Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFG |
dARK ID: | ark:/38995/00130000053tf |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/6289 |
Resumo: | INTRODUCTION: Routine infant immunization with meningococcal C conjugate vaccine (MenC-V) started in Brazil in November 2010, administered at three, five and 12 months of age with no catch-up for older age-groups. However, by March 2010, a vaccination campaign with MenC-V was performed in Salvador in individuals under five years-old, and from 10 to 24 yearsold. In São Paulo state, the outbreaks occurred in teenagers and young adults prompting one-time vaccination campaign from 2010 to 2014 targeting these age-groups. OBJECTIVE: To assess the direct and indirect impact (herd effect) of vaccination on invasive meningococcal disease (MD) for capsular group C (MenC) four years after the introduction of MenC-V in three scenarios: i) Brazil as a whole (routine vaccination in childhood only); ii) Brazil except for Salvador (vaccination campaign with teenagers during the year of MenC-V introduction); and iii) São Paulo state (vaccination campaign for adolescents and young adults during 2010-2014 to control outbreaks). METHODS: We performed an ecological quasi-experimental design from 2008 to 2014 using data from the National Reference Laboratory for Meningitis, and data from the National Information System for Notifiable Diseases. A deterministic linkage was performed between the two databases to improve the accuracy of the detection of MD, especially in capsular groups. An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted using the Holt-Winters technique to control for pre-existing trends and seasonal variations. The MenC vaccination impact was evaluated as the percentage of reduction in the incidence rates of MenC in the post-vaccination period (2012 to 2014), using the pre-vaccination period (2008 to 2010) to estimate what would be expected on the post-vaccination period, whether the vaccination had not been introduced. For Salvador, we analyzed the effect of the vaccination on the number of MenC cases. RESULTS: A total of 18,136 invasive MD cases were analyzed. For Brazil as a whole, the vaccination reduced 67.4% (lower 95%CI 42.5%) the rates for MenC for infants under 12 months, 92.3% (lower 95%CI 77.7%) for the age-group 12-23 months, and 65.7% (lower 95%CI 28%) for children aged 2-4 years. Indirect impact (20-24.7%) was observed in the age-group 5-19 years. When excluding Salvador from the analysis of Brazil, the indirect impact was observed only for children in the age-group 5-9 years. In the scenario of São Paulo state, similarly to Brazil, significant impact was observed in the target age-groups, in addition to indirect impact in the age group 5-9 years. In Salvador, in addition to the effect on the vaccinated population a sharp and sustainable decline of MenC cases was observed in all age-groups not target for vaccination. Overall, 1,170 cases of MenC were averted in Brazil after the introduced of Men-C vaccination. CONCLUSION: The strategy of catch-up for adolescents and young adults, especially during the year of MenC-V introduction may lead to rapid and sustainable herd effect. |
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Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti dehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/7770363683068899Morais Neto , Otaliba Libânio deAfonso , Eliane TerezinhaAndrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti dehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/0506918273137707Tomich , Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura2016-09-28T11:44:45Z2016-08-15TOMICH, Lísia Moura. Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica. 2016. 152 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Medicina Tropical e Saúde Publica) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2016.http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/6289ark:/38995/00130000053tfINTRODUCTION: Routine infant immunization with meningococcal C conjugate vaccine (MenC-V) started in Brazil in November 2010, administered at three, five and 12 months of age with no catch-up for older age-groups. However, by March 2010, a vaccination campaign with MenC-V was performed in Salvador in individuals under five years-old, and from 10 to 24 yearsold. In São Paulo state, the outbreaks occurred in teenagers and young adults prompting one-time vaccination campaign from 2010 to 2014 targeting these age-groups. OBJECTIVE: To assess the direct and indirect impact (herd effect) of vaccination on invasive meningococcal disease (MD) for capsular group C (MenC) four years after the introduction of MenC-V in three scenarios: i) Brazil as a whole (routine vaccination in childhood