Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/7644 |
Resumo: | Temperature record-breaking events, such as the observed more intense, longer-lasting, and more frequent heat waves, pose a new global challenge to health sectors worldwide. These threats are of particular interest in low-income regions with limited investments in public health and a growing urban population, such as Brazil. Here, we apply a comprehensive interdisciplinary climate-health approach, including meteorological data and a daily mortality record from the Brazilian Health System from 2000 to 2015, covering 21 cities over the Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro. The percentage of absolute mortality increase due to summer extreme temperatures is estimated using a negative binomial regression modeling approach and maximum/minimum temperature-derived indexes as covariates. Moreover, this study assesses the vulnerability to thermal stress for different age groups and both genders and thoroughly analyzes four extremely intense heat waves during 2010 and 2012 regarding their impacts on the population. Results showed that the highest absolute mortality values during heat-related events were linked to circulatory illnesses. However, the highest excess of mortality was related to diabetes, particularly for women within the elderly age groups. Moreover, results indicate that accumulated heat stress conditions during consecutive days preferentially preceded by persistent periods of moderate-temperature, lead to higher excess mortality rather than sporadic single hot days. This work may provide directions in human health policies related to extreme climate events in large tropical metropolitan areas from developing countries, contributing to altering the historically based purely reactive response. |
id |
RCAP_ec127084ac9a0c0b0391c9d34b3e120a |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:repositorio.insa.pt:10400.18/7644 |
network_acronym_str |
RCAP |
network_name_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository_id_str |
7160 |
spelling |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, BrazilAgedBrazilCitiesClimate ChangeFemaleHumansMaleMortalityClimateHot TemperatureExtreme EventsExtreme Heat FactorHeat WavesMortality LevelsRio de JaneiroDeterminantes da Saúde e da DoençaTemperature record-breaking events, such as the observed more intense, longer-lasting, and more frequent heat waves, pose a new global challenge to health sectors worldwide. These threats are of particular interest in low-income regions with limited investments in public health and a growing urban population, such as Brazil. Here, we apply a comprehensive interdisciplinary climate-health approach, including meteorological data and a daily mortality record from the Brazilian Health System from 2000 to 2015, covering 21 cities over the Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro. The percentage of absolute mortality increase due to summer extreme temperatures is estimated using a negative binomial regression modeling approach and maximum/minimum temperature-derived indexes as covariates. Moreover, this study assesses the vulnerability to thermal stress for different age groups and both genders and thoroughly analyzes four extremely intense heat waves during 2010 and 2012 regarding their impacts on the population. Results showed that the highest absolute mortality values during heat-related events were linked to circulatory illnesses. However, the highest excess of mortality was related to diabetes, particularly for women within the elderly age groups. Moreover, results indicate that accumulated heat stress conditions during consecutive days preferentially preceded by persistent periods of moderate-temperature, lead to higher excess mortality rather than sporadic single hot days. This work may provide directions in human health policies related to extreme climate events in large tropical metropolitan areas from developing countries, contributing to altering the historically based purely reactive response.This work was partially funded by project INDECIS, which is part of ERA4CS, an ERA-NETinitiated by JPI Climate,with cofunding by the European Union (grant 690462). Renata Libonati was supported by the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPQ, grant 305159/2018-6) and Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (FAPERJ, grant E26/202.714/ 2019). Lucas C.O. Castro was supported by the Programa Institucional de Bolsas de Iniciação Científica – Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (PIBIC-UFRJ).Springer/ International Society of BiometeorologyRepositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de SaúdeGeirinhas, João L.Russo, AnaLibonati, RenataTrigo, Ricardo M.Castro, Lucas C.O.Peres, Leonardo F.Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar F.M.Nunes, Baltazar2021-04-05T17:49:40Z2020-082020-08-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/7644engInt J Biometeorol. 2020 Aug;64(8):1319-1332. doi: 10.1007/s00484-020-01908-x. Epub 2020 Apr 20.0020-712810.1007/s00484-020-01908-xinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-20T15:42:07Zoai:repositorio.insa.pt:10400.18/7644Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:42:17.165341Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
title |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Geirinhas, João L. Aged Brazil Cities Climate Change Female Humans Male Mortality Climate Hot Temperature Extreme Events Extreme Heat Factor Heat Waves Mortality Levels Rio de Janeiro Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença |
title_short |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
title_full |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
title_sort |
Heat-related mortality at the beginning of the twenty-first century in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
author |
Geirinhas, João L. |
author_facet |
Geirinhas, João L. Russo, Ana Libonati, Renata Trigo, Ricardo M. Castro, Lucas C.O. Peres, Leonardo F. Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar F.M. Nunes, Baltazar |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Russo, Ana Libonati, Renata Trigo, Ricardo M. Castro, Lucas C.O. Peres, Leonardo F. Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar F.M. Nunes, Baltazar |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de Saúde |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Geirinhas, João L. Russo, Ana Libonati, Renata Trigo, Ricardo M. Castro, Lucas C.O. Peres, Leonardo F. Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar F.M. Nunes, Baltazar |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Aged Brazil Cities Climate Change Female Humans Male Mortality Climate Hot Temperature Extreme Events Extreme Heat Factor Heat Waves Mortality Levels Rio de Janeiro Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença |
topic |
Aged Brazil Cities Climate Change Female Humans Male Mortality Climate Hot Temperature Extreme Events Extreme Heat Factor Heat Waves Mortality Levels Rio de Janeiro Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença |
description |
Temperature record-breaking events, such as the observed more intense, longer-lasting, and more frequent heat waves, pose a new global challenge to health sectors worldwide. These threats are of particular interest in low-income regions with limited investments in public health and a growing urban population, such as Brazil. Here, we apply a comprehensive interdisciplinary climate-health approach, including meteorological data and a daily mortality record from the Brazilian Health System from 2000 to 2015, covering 21 cities over the Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro. The percentage of absolute mortality increase due to summer extreme temperatures is estimated using a negative binomial regression modeling approach and maximum/minimum temperature-derived indexes as covariates. Moreover, this study assesses the vulnerability to thermal stress for different age groups and both genders and thoroughly analyzes four extremely intense heat waves during 2010 and 2012 regarding their impacts on the population. Results showed that the highest absolute mortality values during heat-related events were linked to circulatory illnesses. However, the highest excess of mortality was related to diabetes, particularly for women within the elderly age groups. Moreover, results indicate that accumulated heat stress conditions during consecutive days preferentially preceded by persistent periods of moderate-temperature, lead to higher excess mortality rather than sporadic single hot days. This work may provide directions in human health policies related to extreme climate events in large tropical metropolitan areas from developing countries, contributing to altering the historically based purely reactive response. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-08 2020-08-01T00:00:00Z 2021-04-05T17:49:40Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/7644 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/7644 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Int J Biometeorol. 2020 Aug;64(8):1319-1332. doi: 10.1007/s00484-020-01908-x. Epub 2020 Apr 20. 0020-7128 10.1007/s00484-020-01908-x |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
embargoedAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer/ International Society of Biometeorology |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Springer/ International Society of Biometeorology |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1799132168171028480 |