The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Queiroz, Matheus Silveira de
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Carvalho , José Alberto Lima de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista Geotemas
Texto Completo: http://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193
Resumo: The study of nonlinear dynamical systems has been receiving increasing attention from the scientific community. Chaos theory, developed in the early 1960s, seeks solutions for systems that were neither close to equilibrium nor to a periodic solution, thus discovering chaotic motion (irregular and aperiodic oscillations) on a strange attractor. This discovery was an advance for the analysis of hydrological dynamics, now considered a nonlinear system. Therefore, this article seeks to present, from the perspective of Chaos theory, potentialities for the hydrological analysis of a river system. For this, the fluvial dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quota, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos theory. For this, the river dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quotas, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos Theory. The results show that analysis of turbulent flows, in particular helical flows, and sediment transport and deposition processes is interesting from the perspective of Chaos for a short time scale, making it difficult to predict the results on a larger time scale. The use of monthly means to predict data phenomena of quotas, liquid discharge and suspended sediments is not indicated by the nonlinear dynamics of the data, however it is possible to predict the data on a short time scale. It was also observed that the larger the predicted time scale, the greater the chance of inconsistencies in the data, and the use for predictions, using the Chaos theory, greater than one year is not indicated.
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spelling The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)El Bajo Rí­o Solimões Desde La Perspectiva De La Teorí­a Del Caos (Caos Determinista)O BAIXO RIO SOLIMÕES PELA PERSPECTIVA DA TEORIA DO CAOS (CAOS DETERMINÍSTICO)Análise Não-LinearGrandes RiosBacia AmazônicaComplexidadeNon-Linear AnalysisMegariversAmazon BasinComplexityAnálisis no linealGrandes Rí­osCuenca del AmazonasComplejidadThe study of nonlinear dynamical systems has been receiving increasing attention from the scientific community. Chaos theory, developed in the early 1960s, seeks solutions for systems that were neither close to equilibrium nor to a periodic solution, thus discovering chaotic motion (irregular and aperiodic oscillations) on a strange attractor. This discovery was an advance for the analysis of hydrological dynamics, now considered a nonlinear system. Therefore, this article seeks to present, from the perspective of Chaos theory, potentialities for the hydrological analysis of a river system. For this, the fluvial dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quota, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos theory. For this, the river dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quotas, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos Theory. The results show that analysis of turbulent flows, in particular helical flows, and sediment transport and deposition processes is interesting from the perspective of Chaos for a short time scale, making it difficult to predict the results on a larger time scale. The use of monthly means to predict data phenomena of quotas, liquid discharge and suspended sediments is not indicated by the nonlinear dynamics of the data, however it is possible to predict the data on a short time scale. It was also observed that the larger the predicted time scale, the greater the chance of inconsistencies in the data, and the use for predictions, using the Chaos theory, greater than one year is not indicated.El estudio de los sistemas dinámicos no lineales está recibiendo cada vez más atención por parte de la comunidad cientí­fica. La teorí­a del Caos, desarrollada a principios de la década de 1960, busca soluciones para sistemas que no se acercan al equilibrio ni a una solución periódica, descubriendo así­ el movimiento caótico (oscilaciones irregulares y aperiódicas) sobre un atractor extraño. Este descubrimiento fue un avance para el análisis de la dinámica hidrológica, ahora considerado un sistema no lineal. Por tanto, este artí­culo busca presentar, desde la perspectiva de la teorí­a del Caos, las potencialidades para el análisis hidrológico de un sistema fluvial. Para ello, se analizaron la dinámica fluvial y los procesos de erosión y sedimentación, además de comprender datos sobre cuotas, descarga lí­quida y sedimentos en suspensión, buscando comprender los promedios mensuales para predecir los datos desde la perspectiva de la teorí­a del Caos. Los resultados muestran que el análisis de los flujos turbulentos, en particular los flujos helicoidales, y los procesos de transporte y deposición de sedimentos, es interesante desde la perspectiva del Caos para una escala de tiempo corta, lo que dificulta predecir los resultados a una escala de tiempo mayor. El uso de promedios mensuales para predecir fenómenos de datos de cuotas, descarga de lí­quidos y sedimentos en suspensión no está indicado por la dinámica no lineal de los datos, sin embargo, es posible predecir los datos en una escala de tiempo corta. También se observó que cuanto mayor es la escala de tiempo predicha, mayor es la posibilidad de inconsistencias en los datos, y no se indica el uso para predicciones, utilizando la teorí­a del Caos, mayor de un año.  O estudo dos sistemas dinâmicos não-lineares vem recebendo cada vez mais atenção da comunidade cientí­fica. A Teoria do Caos, desenvolvida no iní­cio da década de 60, busca soluções para sistemas que não se aproximavam do equilí­brio nem de uma solução periódica, descobrindo assim, o movimento caótico (oscilações irregulares e aperiódicas) sobre um atrator estranho. Esta descoberta foi um avanço para a análise da dinâmica hidrológica, considerada agora um sistema não-linear. Portanto, este artigo busca apresentar, sob a perspectiva da Teoria do Caos, potencialidades para a análise hidrológica de um sistema fluvial. Para isto, analisou-se a dinâmica fluvial e processos de erosão e sedimentação, além de entender dados de cotas, descarga lí­quida e sedimentos em suspensão, buscando compreender as médias mensais para prever os dados sob a perspectiva da Teoria do Caos. Os resultados apontam que análise dos fluxos turbulentos, em especí­fico, fluxos helicoidais, e processos de transporte e deposição de sedimentos é interessante sob a perspectiva do Caos para uma escala de tempo curta, sendo difí­cil prever os resultados em uma escala de tempo maior. A utilização de médias mensais para prever fenômenos dados de cotas, descarga lí­quida e sedimentos em suspensão não é indicada pela dinâmica não-linear dos dados, porém é possí­vel prever os dados em uma escala temporal curta. Observou-se, também, que quanto maior for a escala temporal prevista, maior a chance de haver inconsistências nos dados, não sendo indicada o uso para previsões, usando a Teoria do Caos, superiores a um ano.Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)2021-09-30info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer reviewed Revisado por paresAvaliado pelos paresapplication/pdfhttp://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193JOURNAL GEOTEMAS; Vol. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e02112REVISTA GEOTEMAS; Vol. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e02112Revista Geotemas; v. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e021122236-255Xreponame:Revista Geotemasinstname:Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)instacron:UERNporhttp://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193/2784Copyright (c) 2021 Revista Geotemasinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessQueiroz, Matheus Silveira de Carvalho , José Alberto Lima de2022-02-09T14:53:57Zoai:ojs2.periodicos.apps.uern.br:article/3193Revistahttp://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/indexPUBhttp://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/oaigeotemas@uern.br||josielguedes@yahoo.com.br2236-255X2236-255Xopendoar:2022-02-09T14:53:57Revista Geotemas - Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
El Bajo Rí­o Solimões Desde La Perspectiva De La Teorí­a Del Caos (Caos Determinista)
O BAIXO RIO SOLIMÕES PELA PERSPECTIVA DA TEORIA DO CAOS (CAOS DETERMINÍSTICO)
title The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
spellingShingle The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
Queiroz, Matheus Silveira de
Análise Não-Linear
Grandes Rios
Bacia Amazônica
Complexidade
Non-Linear Analysis
Megarivers
Amazon Basin
Complexity
Análisis no lineal
Grandes Rí­os
Cuenca del Amazonas
Complejidad
title_short The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
title_full The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
title_fullStr The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
title_full_unstemmed The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
title_sort The Lower Solimões River from the Chaos Theory Perspective (Deterministic Chaos)
author Queiroz, Matheus Silveira de
author_facet Queiroz, Matheus Silveira de
Carvalho , José Alberto Lima de
author_role author
author2 Carvalho , José Alberto Lima de
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Queiroz, Matheus Silveira de
Carvalho , José Alberto Lima de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Análise Não-Linear
Grandes Rios
Bacia Amazônica
Complexidade
Non-Linear Analysis
Megarivers
Amazon Basin
Complexity
Análisis no lineal
Grandes Rí­os
Cuenca del Amazonas
Complejidad
topic Análise Não-Linear
Grandes Rios
Bacia Amazônica
Complexidade
Non-Linear Analysis
Megarivers
Amazon Basin
Complexity
Análisis no lineal
Grandes Rí­os
Cuenca del Amazonas
Complejidad
description The study of nonlinear dynamical systems has been receiving increasing attention from the scientific community. Chaos theory, developed in the early 1960s, seeks solutions for systems that were neither close to equilibrium nor to a periodic solution, thus discovering chaotic motion (irregular and aperiodic oscillations) on a strange attractor. This discovery was an advance for the analysis of hydrological dynamics, now considered a nonlinear system. Therefore, this article seeks to present, from the perspective of Chaos theory, potentialities for the hydrological analysis of a river system. For this, the fluvial dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quota, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos theory. For this, the river dynamics and erosion and sedimentation processes were analyzed, in addition to understanding data of quotas, water discharge and suspended sediments, seeking to understand the monthly means to predict the data from the perspective of Chaos Theory. The results show that analysis of turbulent flows, in particular helical flows, and sediment transport and deposition processes is interesting from the perspective of Chaos for a short time scale, making it difficult to predict the results on a larger time scale. The use of monthly means to predict data phenomena of quotas, liquid discharge and suspended sediments is not indicated by the nonlinear dynamics of the data, however it is possible to predict the data on a short time scale. It was also observed that the larger the predicted time scale, the greater the chance of inconsistencies in the data, and the use for predictions, using the Chaos theory, greater than one year is not indicated.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-09-30
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer reviewed
Revisado por pares
Avaliado pelos pares
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193
url http://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv http://periodicos.apps.uern.br/index.php/GEOTemas/article/view/3193/2784
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Revista Geotemas
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Revista Geotemas
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv JOURNAL GEOTEMAS; Vol. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e02112
REVISTA GEOTEMAS; Vol. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e02112
Revista Geotemas; v. 11 (2021): Revista Geotemas; e02112
2236-255X
reponame:Revista Geotemas
instname:Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)
instacron:UERN
instname_str Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)
instacron_str UERN
institution UERN
reponame_str Revista Geotemas
collection Revista Geotemas
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Geotemas - Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte (UERN)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv geotemas@uern.br||josielguedes@yahoo.com.br
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