Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFG |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9496 |
Resumo: | Forestry, although it constitutes a strategic activity for the energy and transformation sector in the Brazilian economy, there are few efforts focused on the spatial modeling of the growth dynamics of planted forests, both locally and regionally. This study aims to know the spatial elements, as well as their degrees of influence on the conduction of the phenomenon of expansion of forestry in the state of Goiás, between 2000 and 2015. The work was divided in three parts: i) exploratory analysis, through a survey of spatially explicit variables directly linked to the conduction of the phenomenon; ii) elaboration and execution of the forestry expansion model for the state of Goiás between the years 2000 and 2015, using the Dinamica EGO platform; iii) construction of two prediction scenarios by 2030. The first scenario retains the weights of the variables according to the previously simulated expansion model; and the second one, reorders weights, seeking to induce greater allocative efficiency. The results show that the allocation of forest stands is strongly attracted to areas close to the road structure and to the consuming centers of wood products, such as refrigerators, bulk warehouses, and mining. Regarding the environmental characteristics, the occurrence of a great part of the plantations in areas with corrugated relief and profiling oriented to agriculture of medium technological level and low level of mechanization, besides the sprayed distribution in small areas, indicates that a considerable portion of producers opts for peripheral areas and little planning regarding productivity and quality of wood. |
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Barreira, Sybellehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/8803862948788380Barreira, SybelleFerreira, Manuel EduardoReis, Cristiane Aparecida Fioravantehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/6662638686581887Araújo, Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira2019-04-17T14:02:31Z2019-03-12ARAÚJO, L. G. O. Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás. 2019. 85 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019.http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9496Forestry, although it constitutes a strategic activity for the energy and transformation sector in the Brazilian economy, there are few efforts focused on the spatial modeling of the growth dynamics of planted forests, both locally and regionally. This study aims to know the spatial elements, as well as their degrees of influence on the conduction of the phenomenon of expansion of forestry in the state of Goiás, between 2000 and 2015. The work was divided in three parts: i) exploratory analysis, through a survey of spatially explicit variables directly linked to the conduction of the phenomenon; ii) elaboration and execution of the forestry expansion model for the state of Goiás between the years 2000 and 2015, using the Dinamica EGO platform; iii) construction of two prediction scenarios by 2030. The first scenario retains the weights of the variables according to the previously simulated expansion model; and the second one, reorders weights, seeking to induce greater allocative efficiency. The results show that the allocation of forest stands is strongly attracted to areas close to the road structure and to the consuming centers of wood products, such as refrigerators, bulk warehouses, and mining. Regarding the environmental characteristics, the occurrence of a great part of the plantations in areas with corrugated relief and profiling oriented to agriculture of medium technological level and low level of mechanization, besides the sprayed distribution in small areas, indicates that a considerable portion of producers opts for peripheral areas and little planning regarding productivity and quality of wood.Apesar da Silvicultura configurar uma atividade estratégica para o setor de energia e transformação na economia brasileira, existem poucos esforços voltados à modelagem espacial da dinâmica de crescimento das florestas plantadas, tanto a nível local quanto regional. Este trabalho busca conhecer os elementos espaciais, bem como seus graus de influência sobre a condução do fenômeno de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás. O trabalho foi dividido em três partes: i) análise exploratória, por meio de levantamento das variáveis espacialmente explícitas, diretamente ligadas à condução do fenômeno; ii) elaboração e execução do modelo de expansão da silvicultura para o estado entre os anos de 2000 e 2015, utilizando a plataforma Dinamica EGO; iii) construção de dois cenários de predição até 2030. No primeiro cenário foram mantidos os pesos das variáveis obtidos no modelo de expansão previamente simulado; no segundo cenário, os pesos foram reordenados, buscando induzir maior eficiência alocativa. Os resultados mostram que a alocação dos povoamentos florestais é fortemente atraída para áreas próximas à estrutura viária e a centros consumidores de produtos madeireiros, tais como, frigoríficos, matadouros, armazéns graneleiros, e mineração. Quanto às características ambientais, a ocorrência de grande parte dos plantios em áreas com relevo ondulado e perfis de aptidão voltados a agricultura de médio nível tecnológico e baixo nível de mecanização, além da distribuição pulverizada em pequenas áreas, é indício de que uma parcela considerável dos produtores opta por áreas periféricas e pouco planejamento quanto à produtividade e qualidade da madeira.Submitted by Ana Caroline Costa (ana_caroline212@hotmail.com) on 2019-04-16T19:05:16Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira Araújo - 2019.pdf: 5828943 bytes, checksum: 75f2bba3104f152add2273fe9add08c2 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2019-04-17T14:02:31Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira