Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Data de Publicação: 2016
Outros Autores: Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de, Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira, Scolforo, José Roberto Soares, Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFLA
Texto Completo: http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992
Resumo: The general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. 
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spelling Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de riscoEconomic viability and rotation of forestry plantations of candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), under conditions of riskProduction costRisk analysisMonte Carlo simulationAnálise de riscoSimulação de Monte CarloCusto de produçãoThe general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. CERNECERNE2016-04-062017-08-01T20:13:15Z2017-08-01T20:13:15Z2017-08-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014.http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-1222317-63420104-7760reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLAinstname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAenghttp://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968/741Copyright (c) 2016 CERNEhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Attribution 4.0 Internationalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSilva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski eOliveira, Antonio Donizette deCoelho Junior, Luiz MoreiraScolforo, José Roberto SoaresSouza, Álvaro Nogueira deSilva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski eOliveira, Antonio Donizette deCoelho Junior, Luiz MoreiraScolforo, José Roberto SoaresSouza, Álvaro Nogueira de2021-03-24T18:44:17Zoai:localhost:1/13992Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufla.br/oai/requestnivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.bropendoar:2021-03-24T18:44:17Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
Economic viability and rotation of forestry plantations of candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), under conditions of risk
title Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
spellingShingle Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Production cost
Risk analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
Análise de risco
Simulação de Monte Carlo
Custo de produção
title_short Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
title_full Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
title_fullStr Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
title_full_unstemmed Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
title_sort Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
author Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
author_facet Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de
Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira
Scolforo, José Roberto Soares
Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
author_role author
author2 Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de
Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira
Scolforo, José Roberto Soares
Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de
Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira
Scolforo, José Roberto Soares
Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de
Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira
Scolforo, José Roberto Soares
Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Production cost
Risk analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
Análise de risco
Simulação de Monte Carlo
Custo de produção
topic Production cost
Risk analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
Análise de risco
Simulação de Monte Carlo
Custo de produção
description The general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. 
publishDate 2016
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2016-04-06
2017-08-01T20:13:15Z
2017-08-01T20:13:15Z
2017-08-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968
SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014.
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992
url http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992
identifier_str_mv SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014.
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968/741
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2016 CERNE
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Attribution 4.0 International
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2016 CERNE
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Attribution 4.0 International
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv CERNE
CERNE
publisher.none.fl_str_mv CERNE
CERNE
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122
CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122
2317-6342
0104-7760
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLA
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reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UFLA
collection Repositório Institucional da UFLA
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv nivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.br
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