Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/34144 |
Resumo: | This study evaluates the production behavior and prices in the beef cattle industry in the Brazilian Amazon. We used time series data obtained from various sources and employed multiple regression and polynomial regression analysis. For the price analysis, we used the classical time series model and separated the seasonal and cyclic indices based on the 12-month centered moving average. The analyses covered the period from 1990 to 2015, when the regional cattle population grew at a rate of 5% per year, compared to the national growth rate of 1.7%. The price analysis reveals the existence of cycles in regional cattle ranching, defined mainly by an inverse correlation between the price of fattened cattle and the slaughter of matrices. As for the variables determining the growth of the cattle population, we find that rural credit policy assumes an important role in enabling the supply of resources for financing livestock projects that are more popular than investments in agriculture. The creation and structuring of state agricultural defense agencies in the late 1990s represents an important measure in the institutional sphere, as the implementation of animal health policies and programs has generated a favorable environment for the expansion of investments in meat production and processing, in addition to opening up opportunities for trade in the domestic and international markets. |
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Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
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Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian AmazonComportamento da produção e dos preços de bovinos de corte na Amazônia BrasileiraAmazonPrice analysisBeef cattle ranchingRural creditMarket.AmazôniaAnálise de preçosBovinocultura de corteCrédito ruralMercado.This study evaluates the production behavior and prices in the beef cattle industry in the Brazilian Amazon. We used time series data obtained from various sources and employed multiple regression and polynomial regression analysis. For the price analysis, we used the classical time series model and separated the seasonal and cyclic indices based on the 12-month centered moving average. The analyses covered the period from 1990 to 2015, when the regional cattle population grew at a rate of 5% per year, compared to the national growth rate of 1.7%. The price analysis reveals the existence of cycles in regional cattle ranching, defined mainly by an inverse correlation between the price of fattened cattle and the slaughter of matrices. As for the variables determining the growth of the cattle population, we find that rural credit policy assumes an important role in enabling the supply of resources for financing livestock projects that are more popular than investments in agriculture. The creation and structuring of state agricultural defense agencies in the late 1990s represents an important measure in the institutional sphere, as the implementation of animal health policies and programs has generated a favorable environment for the expansion of investments in meat production and processing, in addition to opening up opportunities for trade in the domestic and international markets.O artigo avalia o comportamento da produção e dos preços no mercado da pecuária de corte da Amazônia brasileira. Utilizaram-se dados de séries temporais obtidos em diversas fontes e submetidos às análises de regressão múltipla e regressão polinomial. Para a análise de preços utilizou-se o modelo clássico de séries temporais com a separação dos índices sazonais e cíclicos com base na média móvel centrada em doze meses. As análises abrangem o período de 1990 a 2015, fase em que o rebanho bovino regional evoluiu a uma taxa de 5% ao ano, frente a um crescimento de 1,7% do rebanho nacional. A análise de preços revelou a existência de ciclos na pecuária bovina regional, definidos, principalmente, pela correlação inversa entre o preço do boi gordo e o abate de matrizes. Quanto às análises das variáveis determinantes do crescimento da produção, configurado na expansão do rebanho, constatou-se que a política de crédito rural assumiu papel importante ao viabilizar a oferta de recursos para o financiamento de projetos pecuários que ganharam espaço frente aos investimentos em agricultura. A criação e estruturação das agências estaduais de defesa agropecuária, a partir do final da década de 1990, representou avanço importante na esfera institucional, pois ao executarem as políticas e programas de sanidade animal tem gerado um ambiente favorável para a expansão dos investimentos na produção e processamento, além de abrir oportunidades para comercialização no mercado interno, nacional e internacional.UEL2019-06-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionMétodos e Modelos Matemáticos, Econométricos e Estatísticosapplication/pdfhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/3414410.5433/1679-0359.2019v40n4p1639Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 40 No. 4 (2019); 1639-1652Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 40 n. 4 (2019); 1639-16521679-03591676-546Xreponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)instacron:UELenghttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/34144/25466Copyright (c) 2019 Semina: Ciências Agráriashttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSantos, Marcos Antônio Souza dosLourenço Júnior, José de BritoSantana, Antônio Cordeiro deHomma, Alfredo Kingo OyamaMartins, Cyntia MereilesRebello, Fabrício KhourySoares, Bruno CabralSilva, André Guimarães Maciel e2022-10-19T12:53:07Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/34144Revistahttp://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrariasPUBhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/oaisemina.agrarias@uel.br1679-03591676-546Xopendoar:2022-10-19T12:53:07Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon Comportamento da produção e dos preços de bovinos de corte na Amazônia Brasileira |
