Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662019000700499 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT Based on historical series, for each locality, equations can characterize the relationship between intensity, duration and frequency of rainfall occurrence. The objective of this study was to present two equations that can describe the occurrence of intense rainfall in Pelotas, RS state, over the period 1982-2015. The two equations were denominated conventional and hybrid, depending on the probabilistic model used. Following the conventional methodology, the parameters of Normal, Log-Normal, Gumbel and Gamma probability distributions were adjusted by the maximum likelihood method for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20, 25, 50 and 100 years. The maximum intensity values for the hybrid equation were obtained using the empirical model of Weibull, considering return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20 and 25 years. On the other hand, the same theoretical distributions used in the conventional equation were applied to return periods of 50 and 100 years. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to select the best fitting distribution for the data. In order to verify the information acquired through the Weibull empirical model in comparison to the theoretical distributions, the t-test was applied to the angular coefficients. Significant differences were not verified between the values of maximum rainfall intensities obtained using the two methodologies, for the pre-established durations and return periods. Thus, considering the maximum rainfall intensities values (durations of 5-1440 min) and return periods of 2-100 years in the municipality of Pelotas, RS, Brazil, both the hybrid and the conventional intense rainfall equations can be used. |
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Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazilrainfall recordsintense rainfallsmaximum rainfall intensitiesABSTRACT Based on historical series, for each locality, equations can characterize the relationship between intensity, duration and frequency of rainfall occurrence. The objective of this study was to present two equations that can describe the occurrence of intense rainfall in Pelotas, RS state, over the period 1982-2015. The two equations were denominated conventional and hybrid, depending on the probabilistic model used. Following the conventional methodology, the parameters of Normal, Log-Normal, Gumbel and Gamma probability distributions were adjusted by the maximum likelihood method for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20, 25, 50 and 100 years. The maximum intensity values for the hybrid equation were obtained using the empirical model of Weibull, considering return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20 and 25 years. On the other hand, the same theoretical distributions used in the conventional equation were applied to return periods of 50 and 100 years. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to select the best fitting distribution for the data. In order to verify the information acquired through the Weibull empirical model in comparison to the theoretical distributions, the t-test was applied to the angular coefficients. Significant differences were not verified between the values of maximum rainfall intensities obtained using the two methodologies, for the pre-established durations and return periods. Thus, considering the maximum rainfall intensities values (durations of 5-1440 min) and return periods of 2-100 years in the municipality of Pelotas, RS, Brazil, both the hybrid and the conventional intense rainfall equations can be used.Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola - UFCG2019-07-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662019000700499Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental v.23 n.7 2019reponame:Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Campina Grande (UFCG)instacron:UFCG10.1590/1807-1929/agriambi.v23n7p499-505info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessDorneles,Viviane R.Damé,Rita de C. F.Teixeira-Gandra,Claudia F. A.Veber,Patrick M.Klumb,Gustavo B.Ramirez,Mario A. A.eng2019-07-04T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1415-43662019000700499Revistahttp://www.scielo.br/rbeaaPUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||agriambi@agriambi.com.br1807-19291415-4366opendoar:2019-07-04T00:00Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) - Universidade Federal de Campina Grande (UFCG)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
title |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil Dorneles,Viviane R. rainfall records intense rainfalls maximum rainfall intensities |
title_short |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
title_full |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
title_sort |
Modeling of probability in obtaining intensity-duration-frequency relationships of rainfall occurrence for Pelotas, RS, Brazil |
author |
Dorneles,Viviane R. |
author_facet |
Dorneles,Viviane R. Damé,Rita de C. F. Teixeira-Gandra,Claudia F. A. Veber,Patrick M. Klumb,Gustavo B. Ramirez,Mario A. A. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Damé,Rita de C. F. Teixeira-Gandra,Claudia F. A. Veber,Patrick M. Klumb,Gustavo B. Ramirez,Mario A. A. |
author2_role |
author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Dorneles,Viviane R. Damé,Rita de C. F. Teixeira-Gandra,Claudia F. A. Veber,Patrick M. Klumb,Gustavo B. Ramirez,Mario A. A. |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
rainfall records intense rainfalls maximum rainfall intensities |
topic |
rainfall records intense rainfalls maximum rainfall intensities |
description |
ABSTRACT Based on historical series, for each locality, equations can characterize the relationship between intensity, duration and frequency of rainfall occurrence. The objective of this study was to present two equations that can describe the occurrence of intense rainfall in Pelotas, RS state, over the period 1982-2015. The two equations were denominated conventional and hybrid, depending on the probabilistic model used. Following the conventional methodology, the parameters of Normal, Log-Normal, Gumbel and Gamma probability distributions were adjusted by the maximum likelihood method for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20, 25, 50 and 100 years. The maximum intensity values for the hybrid equation were obtained using the empirical model of Weibull, considering return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20 and 25 years. On the other hand, the same theoretical distributions used in the conventional equation were applied to return periods of 50 and 100 years. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to select the best fitting distribution for the data. In order to verify the information acquired through the Weibull empirical model in comparison to the theoretical distributions, the t-test was applied to the angular coefficients. Significant differences were not verified between the values of maximum rainfall intensities obtained using the two methodologies, for the pre-established durations and return periods. Thus, considering the maximum rainfall intensities values (durations of 5-1440 min) and return periods of 2-100 years in the municipality of Pelotas, RS, Brazil, both the hybrid and the conventional intense rainfall equations can be used. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-07-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662019000700499 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662019000700499 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1807-1929/agriambi.v23n7p499-505 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola - UFCG |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola - UFCG |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental v.23 n.7 2019 reponame:Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) instname:Universidade Federal de Campina Grande (UFCG) instacron:UFCG |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Campina Grande (UFCG) |
instacron_str |
UFCG |
institution |
UFCG |
reponame_str |
Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) |
collection |
Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental (Online) - Universidade Federal de Campina Grande (UFCG) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||agriambi@agriambi.com.br |
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1750297686879240192 |