Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes Martins
Data de Publicação: 2022
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR
Texto Completo: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/16201
Resumo: The main objective of this study is to understand the behavior and attitudes of non-partisan voters. For this analysis, we will seek to understand the behavior in relation to the relevance of this voter's vote to break the pattern of electoral competition dominated by PT and PSDB. And the analysis of attitudes in order to investigate the view of the non-partisan voter who is less educated and who has no interest in politics regarding the vote for Jair Bolsonaro in 2018. The main hypotheses are: the change in the voting pattern affected the break of the PT-PSDB bipartisan pattern and the profile of the apolitical independent is more susceptible to anti-democratic and anti-systemic appeals. In order to confirm or not these answers, the electorate was segmented based on Russell Dalton's Theory of Cognitive Mobilization (2013), which typifies the electorate into four electoral profiles, namely: cognitive partisans, ritual partisans, nonpartisans and independent apolitical, focusing on the last group. This is because, according to Borba, Gimenes and Ribeiro (2015), it would be this segment, formed by low education and low interest in politics, that would represent most Brazilians. The work was divided into three chapters: at first, the theoretical and conceptual construction of the research was presented; then, we discussed the methodological aspects based on data from the Brazilian Electoral Study (ESEB), referring to the 2002, 2014 and 2018 elections; and finally, the results were analyzed in three sections: i) the indices of the variables that make up the theory of cognitive mobilization over the years analyzed; then, ii) the aspects of the vote of voters were indicated based on the typology presented in the highlighted years and, finally, iii) the vote for Jair Bolsonaro among the apolitical independent voter in the 2018 election was investigated more deeply, profile that poses the greatest risk to democracy. It is concluded that the break of the PT-PSDB pattern was not an unexpected rupture, the vote of the non-partisan voter was important for the result of the 2018 election and, therefore, for the victory of Jair Bolsonaro, especially among apolitical independents, thus confirming the main hypotheses of this dissertation. In addition, it was demonstrated that antipetismo had a strong influence on the result among nonpartisans.
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spelling Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes MartinsBraga, Maria do Socorro Sousahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2311094074614215http://lattes.cnpq.br/231528205434929506229b16-9734-46a5-8784-d412cf22d4ff2022-05-27T15:36:33Z2022-05-27T15:36:33Z2022-02-21JAEGER, Rafaella Lopes Martins. Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários. 2022. Dissertação (Mestrado em Ciência Política) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2022. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/16201.https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/16201The main objective of this study is to understand the behavior and attitudes of non-partisan voters. For this analysis, we will seek to understand the behavior in relation to the relevance of this voter's vote to break the pattern of electoral competition dominated by PT and PSDB. And the analysis of attitudes in order to investigate the view of the non-partisan voter who is less educated and who has no interest in politics regarding the vote for Jair Bolsonaro in 2018. The main hypotheses are: the change in the voting pattern affected the break of the PT-PSDB bipartisan pattern and the profile of the apolitical independent is more susceptible to anti-democratic and anti-systemic appeals. In order to confirm or not these answers, the electorate was segmented based on Russell Dalton's Theory of Cognitive Mobilization (2013), which typifies the electorate into four electoral profiles, namely: cognitive partisans, ritual partisans, nonpartisans and independent apolitical, focusing on the last group. This is because, according to Borba, Gimenes and Ribeiro (2015), it would be this segment, formed by low education and low interest in politics, that would represent most Brazilians. The work was divided into three chapters: at first, the theoretical and conceptual construction of the research was presented; then, we discussed the methodological aspects based on data from the Brazilian Electoral Study (ESEB), referring to the 2002, 2014 and 2018 elections; and finally, the results were analyzed in three sections: i) the indices of the variables that make up the theory of cognitive mobilization over the years analyzed; then, ii) the aspects of the vote of voters were indicated based on the typology presented in the highlighted years and, finally, iii) the vote for Jair Bolsonaro among the apolitical independent voter in the 2018 election was investigated more deeply, profile that poses the greatest risk to democracy. It is concluded that the break of the PT-PSDB pattern was not an unexpected rupture, the vote of the non-partisan voter was important for the result of the 2018 election and, therefore, for the victory of Jair Bolsonaro, especially