Araújo - 2019.pdf: 5828943 bytes, checksum: 75f2bba3104f152add2273fe9add08c2 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2019-04-17T14:02:31Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira Araújo - 2019.pdf: 5828943 bytes, checksum: 75f2bba3104f152add2273fe9add08c2 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2019-03-12Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPESapplication/pdfporUniversidade Federal de GoiásPrograma de Pós-graduação em Agronegócio (EA)UFGBrasilEscola de Agronomia - EA (RG)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSilviculturaModelagem espacialDinamica EGOForestryEnvironmental modelingRECURSOS FLORESTAIS E ENGENHARIA FLORESTAL::SILVICULTURADinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de GoiásDynamics of forestry expansion in the state of Goiásinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis-2927082961882741581600600600600-604695372350237407088322097962191259432075167498588264571reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFGinstname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)instacron:UFGLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Dynamics of forestry expansion in the state of Goiás |
title |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
spellingShingle |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás Araújo, Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira Silvicultura Modelagem espacial Dinamica EGO Forestry Environmental modeling RECURSOS FLORESTAIS E ENGENHARIA FLORESTAL::SILVICULTURA |
title_short |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
title_full |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
title_fullStr |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
title_full_unstemmed |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
title_sort |
Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás |
author |
Araújo, Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira |
author_facet |
Araújo, Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Barreira, Sybelle |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8803862948788380 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Barreira, Sybelle |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Ferreira, Manuel Eduardo |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Reis, Cristiane Aparecida Fioravante |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/6662638686581887 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Araújo, Lázaro Gabriel de Oliveira |
contributor_str_mv |
Barreira, Sybelle Barreira, Sybelle Ferreira, Manuel Eduardo Reis, Cristiane Aparecida Fioravante |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Silvicultura Modelagem espacial Dinamica EGO |
topic |
Silvicultura Modelagem espacial Dinamica EGO Forestry Environmental modeling RECURSOS FLORESTAIS E ENGENHARIA FLORESTAL::SILVICULTURA |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Forestry Environmental modeling |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
RECURSOS FLORESTAIS E ENGENHARIA FLORESTAL::SILVICULTURA |
description |
Forestry, although it constitutes a strategic activity for the energy and transformation sector in the Brazilian economy, there are few efforts focused on the spatial modeling of the growth dynamics of planted forests, both locally and regionally. This study aims to know the spatial elements, as well as their degrees of influence on the conduction of the phenomenon of expansion of forestry in the state of Goiás, between 2000 and 2015. The work was divided in three parts: i) exploratory analysis, through a survey of spatially explicit variables directly linked to the conduction of the phenomenon; ii) elaboration and execution of the forestry expansion model for the state of Goiás between the years 2000 and 2015, using the Dinamica EGO platform; iii) construction of two prediction scenarios by 2030. The first scenario retains the weights of the variables according to the previously simulated expansion model; and the second one, reorders weights, seeking to induce greater allocative efficiency. The results show that the allocation of forest stands is strongly attracted to areas close to the road structure and to the consuming centers of wood products, such as refrigerators, bulk warehouses, and mining. Regarding the environmental characteristics, the occurrence of a great part of the plantations in areas with corrugated relief and profiling oriented to agriculture of medium technological level and low level of mechanization, besides the sprayed distribution in small areas, indicates that a considerable portion of producers opts for peripheral areas and little planning regarding productivity and quality of wood. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2019-04-17T14:02:31Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2019-03-12 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
ARAÚJO, L. G. O. Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás. 2019. 85 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9496 |
identifier_str_mv |
ARAÚJO, L. G. O. Dinâmica de expansão da silvicultura no estado de Goiás. 2019. 85 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019. |
url |
http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9496 |
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por |
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por |
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8832209796219125943 |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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Universidade Federal de Goiás |
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UFG |
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Brasil |
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Escola de Agronomia - EA (RG) |
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Universidade Federal de Goiás |
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