PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS OF FIRE OCCURRENCES IN THE AMAZONIAN BIOME OF MARANHÃO

• Autor(a) principal: Gonzaga Masullo, Yata Anderson
• Data de Publicação: 2018
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: GeoTextos (Online)
• Texto Completo: https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/geotextos/article/view/28097
• topic: Incêndios; Bioma Amazônico; Maranhão; Fires; Amazonian Biome; Maranhão

The present research is developed with the purpose of analyze the space time incidence of burn occurrences in the Amazonian biome of Maranhão, with the purpose of proposing the development of a predictive model of rapid application based on the data provided by the National Institute of Space Research - INPE. The study consisted of the overlapping of burning points in the Maranhão Amazonian Biome between 1999 and 2017, observed RF fire risk, days without recorded rainfall, besides the radiative power of the occurrence - FRP, through Kriging. Based on the proposed model, it was possible to identify that 37.4% of the Amazonian biome of Maranhão has low/low risk, while 55.3% is in the moderate/high risk range and 7.3% are areas with a critical level. Thus, the present research sought to contribute to the discussions related to the construction of public policies, which allow the real mitigation of the fire risk from the territorial singularities of the Amazonian biome of Maranhão.