Situation of the Covid-19 Epidemic in Brazil in August 2020: Most Northern and Northeastern States in a Saturation Phase, while Southern States in Acceleration or Slight Deceleration

• Autor(a) principal: Duarte-Filho, Gerson C.
• Data de Publicação: 2020
• Outros Autores: Brum, Arthur A., Ospina, Raydonal, Almeida, Francisco A. G., Macêdo, Antônio M. S., Vasconcelos, Giovani L.
• Tipo de documento: preprint
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: SciELO Preprints
• Texto Completo: https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/1136
• topic: covid-19; curvas acumuladas; estágio da epidemia; fase de saturação; estados brasileiros; modelos de crescimento

In this Technical Note we analyze the cumulative curves of deaths attributed to Covid-19 in the 26 Brazilian states and the Federal District until August 21, 2020. Mathematical growth models implemented by the ModInterv Covid-19 application, which can be accessed via internet browser or via a mobile app available at the Google Play Store, were used to investigate at which stage the epidemic is in each of these entities of the Federation. The analysis revealed that almost all states in the Northern and Northeastern regions are in the saturation phase, when the epidemic is relatively under control, while in all Southern states and in most states in the Midwest the epidemic is still accelerating or shows only a slight deceleration. The Southeastern region presents a great diversity of epidemic stages, with each state at a different stage, ranging from acceleration to saturation.