Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Mourão, Paulo
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Martinho, Vítor Domingues
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista de Sociologia e Política
Texto Completo: https://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506
Resumo: ABSTRACT Introduction: In this study, we evaluated the proportional risk of Portuguese Prime-Ministers and Ministers leaving office. Materials and Methods: We used consecutive days in office for each one of the 432 citizens who served in a ministerial function since 1976. Results: Exploring several divisions in this population, we concluded that individuals supported by parliamentary majorities, who served after 1986, who had higher educational credentials, and who were members of political parties exhibited lower risks of being exonerated. Conversely, being an aged person, serving during bad economic conditions, assuming several ministries simultaneously and being in charge of too-specific ministries did not ensure longer political tenures for Portuguese ministers. Discussion: Besides being the first empirical assessment of all Portuguese Ministers after 1974, this work shows how higher skills are important assets for Ministers’ tenures and how economic crises are highly stimulating for cabinets’ changes in Portugal, which corresponds to the pattern observed in most recent democratic regimens.KEYWORDS: ministerial cabinet; Portuguese constitutional governments; determinants of political survival; proportional hazard; gender.
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spelling Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional GovernmentsABSTRACT Introduction: In this study, we evaluated the proportional risk of Portuguese Prime-Ministers and Ministers leaving office. Materials and Methods: We used consecutive days in office for each one of the 432 citizens who served in a ministerial function since 1976. Results: Exploring several divisions in this population, we concluded that individuals supported by parliamentary majorities, who served after 1986, who had higher educational credentials, and who were members of political parties exhibited lower risks of being exonerated. Conversely, being an aged person, serving during bad economic conditions, assuming several ministries simultaneously and being in charge of too-specific ministries did not ensure longer political tenures for Portuguese ministers. Discussion: Besides being the first empirical assessment of all Portuguese Ministers after 1974, this work shows how higher skills are important assets for Ministers’ tenures and how economic crises are highly stimulating for cabinets’ changes in Portugal, which corresponds to the pattern observed in most recent democratic regimens.KEYWORDS: ministerial cabinet; Portuguese constitutional governments; determinants of political survival; proportional hazard; gender.UFPRMourão, PauloMartinho, Vítor Domingues2020-12-15info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506Revista de Sociologia e Política; v. 28, n. 73 (2020): MARÇO; 1-221678-98730104-4478reponame:Revista de Sociologia e Políticainstname:Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR)instacron:UFPRporhttps://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506/42340Direitos autorais 2020 Revista de Sociologia e Políticainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2020-12-15T20:06:14Zoai:revistas.ufpr.br:article/78506Revistahttps://revistas.ufpr.br/rspPUBhttps://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/oai||editoriarsp@ufpr.br1678-98730104-4478opendoar:2020-12-15T20:06:14Revista de Sociologia e Política - Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
title Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
spellingShingle Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
Mourão, Paulo
title_short Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
title_full Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
title_fullStr Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
title_full_unstemmed Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
title_sort Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
author Mourão, Paulo
author_facet Mourão, Paulo
Martinho, Vítor Domingues
author_role author
author2 Martinho, Vítor Domingues
author2_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Mourão, Paulo
Martinho, Vítor Domingues
description ABSTRACT Introduction: In this study, we evaluated the proportional risk of Portuguese Prime-Ministers and Ministers leaving office. Materials and Methods: We used consecutive days in office for each one of the 432 citizens who served in a ministerial function since 1976. Results: Exploring several divisions in this population, we concluded that individuals supported by parliamentary majorities, who served after 1986, who had higher educational credentials, and who were members of political parties exhibited lower risks of being exonerated. Conversely, being an aged person, serving during bad economic conditions, assuming several ministries simultaneously and being in charge of too-specific ministries did not ensure longer political tenures for Portuguese ministers. Discussion: Besides being the first empirical assessment of all Portuguese Ministers after 1974, this work shows how higher skills are important assets for Ministers’ tenures and how economic crises are highly stimulating for cabinets’ changes in Portugal, which corresponds to the pattern observed in most recent democratic regimens.KEYWORDS: ministerial cabinet; Portuguese constitutional governments; determinants of political survival; proportional hazard; gender.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-12-15
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506
url https://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.ufpr.br/rsp/article/view/78506/42340
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Direitos autorais 2020 Revista de Sociologia e Política
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Direitos autorais 2020 Revista de Sociologia e Política
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFPR
publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFPR
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista de Sociologia e Política; v. 28, n. 73 (2020): MARÇO; 1-22
1678-9873
0104-4478
reponame:Revista de Sociologia e Política
instname:Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR)
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reponame_str Revista de Sociologia e Política
collection Revista de Sociologia e Política
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista de Sociologia e Política - Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||editoriarsp@ufpr.br
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