only); ii) Brazil except for Salvador (vaccination campaign with teenagers during the year of MenC-V introduction); and iii) São Paulo state (vaccination campaign for adolescents and young adults during 2010-2014 to control outbreaks). METHODS: We performed an ecological quasi-experimental design from 2008 to 2014 using data from the National Reference Laboratory for Meningitis, and data from the National Information System for Notifiable Diseases. A deterministic linkage was performed between the two databases to improve the accuracy of the detection of MD, especially in capsular groups. An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted using the Holt-Winters technique to control for pre-existing trends and seasonal variations. The MenC vaccination impact was evaluated as the percentage of reduction in the incidence rates of MenC in the post-vaccination period (2012 to 2014), using the pre-vaccination period (2008 to 2010) to estimate what would be expected on the post-vaccination period, whether the vaccination had not been introduced. For Salvador, we analyzed the effect of the vaccination on the number of MenC cases. RESULTS: A total of 18,136 invasive MD cases were analyzed. For Brazil as a whole, the vaccination reduced 67.4% (lower 95%CI 42.5%) the rates for MenC for infants under 12 months, 92.3% (lower 95%CI 77.7%) for the age-group 12-23 months, and 65.7% (lower 95%CI 28%) for children aged 2-4 years. Indirect impact (20-24.7%) was observed in the age-group 5-19 years. When excluding Salvador from the analysis of Brazil, the indirect impact was observed only for children in the age-group 5-9 years. In the scenario of São Paulo state, similarly to Brazil, significant impact was observed in the target age-groups, in addition to indirect impact in the age group 5-9 years. In Salvador, in addition to the effect on the vaccinated population a sharp and sustainable decline of MenC cases was observed in all age-groups not target for vaccination. Overall, 1,170 cases of MenC were averted in Brazil after the introduced of Men-C vaccination. CONCLUSION: The strategy of catch-up for adolescents and young adults, especially during the year of MenC-V introduction may lead to rapid and sustainable herd effect.A vacina meningocócica conjugada contra o grupo capsular C (MenC-V) foi introduzida no calendário de imunização infantil brasileiro em novembro de 2010, sendo administrada aos três, cinco e 12 meses de idade sem catch-up para os demais grupos etários. Entretanto, em março de 2010, uma campanha de vacinação com MenC-V foi realizada em Salvador para indivíduos menores de cinco anos de idade e de 10 a 24 anos. No estado de São Paulo os surtos ocorreram em adolescentes e adultos jovens, determinando campanhas de vacinações de bloqueio nessa faixa etária nos anos de 2010 a 2014. OBJETIVO: Avaliar o impacto direto e indireto (rebanho) da vacinação nas taxas de incidência de doença meningocócica (DM) invasiva pelo grupo capsular C (MenC) após quatro anos da introdução da MenC-V em três cenários: i) Brasil como um todo (imunização de rotina somente de crianças); ii) Brasil exceto Salvador (campanha de vacinação em adolescentes no ano de introdução da MenCV); e iii) estado de São Paulo (vacina de rotina na infância e vacinações de bloqueio em adolescentes e adultos jovens para controlar surtos). MÉTODOS: Foi realizado um estudo ecológico quasi-experimental para avaliar o impacto da vacinação em série histórica de 2008 a 2014 usando os bancos de dados do Laboratório Nacional de Referência para Meningites Bacterianas, Instituto Adolfo Lutz (IAL) e o Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação (Sinan). Um processo de vinculação (linkage) determinístico entre as duas bases foi realizado para melhorar a acurácia da detecção de casos de DM, especialmente de grupo capsulares. Uma análise de série temporal interrompida foi conduzida utilizando a técnica de Holt-Winters para controlar por tendência pré-existente e variações sazonais. O desfecho foi taxa de MenC. O impacto da vacinação foi avaliado pelo percentual de redução da incidência de MenC no período pós-vacinal (2012 a 2014), utilizando o período pré-vacinal (2008 a 2010) para estimar o que seria esperado no período pós-vacinal, caso a vacinação não tivesse sido introduzida. Para Salvador foi analisado o efeito da MenC-V no número de casos de MenC. RESULTADOS: Um total de 18.136 casos de DM invasiva foram analisados. Para o Brasil como um todo, a vacinação reduziu significativamente a DM por MenC na faixa etária alvo, com redução de 67,4% (limite inferior do IC95% 42,5%) em menores de 12 meses, 92,3% (limite inferior do IC95% 77,7%) para faixa etária de 12-23 meses e 65,7% (limite inferior do IC95% 28%) em crianças de 2-4 anos, e efeito rebanho foi