Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | preprint |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | SciELO Preprints |
Texto Completo: | https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/3666 |
Resumo: | Objective: To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in the state of Piauí, Brazil, from 2007 to 2019. Methods: Ecological time series study. The Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the trend in the incidence, lethality and operational indicators of VL. Results: The mean incidence of VL in the state was 6.03/100,000 inhabitants, with an increasing trend in the 40-59 age group [annual percentage variation (VPA = 3.88 [95%CI 0.49;7.40]) and in the regions located in the south of the state: Tabuleiros do Alto Parnaíba (VPA =14.19 [95%CI 3.91;25.50]) and Chapada das Mangabeiras (VPA = 12.15 [95%CI 6.69;24.96]). The average lethality was 6.02%, remaining stable. The average rate of evolution to cure was 52.58%, with a decreasing trend (VPA = -5.67 [95%CI -8.05;-3.23]). Conclusion: There was a trend towards an increase in the incidence and a reduction in the cure rate of VL. |
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Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicatorsLeishmaniasis visceral en Piauí, Brasil, 2007-2019: análisis ecológico de series temporales y distribución espacial de indicadores epidemiológicos y operativosLeishmaniose visceral no Piauí, 2007-2019: análise ecológica de séries temporais e distribuição espacial de indicadores epidemiológicos e operacionaisLeishmaniose VisceralEpidemiologiaIndicadores de MorbimortalidadeNotificação de DoençasSistemas de Informação em SaúdeEstudos de Séries TemporaisLeishmaniasis, VisceralEpidemiologyIndicators of Morbidity and MortalityDisease NotificationHealth Information SystemsTime Series StudiesLeishmaniasis VisceralEpidemiologíaIndicadores de MorbimortalidadNotificación de EnfermedadesSistemas de Información en SaludEstudios de Series TempolaresObjective: To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in the state of Piauí, Brazil, from 2007 to 2019. Methods: Ecological time series study. The Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the trend in the incidence, lethality and operational indicators of VL. Results: The mean incidence of VL in the state was 6.03/100,000 inhabitants, with an increasing trend in the 40-59 age group [annual percentage variation (VPA = 3.88 [95%CI 0.49;7.40]) and in the regions located in the south of the state: Tabuleiros do Alto Parnaíba (VPA =14.19 [95%CI 3.91;25.50]) and Chapada das Mangabeiras (VPA = 12.15 [95%CI 6.69;24.96]). The average lethality was 6.02%, remaining stable. The average rate of evolution to cure was 52.58%, with a decreasing trend (VPA = -5.67 [95%CI -8.05;-3.23]). Conclusion: There was a trend towards an increase in the incidence and a reduction in the cure rate of VL. Objetivo: Analizar tendencia temporal y distribución espacial de leishmaniasis visceral (LV) en estado de Piauí, Brasil, de 2007 a 2019. Métodos: Estudio de series temporales ecológicas. Se utilizo regresión de Prais-Winsten para analizar tendencia en indicadores de incidencia, letalidad y operacional del LV. Resultados: La incidencia media de LV em estado fue de 6,03/100 mil habitantes, com tendencia creciente en grupo de 40 a 59 años [variación porcentual anual (VPA = 3,88 [IC95% 0,49;7,40]) y en regiones ubicadas al sur del estado: Tabuleiros do Alto Parnaíba (VPA = 14,19 [IC95% 3,91;25,50]) y Chapada das Mangabeiras (VPA = 12,15 [IC95% 6,69;24,96]). La letalidad media fue 6,02%, permaneciendo estable. La tasa media de evolución a curación fue 52,58%, con tendencia decreciente (VPA = -5,67 [IC95% -8,05;-3,23]). Conclusión: Hubo tendencia hacia aumento em incidencia y reducción en tasa de curación de LV.Objetivo: Analisar a tendência temporal e a distribuição espacial da leishmaniose visceral (LV) no estado do Piauí, Brasil, no período de 2007 a 2019. Métodos: Estudo ecológico de séries temporais. Empregou-se a regressão de Prais-Winsten para analisar a tendência da incidência, letalidade e indicadores operacionais da LV. Resultados: A incidência média de LV no estado foi de 6,03/100 mil habitantes, com tendência crescente na faixa de 40-59 anos (variação percentual anual [VPA] = 3,88 [IC95%0,49;7,40]) e nas regiões localizadas ao sul do estado: Tabuleiros do Alto Parnaíba (VPA = 14,19 [IC95% 3,91;25,50]) e Chapada das Mangabeiras (VPA = 12,15 [IC95% 6,69;24,96]). A letalidade média foi de 6,02%, mantendo-se estável. A taxa média de evolução para cura foi de 52,58%, com tendência decrescente (VPA = -5,67 [IC95% -8,05;-3,23]). Conclusão: Houve tendência de aumento na incidência e de redução na taxa de cura da leishmaniose visceral.SciELO PreprintsSciELO PreprintsSciELO Preprints2022-02-21info:eu-repo/semantics/preprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/366610.1590/S1679-49742022000100013porhttps://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/article/view/3666/6791Copyright (c) 2022 André Felipe de Castro Pereira Chaves, Igor Vinícius Soares Costa, Francisco Aragão de Sousa Neto, Matheus Oliveira de Brito, Márcio Dênis Medeiros Mascarenhashttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessChaves, André Felipe de Castro PereiraCosta, Igor Vinícius SoaresSousa Neto, Francisco Aragão deBrito, Matheus Oliveira deMascarenhas, Márcio Dênis Medeirosreponame:SciELO Preprintsinstname:SciELOinstacron:SCI2022-02-21T18:50:01Zoai:ops.preprints.scielo.org:preprint/3666Servidor de preprintshttps://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scieloONGhttps://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/oaiscielo.submission@scielo.orgopendoar:2022-02-21T18:50:01SciELO Preprints - SciELOfalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators Leishmaniasis visceral en Piauí, Brasil, 2007-2019: análisis ecológico de series temporales y distribución espacial de indicadores epidemiológicos y operativos Leishmaniose visceral no Piauí, 2007-2019: análise ecológica de séries temporais e distribuição espacial de indicadores epidemiológicos e operacionais |
