Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
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Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada |
Texto Completo: | http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767 |
Resumo: | The generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded. |
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Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada |
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Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern BrazilAplicação de Redes Neurais Artificiais na Predição de Geração de Energia Fotovoltaica no Nordeste do BrasilThe generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded.A geração de energia por meio de fontes sustentáveis ganha importância cada vez maior na atual configuração do mercado global. No Brasil a região Nordeste, por sua localização geográfica e características climáticas, apresenta maior estabilidade na produção de energia solar ao longo do ano. Por isso, se destaca entre as demais regiões e possui a maior capacidade instalada de usinas solares no território nacional. Desta forma, este trabalho tem como objetivo avaliar o uso de redes neurais artificiais como método para a predição de geração de energia fotovoltaica no Nordeste brasileiro. Para isso foram coletados e pré-processados os dados climáticos e de geração de energia disponíveis na cidade de Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia. E, após processados, os resultados de predição obtidos por meio das redes Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) e Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) foram comparados com os do método linear clássico ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Por fim, observa-se o bom resultado obtido pelas redes neurais como ferramentas para predição de energia fotovoltaica.Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco2021-11-19info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmlhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767Journal of Engineering and Applied Research; Vol 6 No 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada; v. 6 n. 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-802525-425110.25286/repa.v6i5reponame:Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicadainstname:Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)instacron:UFPEporhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/786http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/787Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunhahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCunha, Henrique QueirozSobel, Leonardo Farias2021-11-25T12:22:35Zoai:ojs.poli.br:article/1767Revistahttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repaONGhttp://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/oai||repa@poli.br2525-42512525-4251opendoar:2021-11-25T12:22:35Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil Aplicação de Redes Neurais Artificiais na Predição de Geração de Energia Fotovoltaica no Nordeste do Brasil |
title |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil Cunha, Henrique Queiroz |
title_short |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
title_full |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
title_sort |
Application of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Northeastern Brazil |
author |
Cunha, Henrique Queiroz |
author_facet |
Cunha, Henrique Queiroz Sobel, Leonardo Farias |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Sobel, Leonardo Farias |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Cunha, Henrique Queiroz Sobel, Leonardo Farias |
description |
The generation of energy through sustainable sources is becoming increasingly important in the current global market configuration. In Brazil, the Northeast region, due to its geographical location and climatic characteristics, has a best stability in the production of solar energy throughout the year. For this reason, it stands out among the other regions and has the largest installed capacity of solar plants in the country. Thus, this paper aims to evaluate the use of artificiais neurais networks as a method for predicting the generation of photovoltaic energy in the Brazilian Northeast. For this, the climatic and energy generation data available in the city of Bom Jesus da Lapa/ Bahia were collected and pre-processed. And, after processing, the prediction results obtained using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks were compared with those of the classical linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method and showed good performance. Finally, the good result obtained by neural networks as tools for photovoltaic solar energy prediction is observaded. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-11-19 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767 |
url |
http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/786 http://revistas.poli.br/index.php/repa/article/view/1767/787 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunha http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2021 Leonardo Farias Sobel, Henrique Queiroz Cunha http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola Politécnica de Pernambuco |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Engineering and Applied Research; Vol 6 No 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80 Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada; v. 6 n. 5 (2021): Edição Especial em Ciência de Dados e Analytics; 73-80 2525-4251 10.25286/repa.v6i5 reponame:Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada instname:Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE) instacron:UFPE |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE) |
instacron_str |
UFPE |
institution |
UFPE |
reponame_str |
Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada |
collection |
Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Engenharia e Pesquisa Aplicada - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||repa@poli.br |
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1798036000410173440 |