observado na faixa etária de 5 a 19 anos com 20-24,7%. Quando se exclui Salvador na análise do Brasil, impacto indireto significativo foi observado somente em crianças de 5-9 anos. No cenário São Paulo, semelhante ao Brasil, observou-se impacto estatisticamente significante nas faixas etárias alvo do PNI, além do efeito rebanho na faixa etária de 5-9 anos de idade. Para Salvador, o impacto da vacinação apresentou um declínio acentuado e sustentável em todas as faixas etárias fora do alvo da vacinação. Ao todo, 1.170 casos de MenC foram evitados no período estudado. CONCLUSÃO: A estratégia de vacinação de catch-up em adolescentes e adultos jovens, especialmente no ano de introdução da MenC-V, promoveu um rápido e sustentável rebanho.Submitted by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2016-09-28T11:44:16Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura Tomich - 2016.pdf: 2901743 bytes, checksum: 22cd41bfc4499cfd4754d856635357af (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2016-09-28T11:44:45Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura Tomich - 2016.pdf: 2901743 bytes, checksum: 22cd41bfc4499cfd4754d856635357af (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2016-09-28T11:44:45Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura Tomich - 2016.pdf: 2901743 bytes, checksum: 22cd41bfc4499cfd4754d856635357af (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-08-15Conselho Nacional de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPqapplication/pdfporUniversidade Federal de GoiásPrograma de Pós-graduação em Medicina Tropical e Saúde Publica (IPTSP)UFGBrasilInstituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública - IPTSP (RG)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessNeisseria meningitidisDoença meningocócica invasivaDoença meningocócica pelo grupo capsular CVacinas meningocócicasImpacto da vacinaçãoVigilânciaLinkage de dadosSérie temporal interrompidaEfeito rebanhoNeisseria meningitidisMedical record linkageSerogroup C meningococcal meningitisMeningococcal meningitisMeningococcal infectionsMeningococcal vaccinesInterrupted time series analysisEpidemiologyHerd effectSAUDE COLETIVA::EPIDEMIOLOGIAImpacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócicaImpact of meningococcal C vaccination on invasive meningococcal disease in Brazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis6085308344741430434600600600600-7769011444564556288-1614662311676629386-2555911436985713659reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFGinstname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)instacron:UFGLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Impact of meningococcal C vaccination on invasive meningococcal disease in Brazil |
title |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
spellingShingle |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica Tomich , Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura Neisseria meningitidis Doença meningocócica invasiva Doença meningocócica pelo grupo capsular C Vacinas meningocócicas Impacto da vacinação Vigilância Linkage de dados Série temporal interrompida Efeito rebanho Neisseria meningitidis Medical record linkage Serogroup C meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal infections Meningococcal vaccines Interrupted time series analysis Epidemiology Herd effect SAUDE COLETIVA::EPIDEMIOLOGIA |
title_short |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
title_full |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
title_fullStr |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
title_sort |
Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica |
author |
Tomich , Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura |
author_facet |
Tomich , Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/7770363683068899 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Morais Neto , Otaliba Libânio de |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Afonso , Eliane Terezinha |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/0506918273137707 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Tomich , Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura |
contributor_str_mv |
Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de Morais Neto , Otaliba Libânio de Afonso , Eliane Terezinha Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Neisseria meningitidis Doença meningocócica invasiva Doença meningocócica pelo grupo capsular C Vacinas meningocócicas Impacto da vacinação Vigilância Linkage de dados Série temporal interrompida Efeito rebanho |
topic |
