate of irregular migration to Europe. Male youths aged 15 to 25 were given hypothetical scenarios regarding the probability of dying en route to Europe and of gaining legal residence status after successful arrival. According to the data we collected, potential migrants overestimate both the risk of dying en route to Europe and the probability of obtaining legal residency status. In this context, our experimental results show that providing potential migrants with official numbers on the probability of getting a legal residence permit decreases their likelihood of migration by 2.88 percentage points (pp), while information on the death risk of migrating increases their likelihood of migration by 2.29 pp—although the official numbers should be regarded as a lower bound to actual mortality. Follow-up data collected one year after the experiment show that the migration decisions reported in the lab experiment correlate well with actual migration decisions and intentions. Overall, our study indicates that the migration decisions of potential migrants are likely to respond to relevant information. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-11-27T23:26:09Z 2020-01-01 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10362/107917 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10362/107917 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
PURE: 33997977 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
40 application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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1777303021266403328 |