The evaluation of behavior of the pandemic covid-19 and the prognosis of its evolution

• Autor(a) principal: Rodríguez Rodriguez, Giordano
• Data de Publicação: 2020
• Outros Autores: Álvarez Álvarez, Nestor Miguel, Almeida Borges, Magaly, Ramírez Varona, Rafael F.
• Tipo de documento: preprint
• Idioma: spa
• Título da fonte: SciELO Preprints
• Texto Completo: https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/1367
• topic: Daily increment of sick person; Standard increment; New lethality; Covid-19; Indicator of salute; Incremento diario de contagios; Incremento promedio; Nueva letalidad; Covid-19; Indicador de salud

Objective: To propose indicator and procedures to evaluate and predict the behavior of the pandemic covid-19. Methods and techniques: Researching of information about the behavior of the pandemic covid-19 in the different sceneries and the application of mathematic and statistics methods. Main results: Indicators and procedure that contribute to evaluate the pandemic covid-19 situation and to make prognosis in relation to the increment, sick persons and death for the decision making. Conclusions: The proposed indicators and procedures contribute to evaluate the behavior of the pandemic covid-19 and to predict in a short and meddle terms it’s behavior for the sanitary and governmental decision making.