Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Edson Paulo Domingues
Data de Publicação: 2017
Outros Autores: Kênia Barreiro de Souza, Aline Souza Magalhães
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFMG
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/1843/45333
Resumo: The manufacturing industry’s loss in participation, phenomena called “deindustrialization”, has been observed for the Brazilian economy for a while and seems to have intensified from mid-2000s. However, the literature has not developed a consistent or integrated analysis of this process. We have used a detailed simulation model to identify how macroeconomic factors (such as exchange rate, labor costs, and household consumption) have contributed to manufacturing dynamics. Our results indicate that the macroeconomic scenario explains a large portion of the manufacturing industry’s participation loss. The rise in households consumption and investment, important factors in this period, were responsible for dampening of the pressures coming from the currency appreciation and the workforce costs, benefiting some industrial sectors, but not avoiding the manufacturings participation loss.
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spelling 2022-09-20T18:57:38Z2022-09-20T18:57:38Z201718341143210.1016/j.econ.2017.05.0041517-7580http://hdl.handle.net/1843/45333The manufacturing industry’s loss in participation, phenomena called “deindustrialization”, has been observed for the Brazilian economy for a while and seems to have intensified from mid-2000s. However, the literature has not developed a consistent or integrated analysis of this process. We have used a detailed simulation model to identify how macroeconomic factors (such as exchange rate, labor costs, and household consumption) have contributed to manufacturing dynamics. Our results indicate that the macroeconomic scenario explains a large portion of the manufacturing industry’s participation loss. The rise in households consumption and investment, important factors in this period, were responsible for dampening of the pressures coming from the currency appreciation and the workforce costs, benefiting some industrial sectors, but not avoiding the manufacturings participation loss.A perda de participação da indústria de transformação, fenômeno denominado “desindustrialização”, tem sido observada para o economia por um tempo e parece ter se intensificado a partir de meados dos anos 2000. No entanto, a literatura não tem desenvolvido uma abordagem consistente ou análise integrada deste processo. Usamos um modelo de simulação detalhado para identificar como os fatores macroeconômicos (como taxa de câmbio, custos do trabalho e consumo das famílias) contribuíram para a dinâmica da manufatura. Nossos resultados indicam que o cenário macroeconômico explica grande parte da perda de participação da indústria de transformação. O aumento das famílias consumo e investimento, fatores importantes nesse período, foram responsáveis por amortecer as pressões advindas do valorização da moeda e os custos da mão de obra, beneficiando alguns setores industriais, mas não evitando a participação de manufaturas perda.engUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMGBrasilFCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICASRevista EconomiaDesindustrializacaoIndustria de transformaçãoManufacturingGrowthDevelopmentSimulationsDecomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impactsDecompondo a dinâmica da indústria de transformação brasileira em meados dos anos 2000: fatores macroeconômicos e seus impactos setoriais.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758016301011Edson Paulo DominguesKênia Barreiro de SouzaAline Souza Magalhãesapplication/pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGLICENSELicense.txtLicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82042https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/45333/1/License.txtfa505098d172de0bc8864fc1287ffe22MD51ORIGINALDecomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s.pdfDecomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s.pdfapplication/pdf2291120https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/45333/2/Decomposing%20brazilian%20manufacturing%20industry%20dynamics%20in%20the%20mid-2000s.pdf590bf00036cb26933c8d9fc5aa0eb8f0MD521843/453332022-09-20 15:57:38.551oai:repositorio.ufmg.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oaiopendoar:2022-09-20T18:57:38Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
dc.title.alternative.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Decompondo a dinâmica da indústria de transformação brasileira em meados dos anos 2000: fatores macroeconômicos e seus impactos setoriais.
title Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
spellingShingle Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
Edson Paulo Domingues
Manufacturing
Growth
Development
Simulations
Desindustrializacao
Industria de transformação
title_short Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
title_full Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
title_fullStr Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
title_full_unstemmed Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
title_sort Decomposing brazilian manufacturing industry dynamics in the mid-2000s: macroeconomic factors and their sectoral impacts
author Edson Paulo Domingues
author_facet Edson Paulo Domingues
Kênia Barreiro de Souza
Aline Souza Magalhães
author_role author
author2 Kênia Barreiro de Souza
Aline Souza Magalhães
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Edson Paulo Domingues
Kênia Barreiro de Souza
Aline Souza Magalhães
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Manufacturing
Growth
Development
Simulations
topic Manufacturing
Growth
Development
Simulations
Desindustrializacao
Industria de transformação
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Desindustrializacao
Industria de transformação
description The manufacturing industry’s loss in participation, phenomena called “deindustrialization”, has been observed for the Brazilian economy for a while and seems to have intensified from mid-2000s. However, the literature has not developed a consistent or integrated analysis of this process. We have used a detailed simulation model to identify how macroeconomic factors (such as exchange rate, labor costs, and household consumption) have contributed to manufacturing dynamics. Our results indicate that the macroeconomic scenario explains a large portion of the manufacturing industry’s participation loss. The rise in households consumption and investment, important factors in this period, were responsible for dampening of the pressures coming from the currency appreciation and the workforce costs, benefiting some industrial sectors, but not avoiding the manufacturings participation loss.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2017
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-09-20T18:57:38Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-09-20T18:57:38Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/1843/45333
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 1517-7580
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.econ.2017.05.004
1517-7580
url http://hdl.handle.net/1843/45333
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.ispartof.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Revista Economia
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UFMG
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv FCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICAS
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMG
instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
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