among apolitical independents, thus confirming the main hypotheses of this dissertation. In addition, it was demonstrated that antipetismo had a strong influence on the result among nonpartisans.O presente estudo tem como principal objetivo compreender o comportamento e as atitudes do eleitor não partidário. Para tal análise buscaremos entender o comportamento em relação a relevância do voto desse eleitor para a quebra do padrão de competição eleitoral dominado pelo PT e PSDB. E a análise das atitudes no sentido de investigar a visão do eleitor não partidário que é menos escolarizado e que não tem interesse por política com relação ao voto no Jair Bolsonaro em 2018. As principais hipóteses são: a mudança no padrão de voto afetou a quebra do padrão bipartidário PT-PSDB e o perfil do independente apolítico é mais suscetível a apelos antidemocráticos e antisistémicos. Afim de confirmar ou não essas respostas, segmentou-se o eleitorado a partir da Teoria da Mobilização Cognitiva do Russell Dalton (2013), que tipifica o eleitorado em quatro perfis eleitorais, a saber: partidários cognitivos, partidários rituais, apartidários e apolíticos independentes, possuindo como foco o último grupo. Isso porque, segundo Borba, Gimenes e Ribeiro (2015), seria este segmento, formado por baixa escolaridade e baixo interesse por política, que representaria maior parte dos brasileiros. O trabalho foi dividido em três capítulos: no primeiro momento apresentou-se a construção teórica e conceitual da pesquisa; em seguida, discorreu-se sobre os aspectos metodológicos baseados nos dados do Estudo Eleitoral Brasileiro (ESEB), referente às eleições de 2002, 2014 e 2018; e por fim, analisou-se os resultados em três seções: i) os índices das variáveis que compõem a teoria da mobilização cognitiva ao longo dos anos analisados; depois, ii) indicou-se os aspectos do voto dos eleitores a partir da tipologia apresentada nos anos destacados e, finalmente, iii) investigou-se de maneira mais profunda o voto no Jair Bolsonaro entre o eleitor independente apolítico na eleição de 2018, perfil que representa maior risco para a democracia. Conclui-se que a quebra do padrão PT-PSDB não foi uma ruptura inesperada, o voto do eleitor não partidário foi importante para o resultado da eleição de 2018 e, portanto, para a vitória do Jair Bolsonaro, sobretudo, entre os independentes apolíticos, confirmando assim as principais hipóteses desta dissertação. Além disso, foi demonstrado que o antipetismo teve forte influência no resultado entre os apartidários.Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)88887.482799/2020-00porUniversidade Federal de São CarlosCâmpus São CarlosPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Ciência Política - PPGPolUFSCarAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Brazilhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/br/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessApartidarismoApolíticaVotoEleiçõesComportamento PolíticoNonpartisanshipThe politicsVoteElectionsPolitical BehaviorCIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::COMPORTAMENTO POLITICOApartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidáriosNonpartisanship or apolitical (2002-2018): an analysis of the behavior and attitudes of non-partisan votersinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis60060075c76fa1-31f6-4c7c-827c-c478dc7baee1reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSCARinstname:Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)instacron:UFSCARORIGINALDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdfDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdfapplication/pdf1086057https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/5/Disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o_Rafaella%20Jaeger.pdf5025c5f831ec69e523c4f9e4ab593d20MD55carta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdfcarta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdfapplication/pdf126010https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/6/carta-dep%c3%b3sito%20de%20disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o%20_%20Rafaella%20.pdf96a5897b8a59140b04012178a6492997MD56CC-LICENSElicense_rdflicense_rdfapplication/rdf+xml; charset=utf-8811https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/7/license_rdfe39d27027a6cc9cb039ad269a5db8e34MD57TEXTDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdf.txtDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain265126https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/8/Disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o_Rafaella%20Jaeger.pdf.txte7b2817f67a3cf397eeb22323882ede2MD58carta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdf.txtcarta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain1255https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/10/carta-dep%c3%b3sito%20de%20disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o%20_%20Rafaella%20.pdf.txt36224f08b3579090aed26732609e13cdMD510THUMBNAILDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdf.jpgDissertação_Rafaella Jaeger.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg6746https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/9/Disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o_Rafaella%20Jaeger.pdf.jpg35e349a1b53ba16758c0ebbfc6794b8cMD59carta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdf.jpgcarta-depósito de dissertação _ Rafaella .pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg10279https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/16201/11/carta-dep%c3%b3sito%20de%20disserta%c3%a7%c3%a3o%20_%20Rafaella%20.pdf.jpg4778a7821cb9b2d2924581e53d72d051MD511ufscar/162012023-09-18 18:32:31.072oai:repositorio.ufscar.br:ufscar/16201Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.ufscar.br/oai/requestopendoar:43222023-09-18T18:32:31Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR - Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)false
