A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 1998 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/10380 |
Resumo: | Milk, rich in proteins and calcium among other necessary nutrients to human feeding, presents itselfwith a supply below the demanding necessities of the domestic market. Before the importance ofthe State ofMinas Gerais as milk producer in the Brazilian context, it has been decided to realize a study to analyse the supply ofthe product in this region. Knowing that Brazil has problems ofinternai supplying ofmilk, at the same time that it proposes to be an exporter ofthe product, this study had as objectives identify the variables that influence on the supply ofmilk, estimate the elasticitiy-price and cross-price of supply mthe short and long term having the proposal of contributing to the outlimng and assessment ofpolicies that aim for promoting the raise ofmilk production taking into consideration the moderaization of this sector. To conduct the research itwas based on the firm theory that suggests that the rural producer due to his conchtion ofprice taker and cost restrictions, works to maximize the interest and, it was followed, yet, the Nerloviano model ofdelayed distribuition, that admits the hypothesis that the effect of supply ofcertain product, because ofmotives ofadjustment on the production, taken by strictness ofresources, after given a lapse oftime. Secondary data oftemporal series, in the State ofMinas Gerais, were taken within the period of1975 a 1995. The results permit to infer that the sensibility to the economical stimulus is bigger in the long than in the short term, in spite ofthe elasticities have been presented as inelastic in both terms. The producers, with the price stimulus, ajust 98% of their expectation of offer within 3 years, managing to eliminate 70% of the imbalances between observed production and balance production in the period ofone year. Didn't have response offarmer in relation to the price ofmilk and the beefcattle appeared itselfas an activity complementary to the dairy activity helping itto grow the quantities ofmilk offer. The com price variable is that was more important to influence in the mihVs supply. The prices of fectors of production show themselves more important than the price ofmilk, indicating that the farmer must direct his attentions "into the farm". Notice that the estimates ofthe elasticities ofsupply obtained in this study, in despite of producers had not answered to prices ofmilk, can be used to formulate and evaluate programs and policies regarding to the milk sector ofthe country, once they are important instruments to the conduct of production planning and forecast ofsupply. |
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A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995LeiteMilkEconomia agrícolaAgricultural economicsAdministração ruralFarm organizationProdução de leiteMilk productionAdministraçãoMilk, rich in proteins and calcium among other necessary nutrients to human feeding, presents itselfwith a supply below the demanding necessities of the domestic market. Before the importance ofthe State ofMinas Gerais as milk producer in the Brazilian context, it has been decided to realize a study to analyse the supply ofthe product in this region. Knowing that Brazil has problems ofinternai supplying ofmilk, at the same time that it proposes to be an exporter ofthe product, this study had as objectives identify the variables that influence on the supply ofmilk, estimate the elasticitiy-price and cross-price of supply mthe short and long term having the proposal of contributing to the outlimng and assessment ofpolicies that aim for promoting the raise ofmilk production taking into consideration the moderaization of this sector. To conduct the research itwas based on the firm theory that suggests that the rural producer due to his conchtion ofprice taker and cost restrictions, works to maximize the interest and, it was followed, yet, the Nerloviano model ofdelayed distribuition, that admits the hypothesis that the effect of supply ofcertain product, because ofmotives ofadjustment on the production, taken by strictness ofresources, after given a lapse oftime. Secondary data oftemporal series, in the State ofMinas Gerais, were taken within the period of1975 a 1995. The results permit to infer that the sensibility to the economical stimulus is bigger in the long than in the short term, in spite ofthe elasticities have been presented as inelastic in both terms. The producers, with the price stimulus, ajust 98% of their expectation of offer within 3 years, managing to eliminate 70% of the imbalances between observed production and balance production in the period ofone year. Didn't have response offarmer in relation to the price ofmilk and the beefcattle appeared itselfas an activity complementary to the dairy activity helping itto grow the quantities ofmilk offer. The com price variable is that was more important to influence in the mihVs supply. The prices of fectors of production show themselves more important than the price ofmilk, indicating that the farmer must direct his attentions "into the farm". Notice that the estimates ofthe elasticities ofsupply obtained in this study, in despite of producers had not answered to prices ofmilk, can be used to formulate and evaluate programs and policies regarding to the milk sector ofthe country, once they are important instruments to the conduct of production planning and forecast ofsupply.Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)O leite, rico em proteínas e cálcio, dentre outros nutrientes necessários à alimentação humana, apresenta uma oferta aquém das necessidades do mercado doméstico. Diante da importância do Estado de Minas Gerais como produtor de leite dentro do contexto brasileiro, decidiu-se realizar um estudo para analisar a oferta do produto em tal região. Sabendo-se que o Brasil tem problemas de abastecimento interno de leite, ao mesmo tempo que se propõe definir-se como exportador do produto, este estudo objetivou identificar as variáveis que influem na oferta do leite, estimar as elasticidades-preço e preço-cruzada da oferta para o curto e o longo prazos. Pretende-se contribuir para o delineamento e avaliação de políticas que visem promover o crescimento da produção de leite levando em consideração a modernização do setor. Para a condução da pesquisa, baseou-se na teoria da firma que sugere que o produtor rural, dada a sua condição detomador de preço e restrição de custos, trabalha dentro do princípio de maximização dos lucros e utilizou-se, ainda, o modelo Nerloviano de retardamentos distribuídos, o qual admite a hipótese de que o efeito da oferta de determinado produto, por motivos de ajustamento na produção levados por rigidez dos recursos, se dê depois de um lapso de tempo. Partiu-se de dados secundários de séries temporais no Estado de Minas Gerais, abrangendo o período de 1975 a 1995. Os resultados permitem inferir que a sensibilidade aos estímulos econômicos é maior no longo do que no curto prazo, apesar das elasticidades terem se apresentadas como inelásticas em ambos os prazos. Os