title |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
spellingShingle |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon Santos, Marcos Antônio Souza dos Amazon Price analysis Beef cattle ranching Rural credit Market. Amazônia Análise de preços Bovinocultura de corte Crédito rural Mercado. |
title_short |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
title_full |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
title_fullStr |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
title_full_unstemmed |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
title_sort |
Production behavior and prices of beef cattle in the Brazilian Amazon |
author |
Santos, Marcos Antônio Souza dos |
author_facet |
Santos, Marcos Antônio Souza dos Lourenço Júnior, José de Brito Santana, Antônio Cordeiro de Homma, Alfredo Kingo Oyama Martins, Cyntia Mereiles Rebello, Fabrício Khoury Soares, Bruno Cabral Silva, André Guimarães Maciel e |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Lourenço Júnior, José de Brito Santana, Antônio Cordeiro de Homma, Alfredo Kingo Oyama Martins, Cyntia Mereiles Rebello, Fabrício Khoury Soares, Bruno Cabral Silva, André Guimarães Maciel e |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Santos, Marcos Antônio Souza dos Lourenço Júnior, José de Brito Santana, Antônio Cordeiro de Homma, Alfredo Kingo Oyama Martins, Cyntia Mereiles Rebello, Fabrício Khoury Soares, Bruno Cabral Silva, André Guimarães Maciel e |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Amazon Price analysis Beef cattle ranching Rural credit Market. Amazônia Análise de preços Bovinocultura de corte Crédito rural Mercado. |
topic |
Amazon Price analysis Beef cattle ranching Rural credit Market. Amazônia Análise de preços Bovinocultura de corte Crédito rural Mercado. |
description |
This study evaluates the production behavior and prices in the beef cattle industry in the Brazilian Amazon. We used time series data obtained from various sources and employed multiple regression and polynomial regression analysis. For the price analysis, we used the classical time series model and separated the seasonal and cyclic indices based on the 12-month centered moving average. The analyses covered the period from 1990 to 2015, when the regional cattle population grew at a rate of 5% per year, compared to the national growth rate of 1.7%. The price analysis reveals the existence of cycles in regional cattle ranching, defined mainly by an inverse correlation between the price of fattened cattle and the slaughter of matrices. As for the variables determining the growth of the cattle population, we find that rural credit policy assumes an important role in enabling the supply of resources for financing livestock projects that are more popular than investments in agriculture. The creation and structuring of state agricultural defense agencies in the late 1990s represents an important measure in the institutional sphere, as the implementation of animal health policies and programs has generated a favorable environment for the expansion of investments in meat production and processing, in addition to opening up opportunities for trade in the domestic and international markets. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-06-07 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Métodos e Modelos Matemáticos, Econométricos e Estatísticos |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/34144 10.5433/1679-0359.2019v40n4p1639 |
url |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/34144 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.5433/1679-0359.2019v40n4p1639 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/34144/25466 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Semina: Ciências Agrárias http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Semina: Ciências Agrárias http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UEL |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UEL |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 40 No. 4 (2019); 1639-1652 Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 40 n. 4 (2019); 1639-1652 1679-0359 1676-546X reponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) instacron:UEL |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) |
instacron_str |
UEL |
institution |
UEL |
reponame_str |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
collection |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
semina.agrarias@uel.br |
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1799306080392577024 |