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv Nonpartisanship or apolitical (2002-2018): an analysis of the behavior and attitudes of non-partisan voters
title Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
spellingShingle Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes Martins
Apartidarismo
Apolítica
Voto
Eleições
Comportamento Político
Nonpartisanship
The politics
Vote
Elections
Political Behavior
CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::COMPORTAMENTO POLITICO
title_short Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
title_full Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
title_fullStr Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
title_full_unstemmed Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
title_sort Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários
author Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes Martins
author_facet Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes Martins
author_role author
dc.contributor.authorlattes.por.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/2315282054349295
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Jaeger, Rafaella Lopes Martins
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Braga, Maria do Socorro Sousa
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/2311094074614215
dc.contributor.authorID.fl_str_mv 06229b16-9734-46a5-8784-d412cf22d4ff
contributor_str_mv Braga, Maria do Socorro Sousa
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Apartidarismo
Apolítica
Voto
Eleições
Comportamento Político
topic Apartidarismo
Apolítica
Voto
Eleições
Comportamento Político
Nonpartisanship
The politics
Vote
Elections
Political Behavior
CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::COMPORTAMENTO POLITICO
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Nonpartisanship
The politics
Vote
Elections
Political Behavior
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::COMPORTAMENTO POLITICO
description The main objective of this study is to understand the behavior and attitudes of non-partisan voters. For this analysis, we will seek to understand the behavior in relation to the relevance of this voter's vote to break the pattern of electoral competition dominated by PT and PSDB. And the analysis of attitudes in order to investigate the view of the non-partisan voter who is less educated and who has no interest in politics regarding the vote for Jair Bolsonaro in 2018. The main hypotheses are: the change in the voting pattern affected the break of the PT-PSDB bipartisan pattern and the profile of the apolitical independent is more susceptible to anti-democratic and anti-systemic appeals. In order to confirm or not these answers, the electorate was segmented based on Russell Dalton's Theory of Cognitive Mobilization (2013), which typifies the electorate into four electoral profiles, namely: cognitive partisans, ritual partisans, nonpartisans and independent apolitical, focusing on the last group. This is because, according to Borba, Gimenes and Ribeiro (2015), it would be this segment, formed by low education and low interest in politics, that would represent most Brazilians. The work was divided into three chapters: at first, the theoretical and conceptual construction of the research was presented; then, we discussed the methodological aspects based on data from the Brazilian Electoral Study (ESEB), referring to the 2002, 2014 and 2018 elections; and finally, the results were analyzed in three sections: i) the indices of the variables that make up the theory of cognitive mobilization over the years analyzed; then, ii) the aspects of the vote of voters were indicated based on the typology presented in the highlighted years and, finally, iii) the vote for Jair Bolsonaro among the apolitical independent voter in the 2018 election was investigated more deeply, profile that poses the greatest risk to democracy. It is concluded that the break of the PT-PSDB pattern was not an unexpected rupture, the vote of the non-partisan voter was important for the result of the 2018 election and, therefore, for the victory of Jair Bolsonaro, especially among apolitical independents, thus confirming the main hypotheses of this dissertation. In addition, it was demonstrated that antipetismo had a strong influence on the result among nonpartisans.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-05-27T15:36:33Z
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identifier_str_mv JAEGER, Rafaella Lopes Martins. Apartidarismo ou apolítica (2002-2018): uma análise sobre o comportamento e as atitudes dos eleitores não partidários. 2022. Dissertação (Mestrado em Ciência Política) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2022. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/16201.
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