Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Marco Follador
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho, George Philippidis, Juliana Leroy Davis, Amanda Ribeiro de Oliveira, Raoni Rajão
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFMG
Texto Completo: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93349-8
http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52349
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-2299
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9986-4794
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-2500
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837
Resumo: CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
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spelling 2023-04-20T21:24:17Z2023-04-20T21:24:17Z20211111376810https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93349-82045-2322http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52349https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-2299https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946Xhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9986-4794https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-2500https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoThe Brazilian government’s decision to open the Amazon biome to sugarcane expansion reignited EU concerns regarding the sustainability of Brazil’s sugar sector, hindering the ratification of the EU-Mercosur trade agreement. Meanwhile, in the EU, certain conventional biofuels face stricter controls, whilst uncertainty surrounding the commercialisation of more sustainable advanced-biofuels renders bioethanol as a short- to medium-term fix. This paper examines Brazil’s land-use changes and associated greenhouse gas emissions arising from an EU driven ethanol import policy and projections for other 13 biocommodities. Results suggest that Brazil’s sugarcane could satisfy growing ethanol demand and comply with EU environmental criteria, since almost all sugarcane expansion is expected to occur on long-established pasturelands in the South and Midwest. However, expansion of sugarcane is also driven by competition for viable lands with other relevant commodities, mainly soy and beef. As a result, deforestation trends in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes linked to soy and beef production could jeopardize Brazil’s contribution to the Paris agreement with an additional 1 ± 0.3 billion CO2eq tonnes above its First NDC target by 2030. Trade talks with a narrow focus on a single commodity could thus risk unsustainable outcomes, calling for systemic sustainability benchmarks, should the deal be ratified.engUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMGBrasilENG - DEPARTAMENTO DE ENGENHARIA PRODUÇÃOIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIAScientific ReportsCana-de-açúcarAmazôniaBrasilContratos - Países do MercosulArbitragem comercial internacional - Países da União EuropéiaSojaCarneSugarcaneAmazonEU-Mercosur trade agreementBrazilian governmentSoyBeefBrazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talksinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-93349-8#rightslinkMarco FolladorBritaldo Silveira Soares FilhoGeorge PhilippidisJuliana Leroy DavisAmanda Ribeiro de OliveiraRaoni Rajãoapplication/pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGLICENSELicense.txtLicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82042https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52349/1/License.txtfa505098d172de0bc8864fc1287ffe22MD51ORIGINALbrazilssugarcaneembitters.pdfbrazilssugarcaneembitters.pdfapplication/pdf1642039https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52349/2/brazilssugarcaneembitters.pdf2a35baa7f6282b6b1982a5368089504aMD521843/523492023-04-20 18:24:18.038oai:repositorio.ufmg.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oaiopendoar:2023-04-20T21:24:18Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
title Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
spellingShingle Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
Marco Follador
Sugarcane
Amazon
EU-Mercosur trade agreement
Brazilian government
Soy
Beef
Cana-de-açúcar
Amazônia
Brasil
Contratos - Países do Mercosul
Arbitragem comercial internacional - Países da União Européia
Soja
Carne
title_short Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
title_full Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
title_fullStr Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
title_full_unstemmed Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
title_sort Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks
author Marco Follador
author_facet Marco Follador
Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
George Philippidis
Juliana Leroy Davis
Amanda Ribeiro de Oliveira
Raoni Rajão
author_role author
author2 Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
George Philippidis
Juliana Leroy Davis
Amanda Ribeiro de Oliveira
Raoni Rajão
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Marco Follador
Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
George Philippidis
Juliana Leroy Davis
Amanda Ribeiro de Oliveira
Raoni Rajão
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Sugarcane
Amazon
EU-Mercosur trade agreement
Brazilian government
Soy
Beef
topic Sugarcane
Amazon
EU-Mercosur trade agreement
Brazilian government
Soy
Beef
Cana-de-açúcar
Amazônia
Brasil
Contratos - Países do Mercosul
Arbitragem comercial internacional - Países da União Européia
Soja
Carne
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Cana-de-açúcar
Amazônia
Brasil
Contratos - Países do Mercosul
Arbitragem comercial internacional - Países da União Européia
Soja
Carne
description CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
publishDate 2021
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2023-04-20T21:24:17Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-04-20T21:24:17Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52349
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93349-8
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 2045-2322
dc.identifier.orcid.pt_BR.fl_str_mv https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-2299
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9986-4794
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-2500
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93349-8
http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52349
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-2299
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9986-4794
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-2500
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1133-4837
identifier_str_mv 2045-2322
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.ispartof.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Scientific Reports
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UFMG
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv ENG - DEPARTAMENTO DE ENGENHARIA PRODUÇÃO
IGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIA
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMG
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