Applied Geography

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Alcoforado, Maria João
Data de Publicação: 2015
Outros Autores: Marques, David, Garcia, Ricardo A. C, Canario, Paulo, Nunes, Maria Fatima, Nogueira, Helena, Cravosa, Ana
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017
Resumo: A renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability. On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperatures.
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spelling Applied GeographyClimate changeHeat wavesHealthMortality rhythmsSouthern EuropeLisbonA renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability. On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperatures.Elsevier Ltd.2015-03-16T12:00:07Z2015-03-162015-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340http://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017engAlcoforado, Maria João, Marques, D., Garcia, R. A. C., Canario, P. , Nunes, M. F., Nogueira, H., Cravosa, A., «Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century», Applied Geography 57 (2015) 133e141133-14157Applied Geographymjalcoforado@campus.ul.ptdavidgeog985@hotmail.corgarcia@campus.ul.ptpmscanario@gmail.comfn@uevora.pthelenamarquesnogueira@hotmail.comabcravosa@gmail.com242Alcoforado, Maria JoãoMarques, DavidGarcia, Ricardo A. CCanario, PauloNunes, Maria FatimaNogueira, HelenaCravosa, Anainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-03T18:58:43Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/13340Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:06:45.792349Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Applied Geography
title Applied Geography
spellingShingle Applied Geography
Alcoforado, Maria João
Climate change
Heat waves
Health
Mortality rhythms
Southern Europe
Lisbon
title_short Applied Geography
title_full Applied Geography
title_fullStr Applied Geography
title_full_unstemmed Applied Geography
title_sort Applied Geography
author Alcoforado, Maria João
author_facet Alcoforado, Maria João
Marques, David
Garcia, Ricardo A. C
Canario, Paulo
Nunes, Maria Fatima
Nogueira, Helena
Cravosa, Ana
author_role author
author2 Marques, David
Garcia, Ricardo A. C
Canario, Paulo
Nunes, Maria Fatima
Nogueira, Helena
Cravosa, Ana
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Alcoforado, Maria João
Marques, David
Garcia, Ricardo A. C
Canario, Paulo
Nunes, Maria Fatima
Nogueira, Helena
Cravosa, Ana
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Climate change
Heat waves
Health
Mortality rhythms
Southern Europe
Lisbon
topic Climate change
Heat waves
Health
Mortality rhythms
Southern Europe
Lisbon
description A renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability. On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperatures.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-03-16T12:00:07Z
2015-03-16
2015-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017
url http://hdl.handle.net/10174/13340
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Alcoforado, Maria João, Marques, D., Garcia, R. A. C., Canario, P. , Nunes, M. F., Nogueira, H., Cravosa, A., «Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century», Applied Geography 57 (2015) 133e141
133-141
57
Applied Geography
mjalcoforado@campus.ul.pt
davidgeog985@hotmail.co
rgarcia@campus.ul.pt
pmscanario@gmail.co
mfn@uevora.pt
helenamarquesnogueira@hotmail.com
abcravosa@gmail.com
242
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Ltd.
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Ltd.
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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