Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2009 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638 |
Resumo: | In this paper we develop a new model for stochastic mortality that considers the possibility of both positive and negative catastrophic mortality shocks. Specifically, we assume that the mortality intensity can be described by an affine function of a finite number of latent factors whose dynamics is represented by affine-jump diffusion processes. The model is then embedded into an affine-jump framework, widely used in the term structure literature, in order to derive closed-form solutions for the survival probability. This framework and model application to the classical Gompertz-Makeham mortality law provides a theoretical foundation for the pricing and hedging of longevity-linked derivatives. |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factorslongevity riskaffine modelsstochasticmortalityIn this paper we develop a new model for stochastic mortality that considers the possibility of both positive and negative catastrophic mortality shocks. Specifically, we assume that the mortality intensity can be described by an affine function of a finite number of latent factors whose dynamics is represented by affine-jump diffusion processes. The model is then embedded into an affine-jump framework, widely used in the term structure literature, in order to derive closed-form solutions for the survival probability. This framework and model application to the classical Gompertz-Makeham mortality law provides a theoretical foundation for the pricing and hedging of longevity-linked derivatives.Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Pensions, Insurance and Savings, Paris, France.2013-01-23T10:29:18Z2013-01-232009-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638http://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638engBravo, J. M. (2009). Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors, Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Pensions, Insurance and Savings, Paris, France.http://www.ifd.dauphine.fr/fileadmin/mediatheque/IFD/Workshop_Najat/stochastic_mortality_using_multiple_latent_factors.J.Bravo.pdfjbravo@uevora.pt645Bravo, Jorgeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-03T18:47:57Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/7638Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:02:06.135692Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
title |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
spellingShingle |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors Bravo, Jorge longevity risk affine models stochastic mortality |
title_short |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
title_full |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
title_fullStr |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
title_sort |
Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors |
author |
Bravo, Jorge |
author_facet |
Bravo, Jorge |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bravo, Jorge |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
longevity risk affine models stochastic mortality |
topic |
longevity risk affine models stochastic mortality |
description |
In this paper we develop a new model for stochastic mortality that considers the possibility of both positive and negative catastrophic mortality shocks. Specifically, we assume that the mortality intensity can be described by an affine function of a finite number of latent factors whose dynamics is represented by affine-jump diffusion processes. The model is then embedded into an affine-jump framework, widely used in the term structure literature, in order to derive closed-form solutions for the survival probability. This framework and model application to the classical Gompertz-Makeham mortality law provides a theoretical foundation for the pricing and hedging of longevity-linked derivatives. |
publishDate |
2009 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2009-01-01T00:00:00Z 2013-01-23T10:29:18Z 2013-01-23 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/7638 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Bravo, J. M. (2009). Modelling Mortality using Multiple Stochastic Latent Factors, Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Pensions, Insurance and Savings, Paris, France. http://www.ifd.dauphine.fr/fileadmin/mediatheque/IFD/Workshop_Najat/stochastic_mortality_using_multiple_latent_factors.J.Bravo.pdf jbravo@uevora.pt 645 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Pensions, Insurance and Savings, Paris, France. |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Pensions, Insurance and Savings, Paris, France. |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799136504928272384 |