produtores, mediante o estímulo de preços, ajustam 98% de suas expectativas de oferta em 3 anos, conseguindo eliminar 70% dos desequilíbrios entre produção observada e produção de equilíbrio no período de um ano. Não houve resposta do produtor ao preço do leite e o boi-gordo apresentou-se como uma atividade complementar à atividade leiteira, ajudando-a a aumentar os volumes ofertados. O preço do milho foi a variável que mais influenciou na oferta do leite. Os preços dos fatores de produção mostraram-se mais importantes que o preço do próprio produto, indicando que o produtor deve voltar suas atenções "porteira adentro". Ressalta-se que as estimativas das elasticidades da oferta obtidas neste estudo podem ser usadas para formular e avaliar programas e políticas referentes ao setor leiteiro do país, uma vez que são importantes instrumentos para a conduta de planejamento da produção e previsão da oferta.Mestrado em Administração RuralUFLAbrasilDepartamento de Administração e EconomiaReis, Ricardo PereiraReis, Antônio João dosVeiga, Ruben DellySalazar, German TorresNaves, Leila Faia2015-09-16T18:03:36Z2015-09-16T18:03:36Z2015-09-161998-09-10info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfNAVES, L. F. A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995. 1998. 86 p. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração Rural) - Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, 1998.http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/10380porinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLAinstname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLA2015-09-16T18:04:13Zoai:localhost:1/10380Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufla.br/oai/requestnivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.bropendoar:2015-09-16T18:04:13Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
title |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
spellingShingle |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 Naves, Leila Faia Leite Milk Economia agrícola Agricultural economics Administração rural Farm organization Produção de leite Milk production Administração |
title_short |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
title_full |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
title_fullStr |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
title_full_unstemmed |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
title_sort |
A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995 |
author |
Naves, Leila Faia |
author_facet |
Naves, Leila Faia |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Reis, Ricardo Pereira Reis, Antônio João dos Veiga, Ruben Delly Salazar, German Torres |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Naves, Leila Faia |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Leite Milk Economia agrícola Agricultural economics Administração rural Farm organization Produção de leite Milk production Administração |
topic |
Leite Milk Economia agrícola Agricultural economics Administração rural Farm organization Produção de leite Milk production Administração |
description |
Milk, rich in proteins and calcium among other necessary nutrients to human feeding, presents itselfwith a supply below the demanding necessities of the domestic market. Before the importance ofthe State ofMinas Gerais as milk producer in the Brazilian context, it has been decided to realize a study to analyse the supply ofthe product in this region. Knowing that Brazil has problems ofinternai supplying ofmilk, at the same time that it proposes to be an exporter ofthe product, this study had as objectives identify the variables that influence on the supply ofmilk, estimate the elasticitiy-price and cross-price of supply mthe short and long term having the proposal of contributing to the outlimng and assessment ofpolicies that aim for promoting the raise ofmilk production taking into consideration the moderaization of this sector. To conduct the research itwas based on the firm theory that suggests that the rural producer due to his conchtion ofprice taker and cost restrictions, works to maximize the interest and, it was followed, yet, the Nerloviano model ofdelayed distribuition, that admits the hypothesis that the effect of supply ofcertain product, because ofmotives ofadjustment on the production, taken by strictness ofresources, after given a lapse oftime. Secondary data oftemporal series, in the State ofMinas Gerais, were taken within the period of1975 a 1995. The results permit to infer that the sensibility to the economical stimulus is bigger in the long than in the short term, in spite ofthe elasticities have been presented as inelastic in both terms. The producers, with the price stimulus, ajust 98% of their expectation of offer within 3 years, managing to eliminate 70% of the imbalances between observed production and balance production in the period ofone year. Didn't have response offarmer in relation to the price ofmilk and the beefcattle appeared itselfas an activity complementary to the dairy activity helping itto grow the quantities ofmilk offer. The com price variable is that was more important to influence in the mihVs supply. The prices of fectors of production show themselves more important than the price ofmilk, indicating that the farmer must direct his attentions "into the farm". Notice that the estimates ofthe elasticities ofsupply obtained in this study, in despite of producers had not answered to prices ofmilk, can be used to formulate and evaluate programs and policies regarding to the milk sector ofthe country, once they are important instruments to the conduct of production planning and forecast ofsupply. |
publishDate |
1998 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
1998-09-10 2015-09-16T18:03:36Z 2015-09-16T18:03:36Z 2015-09-16 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
NAVES, L. F. A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995. 1998. 86 p. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração Rural) - Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, 1998. http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/10380 |
identifier_str_mv |
NAVES, L. F. A oferta de leite no Estado de Minas Gerais: um estudo no período de 1975 a 1995. 1998. 86 p. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração Rural) - Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, 1998. |
url |
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/10380 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Mestrado em Administração Rural UFLA brasil Departamento de Administração e Economia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Mestrado em Administração Rural UFLA brasil Departamento de Administração e Economia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLA instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) instacron:UFLA |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
instacron_str |
UFLA |
institution |
UFLA |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
nivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.br |
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1807835152841179136 |