EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Castro, Lucas Siqueira de
Data de Publicação: 2023
Outros Autores: Almeida, Eduardo Simões de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Nova Economia (Online)
Texto Completo: https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658
Resumo: This study aims at evaluating the impact of the Brumadinho disaster on economic performance in Minas Gerais. As for empirical strategy, contrafactual trajectories for Minas Gerais were elaborated in order to obtain the effect of this technological disaster. In addition to serially lagged response variables, the methodological advance was also to use the spatially lagged response variable to generate the counterfactual trajectories with the lowest mean squared prediction error (MSPE). The results reveal that the industrial sector in the state of Minas Gerais was not impacted by the Brumadinho disaster.
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spelling EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAISAvaliação do desastre de Brumadinho no desempenho econômico de Minas GeraisThis study aims at evaluating the impact of the Brumadinho disaster on economic performance in Minas Gerais. As for empirical strategy, contrafactual trajectories for Minas Gerais were elaborated in order to obtain the effect of this technological disaster. In addition to serially lagged response variables, the methodological advance was also to use the spatially lagged response variable to generate the counterfactual trajectories with the lowest mean squared prediction error (MSPE). The results reveal that the industrial sector in the state of Minas Gerais was not impacted by the Brumadinho disaster.O objetivo deste artigo é avaliar o efeito do desastre de Brumadinho no desempenho econômico em Minas Gerais. Quanto à estratégia empírica, elaboraram-se trajetórias contrafactuais para a economia de Minas Gerais, por meio do controle sintético, para se obter o efeito desse desastre tecnológico. Além das defasagens temporais da variável de resultado, um avanço metodológico foi alcançado por incluir também as defasagens espaciais da variável de resultado para gerar as trajetórias contrafactuais com menor Root Mean Squared Prediction Error (RMPSE). Os resultados revelam que o setor industrial de Minas Gerais não foi afetado pelo desastre de Brumadinho. Palavras-chave: Brumadinho, desastre tecnológico, controle sintético, defasagens espaciais.Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG2023-10-11info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658Nova Economia; Vol. 33 No. 2 (2023): Revista Nova Economia; 421-447Nova Economia; v. 33 n. 2 (2023): Revista Nova Economia; 421-4471980-53810103-6351reponame:Nova Economia (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGporhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658/4011Copyright (c) 2023 Lucas Siqueira de Castro, Eduardo Simões de Almeidahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCastro, Lucas Siqueira de Almeida, Eduardo Simões de2023-12-27T01:35:51Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/7658Revistahttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomiaPUBhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/oai||ne@face.ufmg.br1980-53810103-6351opendoar:2023-12-27T01:35:51Nova Economia (Online) - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
Avaliação do desastre de Brumadinho no desempenho econômico de Minas Gerais
title EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
spellingShingle EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
Castro, Lucas Siqueira de
title_short EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
title_full EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
title_fullStr EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
title_full_unstemmed EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
title_sort EVALUATION OF THE BRUMADINHO DISASTER ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MINAS GERAIS
author Castro, Lucas Siqueira de
author_facet Castro, Lucas Siqueira de
Almeida, Eduardo Simões de
author_role author
author2 Almeida, Eduardo Simões de
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Castro, Lucas Siqueira de
Almeida, Eduardo Simões de
description This study aims at evaluating the impact of the Brumadinho disaster on economic performance in Minas Gerais. As for empirical strategy, contrafactual trajectories for Minas Gerais were elaborated in order to obtain the effect of this technological disaster. In addition to serially lagged response variables, the methodological advance was also to use the spatially lagged response variable to generate the counterfactual trajectories with the lowest mean squared prediction error (MSPE). The results reveal that the industrial sector in the state of Minas Gerais was not impacted by the Brumadinho disaster.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10-11
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658
url https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7658/4011
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2023 Lucas Siqueira de Castro, Eduardo Simões de Almeida
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2023 Lucas Siqueira de Castro, Eduardo Simões de Almeida
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Nova Economia; Vol. 33 No. 2 (2023): Revista Nova Economia; 421-447
Nova Economia; v. 33 n. 2 (2023): Revista Nova Economia; 421-447
1980-5381
0103-6351
reponame:Nova Economia (Online)
instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron:UFMG
instname_str Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron_str UFMG
institution UFMG
reponame_str Nova Economia (Online)
collection Nova Economia (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Nova Economia (Online) - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||ne@face.ufmg.br
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