Does uncertainty deter crime?

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: de Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo
Data de Publicação: 2018
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Economic Analysis of law Review
Texto Completo: https://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709
Resumo: When the probability of apprehension and conviction is observed with noise, the decision to commit a crime is influenced by the uncertainty about the true probability. In this note we show that increases in the uncertainty discourage criminal behavior only in societies with high criminal rates -- where individuals are already highly prone to act illegally. Our findings also show that severity of punishment and uncertainty about the probability of apprehension and conviction are substitute (complementary) anti-crime policy instruments whenever the size of sanction is high (low, respectively) enough.
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spelling Does uncertainty deter crime?uncertainty economics of crime incentives.When the probability of apprehension and conviction is observed with noise, the decision to commit a crime is influenced by the uncertainty about the true probability. In this note we show that increases in the uncertainty discourage criminal behavior only in societies with high criminal rates -- where individuals are already highly prone to act illegally. Our findings also show that severity of punishment and uncertainty about the probability of apprehension and conviction are substitute (complementary) anti-crime policy instruments whenever the size of sanction is high (low, respectively) enough.Universidade Católica de Brasília2018-09-03info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionEscolha sob incertezaAvaliado por Pares; Peer Reviewedapplication/pdfhttps://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709Economic Analysis of Law Review; Vol. 9 No. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-62Economic Analysis of Law Review ; Vol. 9 Núm. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-62Economic Analysis of Law Review; v. 9 n. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-622178-0587reponame:Economic Analysis of law Reviewinstname:Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)instacron:UCBenghttps://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709/5849Copyright (c) 2018 Economic Analysis of Law Reviewinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessde Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo2023-06-15T18:36:27Zoai:ojs.portalrevistas.ucb.br:article/8709Revistahttps://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/ealrONGhttps://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/oaieditor.ealr@gmail.com||sdi@ucb.br||benjaminm.tabak@gmail.com2178-05872178-0587opendoar:2023-06-15T18:36:27Economic Analysis of law Review - Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Does uncertainty deter crime?
title Does uncertainty deter crime?
spellingShingle Does uncertainty deter crime?
de Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo
uncertainty
economics of crime
incentives.
title_short Does uncertainty deter crime?
title_full Does uncertainty deter crime?
title_fullStr Does uncertainty deter crime?
title_full_unstemmed Does uncertainty deter crime?
title_sort Does uncertainty deter crime?
author de Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo
author_facet de Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv de Carvalho Griebeler, Marcelo
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv uncertainty
economics of crime
incentives.
topic uncertainty
economics of crime
incentives.
description When the probability of apprehension and conviction is observed with noise, the decision to commit a crime is influenced by the uncertainty about the true probability. In this note we show that increases in the uncertainty discourage criminal behavior only in societies with high criminal rates -- where individuals are already highly prone to act illegally. Our findings also show that severity of punishment and uncertainty about the probability of apprehension and conviction are substitute (complementary) anti-crime policy instruments whenever the size of sanction is high (low, respectively) enough.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2018-09-03
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Escolha sob incerteza
Avaliado por Pares; Peer Reviewed
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709
url https://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://portalrevistas.ucb.br/index.php/EALR/article/view/8709/5849
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2018 Economic Analysis of Law Review
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2018 Economic Analysis of Law Review
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Católica de Brasília
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Católica de Brasília
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Economic Analysis of Law Review; Vol. 9 No. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-62
Economic Analysis of Law Review ; Vol. 9 Núm. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-62
Economic Analysis of Law Review; v. 9 n. 2 (2018): Economic Analysis of Law Review; 57-62
2178-0587
reponame:Economic Analysis of law Review
instname:Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)
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instname_str Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)
instacron_str UCB
institution UCB
reponame_str Economic Analysis of law Review
collection Economic Analysis of law Review
repository.name.fl_str_mv Economic Analysis of law Review - Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv editor.ealr@gmail.com||sdi@ucb.br||benjaminm.tabak@gmail.com
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