Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Oliveira, Sandra
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Rocha, Jorge, Sousa, Carla A., Capinha, César
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/130686
Resumo: Publisher Copyright: © 2021, The Author(s).
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spelling Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution modelsGeneralSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingSDG 13 - Climate ActionParasitologia MédicaPublisher Copyright: © 2021, The Author(s).The Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus), a vector of dengue, Zika and other diseases, was introduced in Europe in the 1970s, where it is still widening its range. Spurred by public health concerns, several studies have delivered predictions of the current and future distribution of the species for this region, often with differing results. We provide the first joint analysis of these predictions, to identify consensus hotspots of high and low suitability, as well as areas with high uncertainty. The analysis focused on current and future climate conditions and was carried out for the whole of Europe and for 65 major urban areas. High consensus on current suitability was found for the northwest of the Iberian Peninsula, southern France, Italy and the coastline between the western Balkans and Greece. Most models also agree on a substantial future expansion of suitable areas into northern and eastern Europe. About 83% of urban areas are expected to become suitable in the future, in contrast with ~ 49% nowadays. Our findings show that previous research is congruent in identifying wide suitable areas for Aedes albopictus across Europe and in the need to effectively account for climate change in managing and preventing its future spread.Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical (IHMT)Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM)Vector borne diseases and pathogens (VBD)RUNOliveira, SandraRocha, JorgeSousa, Carla A.Capinha, César2022-01-12T04:10:00Z2021-122021-12-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/130686eng2045-2322PURE: 33049928https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-89096-5info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T05:09:18Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/130686Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:46:51.052800Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
title Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
spellingShingle Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
Oliveira, Sandra
General
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Parasitologia Médica
title_short Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
title_full Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
title_fullStr Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
title_full_unstemmed Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
title_sort Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models
author Oliveira, Sandra
author_facet Oliveira, Sandra
Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla A.
Capinha, César
author_role author
author2 Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla A.
Capinha, César
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical (IHMT)
Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM)
Vector borne diseases and pathogens (VBD)
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Oliveira, Sandra
Rocha, Jorge
Sousa, Carla A.
Capinha, César
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv General
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Parasitologia Médica
topic General
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Parasitologia Médica
description Publisher Copyright: © 2021, The Author(s).
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-12
2021-12-01T00:00:00Z
2022-01-12T04:10:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/130686
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/130686
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 2045-2322
PURE: 33049928
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-89096-5
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
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reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
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