Neisseria meningitidis Doença meningocócica invasiva Doença meningocócica pelo grupo capsular C Vacinas meningocócicas Impacto da vacinação Vigilância Linkage de dados Série temporal interrompida Efeito rebanho Neisseria meningitidis Medical record linkage Serogroup C meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal infections Meningococcal vaccines Interrupted time series analysis Epidemiology Herd effect SAUDE COLETIVA::EPIDEMIOLOGIA |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Neisseria meningitidis Medical record linkage Serogroup C meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal meningitis Meningococcal infections Meningococcal vaccines Interrupted time series analysis Epidemiology Herd effect |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
SAUDE COLETIVA::EPIDEMIOLOGIA |
description |
INTRODUCTION: Routine infant immunization with meningococcal C conjugate vaccine (MenC-V) started in Brazil in November 2010, administered at three, five and 12 months of age with no catch-up for older age-groups. However, by March 2010, a vaccination campaign with MenC-V was performed in Salvador in individuals under five years-old, and from 10 to 24 yearsold. In São Paulo state, the outbreaks occurred in teenagers and young adults prompting one-time vaccination campaign from 2010 to 2014 targeting these age-groups. OBJECTIVE: To assess the direct and indirect impact (herd effect) of vaccination on invasive meningococcal disease (MD) for capsular group C (MenC) four years after the introduction of MenC-V in three scenarios: i) Brazil as a whole (routine vaccination in childhood only); ii) Brazil except for Salvador (vaccination campaign with teenagers during the year of MenC-V introduction); and iii) São Paulo state (vaccination campaign for adolescents and young adults during 2010-2014 to control outbreaks). METHODS: We performed an ecological quasi-experimental design from 2008 to 2014 using data from the National Reference Laboratory for Meningitis, and data from the National Information System for Notifiable Diseases. A deterministic linkage was performed between the two databases to improve the accuracy of the detection of MD, especially in capsular groups. An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted using the Holt-Winters technique to control for pre-existing trends and seasonal variations. The MenC vaccination impact was evaluated as the percentage of reduction in the incidence rates of MenC in the post-vaccination period (2012 to 2014), using the pre-vaccination period (2008 to 2010) to estimate what would be expected on the post-vaccination period, whether the vaccination had not been introduced. For Salvador, we analyzed the effect of the vaccination on the number of MenC cases. RESULTS: A total of 18,136 invasive MD cases were analyzed. For Brazil as a whole, the vaccination reduced 67.4% (lower 95%CI 42.5%) the rates for MenC for infants under 12 months, 92.3% (lower 95%CI 77.7%) for the age-group 12-23 months, and 65.7% (lower 95%CI 28%) for children aged 2-4 years. Indirect impact (20-24.7%) was observed in the age-group 5-19 years. When excluding Salvador from the analysis of Brazil, the indirect impact was observed only for children in the age-group 5-9 years. In the scenario of São Paulo state, similarly to Brazil, significant impact was observed in the target age-groups, in addition to indirect impact in the age group 5-9 years. In Salvador, in addition to the effect on the vaccinated population a sharp and sustainable decline of MenC cases was observed in all age-groups not target for vaccination. Overall, 1,170 cases of MenC were averted in Brazil after the introduced of Men-C vaccination. CONCLUSION: The strategy of catch-up for adolescents and young adults, especially during the year of MenC-V introduction may lead to rapid and sustainable herd effect. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2016-09-28T11:44:45Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2016-08-15 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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TOMICH, Lísia Moura. Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica. 2016. 152 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Medicina Tropical e Saúde Publica) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2016. |
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TOMICH, Lísia Moura. Impacto da vacinação contra o meningococo C na morbidade da doença meningocócica. 2016. 152 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Medicina Tropical e Saúde Publica) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2016. ark:/38995/00130000053tf |
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Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública - IPTSP (RG) |
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Universidade Federal de Goiás |
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