Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Cunha, Henrique Queiroz
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Sobel, Leonardo Farias
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada
Texto Completo: http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767
Resumo: The generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded.
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spelling Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern BrazilAplicação de Redes Neurais Artificiais na Predição de Geração de Energia Fotovoltaica no Nordeste do BrasilThe generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded.A geração de energia por meio de fontes sustentáveis ganha importância cada vez maior na atual configuração do mercado global. No Brasil a região Nordeste, por sua localização geográfica e características climáticas, apresenta maior estabilidade na produção de energia solar ao longo do ano. Por isso, se destaca entre as demais regiões e possui a maior capacidade instalada de usinas solares no território nacional. Desta forma, este trabalho tem como objetivo avaliar o uso de redes neurais artificiais como método para a predição de geração de energia fotovoltaica no Nordeste brasileiro. Para isso foram coletados e pré-processados os dados climáticos e de geração de energia disponíveis na cidade de Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia. E, após processados, os resultados de predição obtidos por meio das redes Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) e Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) foram comparados com os do método linear clássico ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Por fim, observa-se o bom resultado obtido pelas redes neurais como ferramentas para predição de energia fotovoltaica.Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco2021-11-19info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmlhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767Journal of Engineering and Applied Research; Vol 6 No 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada; v. 6 n. 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-802525-425110.25286/repa.v6i5reponame:Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicadainstname:Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)instacron:UFPEporhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/786http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/787Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunhahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCunha, Henrique QueirozSobel, Leonardo Farias2021-11-25T12:22:35Zoai:ojs.poli.br:article/1767Revistahttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repaONGhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/oai||repa@poli.br2525-42512525-4251opendoar:2021-11-25T12:22:35Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
Aplicação de Redes Neurais Artificiais na Predição de Geração de Energia Fotovoltaica no Nordeste do Brasil
title Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
spellingShingle Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
Cunha, Henrique Queiroz
title_short Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
title_full Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
title_fullStr Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
title_sort Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
author Cunha, Henrique Queiroz
author_facet Cunha, Henrique Queiroz
Sobel, Leonardo Farias
author_role author
author2 Sobel, Leonardo Farias
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Cunha, Henrique Queiroz
Sobel, Leonardo Farias
description The generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-11-19
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767
url http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/786
http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/787
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunha
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunha
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
text/html
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Journal of Engineering and Applied Research; Vol 6 No 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80
Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada; v. 6 n. 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80
2525-4251
10.25286/repa.v6i5
reponame:Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada
instname:Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)
instacron:UFPE
instname_str Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)
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institution UFPE
reponame_str Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada
collection Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||repa@poli.br
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