Growth and productivity : the role of government debt

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Afonso, António
Data de Publicação: 2011
Outros Autores: Jalles, João Tovar
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3514
Resumo: We use a panel of 155 countries to assess the links between growth, productivity and government debt. Via growth equations we assess simultaneity, endogeneity, cross-section dependence, nonlinearities, and threshold effects. We find a negative effect of the debt ratio. For the OECD, the higher the debt maturity the higher economic growth; financial crisis are detrimental for growth; fiscal consolidation promotes growth; and higher debt ratios are beneficial to TFP growth. The growth impact of a 10% increase in the debt ratio is -0.2% (0.1%) respectively for countries with debt ratios above (below) 90% (30%), and an endogenous debt ratio threshold of 59% can be derived.
id RCAP_d06ee5537f5781ac6e62fa79e992ab02
oai_identifier_str oai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/3514
network_acronym_str RCAP
network_name_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository_id_str 7160
spelling Growth and productivity : the role of government debtGovernment DebtCrisesPanel AnalysisWe use a panel of 155 countries to assess the links between growth, productivity and government debt. Via growth equations we assess simultaneity, endogeneity, cross-section dependence, nonlinearities, and threshold effects. We find a negative effect of the debt ratio. For the OECD, the higher the debt maturity the higher economic growth; financial crisis are detrimental for growth; fiscal consolidation promotes growth; and higher debt ratios are beneficial to TFP growth. The growth impact of a 10% increase in the debt ratio is -0.2% (0.1%) respectively for countries with debt ratios above (below) 90% (30%), and an endogenous debt ratio threshold of 59% can be derived.UECE – Research Unit on Complexity and Economics. UECE is supported by FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal)ISEG - Departamento de EconomiaRepositório da Universidade de LisboaAfonso, AntónioJalles, João Tovar2011-08-26T10:42:09Z20112011-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3514engAfonso, António, João Tovar Jalles. 2011. "Growth and productivity : the role of government debt". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 13-2011/DE/UECE.0874-4548info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-06T14:34:37Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/3514Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T16:51:21.975318Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
title Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
spellingShingle Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
Afonso, António
Government Debt
Crises
Panel Analysis
title_short Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
title_full Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
title_fullStr Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
title_full_unstemmed Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
title_sort Growth and productivity : the role of government debt
author Afonso, António
author_facet Afonso, António
Jalles, João Tovar
author_role author
author2 Jalles, João Tovar
author2_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Afonso, António
Jalles, João Tovar
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Government Debt
Crises
Panel Analysis
topic Government Debt
Crises
Panel Analysis
description We use a panel of 155 countries to assess the links between growth, productivity and government debt. Via growth equations we assess simultaneity, endogeneity, cross-section dependence, nonlinearities, and threshold effects. We find a negative effect of the debt ratio. For the OECD, the higher the debt maturity the higher economic growth; financial crisis are detrimental for growth; fiscal consolidation promotes growth; and higher debt ratios are beneficial to TFP growth. The growth impact of a 10% increase in the debt ratio is -0.2% (0.1%) respectively for countries with debt ratios above (below) 90% (30%), and an endogenous debt ratio threshold of 59% can be derived.
publishDate 2011
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2011-08-26T10:42:09Z
2011
2011-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3514
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3514
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Afonso, António, João Tovar Jalles. 2011. "Growth and productivity : the role of government debt". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 13-2011/DE/UECE.
0874-4548
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv ISEG - Departamento de Economia
publisher.none.fl_str_mv ISEG - Departamento de Economia
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799130989325189120

Registros relacionados