The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2004 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1455 |
Resumo: | This paper offers new insights on the interactions between economics and politics in Portugal.We use two unexplored data sets consisting of monthly polls on vote intentions for the main political parties in Portugal and responses to a consumer survey containing a battery of questions on economic evaluations. The analysis covers the interval from 1986 to 2001. We find that: (1) right-wing governments are penalized for higher inflation while the left-wing ones are not, (2) left-wing governments are more penalized for increases in the unemployment rate; (3) voters base their evaluations of incumbents’ performances on perceptions of past and current economic conditions, rather than on expected future economic outcomes. |
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The determinants of vote intentions in PortugalSocial SciencesThis paper offers new insights on the interactions between economics and politics in Portugal.We use two unexplored data sets consisting of monthly polls on vote intentions for the main political parties in Portugal and responses to a consumer survey containing a battery of questions on economic evaluations. The analysis covers the interval from 1986 to 2001. We find that: (1) right-wing governments are penalized for higher inflation while the left-wing ones are not, (2) left-wing governments are more penalized for increases in the unemployment rate; (3) voters base their evaluations of incumbents’ performances on perceptions of past and current economic conditions, rather than on expected future economic outcomes.Springer ScienceUniversidade do MinhoVeiga, Francisco JoséVeiga, Linda Gonçalves2004-032004-03-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/1822/1455eng“Public Choice“. 118:3-4 (2004) 341-364.1573-7101info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-21T11:59:35Zoai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/1455Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:49:23.741859Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
title |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
spellingShingle |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal Veiga, Francisco José Social Sciences |
title_short |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
title_full |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
title_fullStr |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
title_full_unstemmed |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
title_sort |
The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal |
author |
Veiga, Francisco José |
author_facet |
Veiga, Francisco José Veiga, Linda Gonçalves |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Veiga, Linda Gonçalves |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade do Minho |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Veiga, Francisco José Veiga, Linda Gonçalves |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Social Sciences |
topic |
Social Sciences |
description |
This paper offers new insights on the interactions between economics and politics in Portugal.We use two unexplored data sets consisting of monthly polls on vote intentions for the main political parties in Portugal and responses to a consumer survey containing a battery of questions on economic evaluations. The analysis covers the interval from 1986 to 2001. We find that: (1) right-wing governments are penalized for higher inflation while the left-wing ones are not, (2) left-wing governments are more penalized for increases in the unemployment rate; (3) voters base their evaluations of incumbents’ performances on perceptions of past and current economic conditions, rather than on expected future economic outcomes. |
publishDate |
2004 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2004-03 2004-03-01T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1455 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1455 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
“Public Choice“. 118:3-4 (2004) 341-364. 1573-7101 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer Science |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer Science |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799132258504802304 |