Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Feitosa, Cirdêmia Costa
Data de Publicação: 2015
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR
Texto Completo: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233
Resumo: The usual models in repairable systems are minimal, perfect and imperfect repair, and, in the literature, the minimum repair model is the most explored. In repairable systems it is common that the same type of components are studied and in these cases is relevant to verify the heterogeneity between them. According to Vaupel et al. (1979), the standard methods for analysis of repairable systems data ignore the heterogeneity not observed and in some cases this should be considered. Such variability can be estimated from frailty models, characterized by using a random e ect. It is proposed that the minimum repair model with frailty in order to estimate the heterogeneity not observed between systems. For this model it was conducted a simulation study in order to analyze the frequentist properties of the estimation process. The application of a real data set showed the applicability of the proposed model, in which the estimation of the parameters were determined from maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches.
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spelling Feitosa, Cirdêmia CostaTomazella, Vera Lucia Damascenohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/8870556978317000http://lattes.cnpq.br/90628166682071621fea196c-9bc4-43c1-a752-b642edfb60222016-09-16T19:51:41Z2016-09-16T19:51:41Z2015-09-15FEITOSA, Cirdêmia Costa. Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233.https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233The usual models in repairable systems are minimal, perfect and imperfect repair, and, in the literature, the minimum repair model is the most explored. In repairable systems it is common that the same type of components are studied and in these cases is relevant to verify the heterogeneity between them. According to Vaupel et al. (1979), the standard methods for analysis of repairable systems data ignore the heterogeneity not observed and in some cases this should be considered. Such variability can be estimated from frailty models, characterized by using a random e ect. It is proposed that the minimum repair model with frailty in order to estimate the heterogeneity not observed between systems. For this model it was conducted a simulation study in order to analyze the frequentist properties of the estimation process. The application of a real data set showed the applicability of the proposed model, in which the estimation of the parameters were determined from maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches.Os modelos de sistemas reparáveis usuais são os de reparo mí nimo, perfeito e imperfeito, sendo que, na literatura, o modelo de reparo mí nimo e o mais explorado. Em sistemas reparáveis e comum que componentes do mesmo tipo sejam estudados e nestes casos é relevante verifi car a heterogeneidade entre eles. Segundo Vaupel et al. (1979), os métodos padrões em análise de dados de sistemas reparáveis ignoram a heterogeneidade não observada e em alguns casos esta deveria ser considerada. Tal variabilidade pode ser estimada a partir dos modelos de fragilidade, caracterizados pela utilização de um efeito aleat ório. Propõe-se o modelo de reparo mí nimo com fragilidade, a fi m de estimar a heterogeneidade não observada entre sistemas. Para este modelo foi realizado um estudo de simula ção com o objetivo de analisar as propriedades frequentistas do processo de estimação. A aplicação em um conjunto de dados reais mostrou a aplicabilidade do modelo proposto, em que a estima ção dos parâmetros foram determinadas a partir das abordagens de m áxima verossimilhan ça e Bayesiana.Não recebi financiamentoporUniversidade Federal de São CarlosCâmpus São CarlosPrograma Interinstitucional de Pós-Graduação em Estatística - PIPGEsUFSCarEstatísticaSistemas reparáveisFragilidadeAbordagem bayesianaMinimal repairPerfect repairImperfect repairFrailtyBayesianRepairable systemsCIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICAModelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidadeModeling repairable systems data with fragilityinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisOnline600600ceb2c79a-7b68-4784-a3a7-b6fb90af1437info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSCARinstname:Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)instacron:UFSCARLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81957https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7233/2/license.txtae0398b6f8b235e40ad82cba6c50031dMD52ORIGINALDissCCF.pdfDissCCF.pdfapplication/pdf1472861https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7233/1/DissCCF.pdf937810926b98a08677085a559d13aec9MD51TEXTDissCCF.pdf.txtDissCCF.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain97405https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7233/3/DissCCF.pdf.txt6c199083dd3cbc70dbbecd69fc260bb6MD53THUMBNAILDissCCF.pdf.jpgDissCCF.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg4378https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7233/4/DissCCF.pdf.jpg9d148d6d9c4c7c04053437cf32e5485bMD54ufscar/72332023-09-18 18:31:49.069oai:repositorio.ufscar.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.ufscar.br/oai/requestopendoar:43222023-09-18T18:31:49Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR - Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)false
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv Modeling repairable systems data with fragility
title Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
spellingShingle Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
Feitosa, Cirdêmia Costa
Estatística
Sistemas reparáveis
Fragilidade
Abordagem bayesiana
Minimal repair
Perfect repair
Imperfect repair
Frailty
Bayesian
Repairable systems
CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA
title_short Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
title_full Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
title_fullStr Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
title_full_unstemmed Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
title_sort Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade
author Feitosa, Cirdêmia Costa
author_facet Feitosa, Cirdêmia Costa
author_role author
dc.contributor.authorlattes.por.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/9062816668207162
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Feitosa, Cirdêmia Costa
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Tomazella, Vera Lucia Damasceno
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/8870556978317000
dc.contributor.authorID.fl_str_mv 1fea196c-9bc4-43c1-a752-b642edfb6022
contributor_str_mv Tomazella, Vera Lucia Damasceno
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Estatística
Sistemas reparáveis
Fragilidade
Abordagem bayesiana
topic Estatística
Sistemas reparáveis
Fragilidade
Abordagem bayesiana
Minimal repair
Perfect repair
Imperfect repair
Frailty
Bayesian
Repairable systems
CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Minimal repair
Perfect repair
Imperfect repair
Frailty
Bayesian
Repairable systems
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA
description The usual models in repairable systems are minimal, perfect and imperfect repair, and, in the literature, the minimum repair model is the most explored. In repairable systems it is common that the same type of components are studied and in these cases is relevant to verify the heterogeneity between them. According to Vaupel et al. (1979), the standard methods for analysis of repairable systems data ignore the heterogeneity not observed and in some cases this should be considered. Such variability can be estimated from frailty models, characterized by using a random e ect. It is proposed that the minimum repair model with frailty in order to estimate the heterogeneity not observed between systems. For this model it was conducted a simulation study in order to analyze the frequentist properties of the estimation process. The application of a real data set showed the applicability of the proposed model, in which the estimation of the parameters were determined from maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2015-09-15
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2016-09-16T19:51:41Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2016-09-16T19:51:41Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv FEITOSA, Cirdêmia Costa. Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233
identifier_str_mv FEITOSA, Cirdêmia Costa. Modelagem de dados de sistemas reparáveis com fragilidade. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233.
url https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7233
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600
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de São Carlos
Câmpus São Carlos
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv Programa Interinstitucional de Pós-Graduação em Estatística - PIPGEs
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UFSCar
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de São Carlos
Câmpus São Carlos
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