Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998)
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2001 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0011-52582001000300002 |
Resumo: | This article presents an analysis of the different theoretical models for the relationship between elections and economics, as well as econometric tests applied to GDP and employment trends in Latin American democracies from 1979 to 1998. Considering that a governments possibilities for pushing its policy objectives forward depends on its agenda power, the article analyzes the majority versus minority nature of governments, seeking to define the political conditions that favor a level of macroeconomic evolution in keeping with the objective of maintaining power. On the one hand, the results of empirical tests show a post-electoral deterioration of target indicators, as predicted by theoretical models. On the other hand, greater economic dynamism in election years is observed more frequently in governments with a majority in the legislature, a characteristic of the political system generally associated with greater macroeconomic policy efficiency, but also a condition favoring electoral manipulation of policy. |
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Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998)electionsgovernment behavioreconomicspolitical institutionsThis article presents an analysis of the different theoretical models for the relationship between elections and economics, as well as econometric tests applied to GDP and employment trends in Latin American democracies from 1979 to 1998. Considering that a governments possibilities for pushing its policy objectives forward depends on its agenda power, the article analyzes the majority versus minority nature of governments, seeking to define the political conditions that favor a level of macroeconomic evolution in keeping with the objective of maintaining power. On the one hand, the results of empirical tests show a post-electoral deterioration of target indicators, as predicted by theoretical models. On the other hand, greater economic dynamism in election years is observed more frequently in governments with a majority in the legislature, a characteristic of the political system generally associated with greater macroeconomic policy efficiency, but also a condition favoring electoral manipulation of policy.Instituto de Estudos Sociais e Políticos (IESP) da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)2001-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0011-52582001000300002Dados v.44 n.3 2001reponame:Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociaisinstname:Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)instacron:UERJ10.1590/S0011-52582001000300002info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBorsani,Hugopor2001-12-20T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0011-52582001000300002Revistahttp://dados.iesp.uerj.br/PUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||dados@iesp.uerj.br1678-45880011-5258opendoar:2001-12-20T00:00Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
title |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
spellingShingle |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) Borsani,Hugo elections government behavior economics political institutions |
title_short |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
title_full |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
title_fullStr |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
title_sort |
Eleições e desempenho macroeconômico na América Latina (1979-1998) |
author |
Borsani,Hugo |
author_facet |
Borsani,Hugo |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Borsani,Hugo |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
elections government behavior economics political institutions |
topic |
elections government behavior economics political institutions |
description |
This article presents an analysis of the different theoretical models for the relationship between elections and economics, as well as econometric tests applied to GDP and employment trends in Latin American democracies from 1979 to 1998. Considering that a governments possibilities for pushing its policy objectives forward depends on its agenda power, the article analyzes the majority versus minority nature of governments, seeking to define the political conditions that favor a level of macroeconomic evolution in keeping with the objective of maintaining power. On the one hand, the results of empirical tests show a post-electoral deterioration of target indicators, as predicted by theoretical models. On the other hand, greater economic dynamism in election years is observed more frequently in governments with a majority in the legislature, a characteristic of the political system generally associated with greater macroeconomic policy efficiency, but also a condition favoring electoral manipulation of policy. |
publishDate |
2001 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2001-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0011-52582001000300002 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0011-52582001000300002 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/S0011-52582001000300002 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto de Estudos Sociais e Políticos (IESP) da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto de Estudos Sociais e Políticos (IESP) da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Dados v.44 n.3 2001 reponame:Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais instname:Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) instacron:UERJ |
instname_str |
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) |
instacron_str |
UERJ |
institution |
UERJ |
reponame_str |
Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais |
collection |
Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||dados@iesp.uerj.br |
_version_ |
1750312647563149312 |