Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho, Juliana Leroy Davis, Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão, Jan Börner
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFMG
Texto Completo: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22840-7
http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52348
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8480-4254
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0336-6246
Resumo: CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
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spelling 2023-04-20T21:23:44Z2023-04-20T21:23:44Z2021-05-1012125917https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22840-72041-1723http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52348http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8480-4254http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946Xhttp://orcid.org/0000-0003-0336-6246CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoIt has been suggested that rainfall in the Amazon decreases if forest loss exceeds some threshold, but the specific value of this threshold remains uncertain. Here, we investigate the relationship between historical deforestation and rainfall at different geographical scales across the Southern Brazilian Amazon (SBA). We also assess impacts of deforestation policy scenarios on the region’s agriculture. Forest loss of up to 55–60% within 28 km grid cells enhances rainfall, but further deforestation reduces rainfall precipitously. This threshold is lower at larger scales (45–50% at 56 km and 25–30% at 112 km grid cells), while rainfall decreases linearly within 224 km grid cells. Widespread deforestation results in a hydrological and economic negative-sum game, because lower rainfall and agricultural productivity at larger scales outdo local gains. Under a weak governance scenario, SBA may lose 56% of its forests by 2050. Reducing deforestation prevents agricultural losses in SBA up to US$ 1 billion annuallyengUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMGBrasilIGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIANature CommunicationsDesmatamentoAmazôniaFlorestas - LegislaçãoChuvasChuvaAmazôniaDesmatamentoPolítica de desmatamentoDeforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazoninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-22840-7Argemiro Teixeira Leite-FilhoBritaldo Silveira Soares FilhoJuliana Leroy DavisGabriel Medeiros AbrahãoJan Börnerapplication/pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGORIGINALdeforestationreducesrainfall.pdfdeforestationreducesrainfall.pdfapplication/pdf779744https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52348/2/deforestationreducesrainfall.pdf87c319fc6b62e15f6004b41e05c91770MD52LICENSELicense.txtLicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82042https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52348/1/License.txtfa505098d172de0bc8864fc1287ffe22MD511843/523482023-04-20 18:23:44.449oai:repositorio.ufmg.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oaiopendoar:2023-04-20T21:23:44Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
title Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
spellingShingle Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
Chuva
Amazônia
Desmatamento
Política de desmatamento
Desmatamento
Amazônia
Florestas - Legislação
Chuvas
title_short Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
title_full Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
title_fullStr Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
title_full_unstemmed Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
title_sort Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
author Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
author_facet Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
Juliana Leroy Davis
Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão
Jan Börner
author_role author
author2 Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
Juliana Leroy Davis
Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão
Jan Börner
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
Juliana Leroy Davis
Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão
Jan Börner
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Chuva
Amazônia
Desmatamento
Política de desmatamento
topic Chuva
Amazônia
Desmatamento
Política de desmatamento
Desmatamento
Amazônia
Florestas - Legislação
Chuvas
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Desmatamento
Amazônia
Florestas - Legislação
Chuvas
description CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
publishDate 2021
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021-05-10
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2023-04-20T21:23:44Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-04-20T21:23:44Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52348
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22840-7
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 2041-1723
dc.identifier.orcid.pt_BR.fl_str_mv http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8480-4254
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0336-6246
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22840-7
http://hdl.handle.net/1843/52348
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8480-4254
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-946X
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0336-6246
identifier_str_mv 2041-1723
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.ispartof.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Nature Communications
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UFMG
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv IGC - DEPARTAMENTO DE CARTOGRAFIA
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMG
instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron:UFMG
instname_str Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron_str UFMG
institution UFMG
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UFMG
collection Repositório Institucional da UFMG
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52348/2/deforestationreducesrainfall.pdf
https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/52348/1/License.txt
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
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