| spelling |
2022-08-31T20:39:28Z2022-08-31T20:39:28Z2019-0715374174281809-0044http://hdl.handle.net/1843/44782Qual será a demanda energética e quais serão as fontes de energia para atendimento dos setores econômicos do estado de Minas Gerais (MG), quando a população do estado atingir seu maior contingente? É crucial a necessidade de previsibilidade e confiabilidade para o suprimento energético de um sistema econômico, o que pode ser traduzido por Segurança Energética. Este trabalho tem o objetivo de apresentar a estrutura energética do estado de MG, o produto interno bruto, a população, os setores energéticos e realizar projeções de crescimento destes parâmetros, bem como estimar o crescimento da demanda de energia, tendo como foco a Segurança Energética. As mudanças climáticas poderão introduzir elementos desfavoráveis para a Segurança Energética e também causar impactos sociais relevantes. O propósito do estudo é descritivo com abordagem metodológica quantitativa, utilizando ferramentas simples para os cálculos de parâmetros e projeções. O estudo mostrou que, mesmo no curso de um cenário de baixo crescimento econômico, a demanda energética do estado crescerá e atenção especial será necessária para a fonte hidráulica. A contribuição deste artigo reside na obtenção da ordem de grandeza dos parâmetros investigados.What will be the energy demand and what will be the sources of energy to serve the economic sectors of the state of Minas Gerais (MG), when the population of the state reaches its largest contingent? The need for predictability and reliability for the energy supply of an economic system is crucial, which can be translated by Energy Security. This work aims to present the energy structure of the state of Minas Gerais, the gross domestic product, the population, the energy sectors and to carry out growth projections of these parameters, as well as to estimate the growth of energy demand, focusing on Energy Security. Climate change could introduce unfavorable elements for Energy Security and also cause relevant social impacts. The purpose of the study is descriptive with a quantitative methodological approach, using simple tools for calculating parameters and projections. The study showed that even in the course of a scenario of low economic growth, the state's energy demand will grow and special attention will be needed for the water source. The contribution of this article resides in obtaining the order of magnitude of the investigated parameters.e.porUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMGBrasilENG - DEPARTAMENTO DE ENGENHARIA NUCLEARRevista Tecnologia e SociedadeEnergia nuclearEnergiaSegurança energéticaMudanças climáticasPlanejamentoEnergia hidráulicaA segurança energética no estado de Minas Gerais em seus aspectos climáticos e sociaisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://periodicos.utfpr.edu.br/rts/article/view/9769Leonardo Barrouin MeloAntonella Lombardi CostaÂngela Fortiniinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGORIGINALA segurança energética no estado de Minas - PDFA.pdfA segurança energética no estado de Minas - PDFA.pdfapplication/pdf545913https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/44782/2/A%20seguran%c3%a7a%20energ%c3%a9tica%20no%20estado%20de%20Minas%20-%20PDFA.pdfb546a5678a834de16348b7ede712571bMD52LICENSELicense.txtLicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82042https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/44782/1/License.txtfa505098d172de0bc8864fc1287ffe22MD511843/447822022-08-31 17:39:29.135oai:repositorio.ufmg.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oaiopendoar:2022-08-31T20:39:29Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
|