title |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
spellingShingle |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators Chaves, André Felipe de Castro Pereira Leishmaniose Visceral Epidemiologia Indicadores de Morbimortalidade Notificação de Doenças Sistemas de Informação em Saúde Estudos de Séries Temporais Leishmaniasis, Visceral Epidemiology Indicators of Morbidity and Mortality Disease Notification Health Information Systems Time Series Studies Leishmaniasis Visceral Epidemiología Indicadores de Morbimortalidad Notificación de Enfermedades Sistemas de Información en Salud Estudios de Series Tempolares |
title_short |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
title_full |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
title_fullStr |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
title_full_unstemmed |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
title_sort |
Visceral leishmaniasis in Piauí, Brazil, 2007-2019: ecological analyzes of time series and spatial distribution of epidemiological and operational indicators |
author |
Chaves, André Felipe de Castro Pereira |
author_facet |
Chaves, André Felipe de Castro Pereira Costa, Igor Vinícius Soares Sousa Neto, Francisco Aragão de Brito, Matheus Oliveira de Mascarenhas, Márcio Dênis Medeiros |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Costa, Igor Vinícius Soares Sousa Neto, Francisco Aragão de Brito, Matheus Oliveira de Mascarenhas, Márcio Dênis Medeiros |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Chaves, André Felipe de Castro Pereira Costa, Igor Vinícius Soares Sousa Neto, Francisco Aragão de Brito, Matheus Oliveira de Mascarenhas, Márcio Dênis Medeiros |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Leishmaniose Visceral Epidemiologia Indicadores de Morbimortalidade Notificação de Doenças Sistemas de Informação em Saúde Estudos de Séries Temporais Leishmaniasis, Visceral Epidemiology Indicators of Morbidity and Mortality Disease Notification Health Information Systems Time Series Studies Leishmaniasis Visceral Epidemiología Indicadores de Morbimortalidad Notificación de Enfermedades Sistemas de Información en Salud Estudios de Series Tempolares |
topic |
Leishmaniose Visceral Epidemiologia Indicadores de Morbimortalidade Notificação de Doenças Sistemas de Informação em Saúde Estudos de Séries Temporais Leishmaniasis, Visceral Epidemiology Indicators of Morbidity and Mortality Disease Notification Health Information Systems Time Series Studies Leishmaniasis Visceral Epidemiología Indicadores de Morbimortalidad Notificación de Enfermedades Sistemas de Información en Salud Estudios de Series Tempolares |
description |
Objective: To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in the state of Piauí, Brazil, from 2007 to 2019. Methods: Ecological time series study. The Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the trend in the incidence, lethality and operational indicators of VL. Results: The mean incidence of VL in the state was 6.03/100,000 inhabitants, with an increasing trend in the 40-59 age group [annual percentage variation (VPA = 3.88 [95%CI 0.49;7.40]) and in the regions located in the south of the state: Tabuleiros do Alto Parnaíba (VPA =14.19 [95%CI 3.91;25.50]) and Chapada das Mangabeiras (VPA = 12.15 [95%CI 6.69;24.96]). The average lethality was 6.02%, remaining stable. The average rate of evolution to cure was 52.58%, with a decreasing trend (VPA = -5.67 [95%CI -8.05;-3.23]). Conclusion: There was a trend towards an increase in the incidence and a reduction in the cure rate of VL. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-02-21 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
preprint |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/3666 10.1590/S1679-49742022000100013 |
url |
https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/3666 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.1590/S1679-49742022000100013 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/article/view/3666/6791 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
SciELO Preprints SciELO Preprints SciELO Preprints |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
SciELO Preprints SciELO Preprints SciELO Preprints |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:SciELO Preprints instname:SciELO instacron:SCI |
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SciELO |
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SCI |
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SCI |
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SciELO Preprints |
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SciELO Preprints |
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SciELO Preprints - SciELO |
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scielo.submission@scielo.org |
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1797047827300352000 |