Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Martins, Rodrigo
Data de Publicação: 2013
Outros Autores: Veiga, Francisco José
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/1822/25134
Resumo: This paper analyzes the effects of voter turnout on the vote shares received by the incumbent government. A system of simultaneous equations is estimated using a panel dataset of 278 Portuguese municipalities, for the period 1979-2005, covering 10 legislative elections. The results indicate that right-wing governments have lower vote shares when turnout is higher, while left-wing ones seem to be unaffected. There is also evidence of the responsibility hypothesis, that turnout is higher in closer elections, and that regional/local economic variables have non-linear effects on turnout.
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spelling Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?Vote sharesTurnoutLegislative electionsPortugalThis paper analyzes the effects of voter turnout on the vote shares received by the incumbent government. A system of simultaneous equations is estimated using a panel dataset of 278 Portuguese municipalities, for the period 1979-2005, covering 10 legislative elections. The results indicate that right-wing governments have lower vote shares when turnout is higher, while left-wing ones seem to be unaffected. There is also evidence of the responsibility hypothesis, that turnout is higher in closer elections, and that regional/local economic variables have non-linear effects on turnout.COMPETE, QREN, FEDER, Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaUniversidade do Minho. Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE)Universidade do MinhoMartins, RodrigoVeiga, Francisco José20132013-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/1822/25134enghttp://www.nipe.eeg.uminho.pt/Uploads/NIPE_WP_15_2013.pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-21T12:48:52Zoai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/25134Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T19:47:12.934603Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
title Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
spellingShingle Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
Martins, Rodrigo
Vote shares
Turnout
Legislative elections
Portugal
title_short Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
title_full Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
title_fullStr Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
title_full_unstemmed Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
title_sort Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?
author Martins, Rodrigo
author_facet Martins, Rodrigo
Veiga, Francisco José
author_role author
author2 Veiga, Francisco José
author2_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Minho
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Martins, Rodrigo
Veiga, Francisco José
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Vote shares
Turnout
Legislative elections
Portugal
topic Vote shares
Turnout
Legislative elections
Portugal
description This paper analyzes the effects of voter turnout on the vote shares received by the incumbent government. A system of simultaneous equations is estimated using a panel dataset of 278 Portuguese municipalities, for the period 1979-2005, covering 10 legislative elections. The results indicate that right-wing governments have lower vote shares when turnout is higher, while left-wing ones seem to be unaffected. There is also evidence of the responsibility hypothesis, that turnout is higher in closer elections, and that regional/local economic variables have non-linear effects on turnout.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013
2013-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/1822/25134
url http://hdl.handle.net/1822/25134
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv http://www.nipe.eeg.uminho.pt/Uploads/NIPE_WP_15_2013.pdf
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Minho. Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Minho. Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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