Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
Texto Completo: | http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968 http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992 |
Resumo: | The general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. |
id |
UFLA_3f1d6e8201ea9a1b63788b239fa10509 |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:localhost:1/13992 |
network_acronym_str |
UFLA |
network_name_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de riscoEconomic viability and rotation of forestry plantations of candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), under conditions of riskProduction costRisk analysisMonte Carlo simulationAnálise de riscoSimulação de Monte CarloCusto de produçãoThe general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. CERNECERNE2016-04-062017-08-01T20:13:15Z2017-08-01T20:13:15Z2017-08-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014.http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-1222317-63420104-7760reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLAinstname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAenghttp://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968/741Copyright (c) 2016 CERNEhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Attribution 4.0 Internationalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSilva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski eOliveira, Antonio Donizette deCoelho Junior, Luiz MoreiraScolforo, José Roberto SoaresSouza, Álvaro Nogueira deSilva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski eOliveira, Antonio Donizette deCoelho Junior, Luiz MoreiraScolforo, José Roberto SoaresSouza, Álvaro Nogueira de2021-03-24T18:44:17Zoai:localhost:1/13992Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufla.br/oai/requestnivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.bropendoar:2021-03-24T18:44:17Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco Economic viability and rotation of forestry plantations of candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), under conditions of risk |
title |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
spellingShingle |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e Production cost Risk analysis Monte Carlo simulation Análise de risco Simulação de Monte Carlo Custo de produção |
title_short |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
title_full |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
title_fullStr |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
title_full_unstemmed |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
title_sort |
Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco |
author |
Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e |
author_facet |
Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira Scolforo, José Roberto Soares Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira Scolforo, José Roberto Soares Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira Scolforo, José Roberto Soares Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira Scolforo, José Roberto Soares Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Production cost Risk analysis Monte Carlo simulation Análise de risco Simulação de Monte Carlo Custo de produção |
topic |
Production cost Risk analysis Monte Carlo simulation Análise de risco Simulação de Monte Carlo Custo de produção |
description |
The general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2016-04-06 2017-08-01T20:13:15Z 2017-08-01T20:13:15Z 2017-08-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968 SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014. http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992 |
url |
http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968 http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992 |
identifier_str_mv |
SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014. |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968/741 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2016 CERNE http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Attribution 4.0 International info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2016 CERNE http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Attribution 4.0 International |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE CERNE |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE CERNE |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122 CERNE; Vol 20 No 1 (2014); 113-122 2317-6342 0104-7760 reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLA instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) instacron:UFLA |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
instacron_str |
UFLA |
institution |
UFLA |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
nivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.br |
_version_ |
1815438969305825280 |