CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Koshiyama, Daniel
Data de Publicação: 2013
Outros Autores: Fochezatto, Adelar
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Análise Econômica (Online)
Texto Completo: https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/25181
Resumo: The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between international trade and growth for the case of Brazil in the period of 1947-2006. For this, we apply the procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to test for the Granger non-causality hypotheses. In order to ensure the reliability of the results, the non-causality test is carried out beyond the standard bivariate model and several alternative specifications are employed. We find robust evidence that exports positively Granger-cause GDP.
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spelling CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMYRELAÇÕES DE CAUSALIDADE ENTRE COMÉRCIO EXTERNO E CRESCIMENTO NO LONGO PRAZO: EVIDÊNCIAS EMPÍRICAS PARA A ECONOMIA BRASILEIRAInternational tradeEconomic growthGranger causalityF43F49O54Comércio externoCrescimento econômicoCausalidade de GrangerEconomia BrasileiraComércio ExternoCrescimento EconômicoCausalidade de GrangerThe aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between international trade and growth for the case of Brazil in the period of 1947-2006. For this, we apply the procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to test for the Granger non-causality hypotheses. In order to ensure the reliability of the results, the non-causality test is carried out beyond the standard bivariate model and several alternative specifications are employed. We find robust evidence that exports positively Granger-cause GDP.O objetivo deste artigo é investigar a relação de causalidade entre comércio externo e crescimento na economia brasileira no período 1947-2006. Para isso, aplica-se o teste de não causalidade de Granger, conforme a metodologia proposta por Toda e Yamamoto (1995). Para assegurar a confiabilidade dos resultados, diversas especificações alternativas são empregadas. Entre os resultados obtidos, o mais robusto é o de que as exportações Granger-causam positivamente o crescimento econômico.UFRGS2013-04-03info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/2518110.22456/2176-5456.25181Análise Econômica; Vol. 31 No. 59 (2013): março de 2013Análise Econômica; v. 31 n. 59 (2013): março de 20132176-54560102-9924reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/25181/24672Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômicainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessKoshiyama, DanielFochezatto, Adelar2013-09-13T18:27:13Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/25181Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomicaPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/oai||rae@ufrgs.br2176-54560102-9924opendoar:2013-09-13T18:27:13Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
RELAÇÕES DE CAUSALIDADE ENTRE COMÉRCIO EXTERNO E CRESCIMENTO NO LONGO PRAZO: EVIDÊNCIAS EMPÍRICAS PARA A ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA
title CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
spellingShingle CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
Koshiyama, Daniel
International trade
Economic growth
Granger causality
F43
F49
O54
Comércio externo
Crescimento econômico
Causalidade de Granger
Economia Brasileira
Comércio Externo
Crescimento Econômico
Causalidade de Granger
title_short CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
title_full CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
title_fullStr CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
title_full_unstemmed CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
title_sort CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN GROWTH AND FOREIGN TRADE IN THE LONG RUN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
author Koshiyama, Daniel
author_facet Koshiyama, Daniel
Fochezatto, Adelar
author_role author
author2 Fochezatto, Adelar
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Koshiyama, Daniel
Fochezatto, Adelar
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv International trade
Economic growth
Granger causality
F43
F49
O54
Comércio externo
Crescimento econômico
Causalidade de Granger
Economia Brasileira
Comércio Externo
Crescimento Econômico
Causalidade de Granger
topic International trade
Economic growth
Granger causality
F43
F49
O54
Comércio externo
Crescimento econômico
Causalidade de Granger
Economia Brasileira
Comércio Externo
Crescimento Econômico
Causalidade de Granger
description The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between international trade and growth for the case of Brazil in the period of 1947-2006. For this, we apply the procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to test for the Granger non-causality hypotheses. In order to ensure the reliability of the results, the non-causality test is carried out beyond the standard bivariate model and several alternative specifications are employed. We find robust evidence that exports positively Granger-cause GDP.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2013-04-03
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/25181
10.22456/2176-5456.25181
url https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/25181
identifier_str_mv 10.22456/2176-5456.25181
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/25181/24672
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Análise Econômica; Vol. 31 No. 59 (2013): março de 2013
Análise Econômica; v. 31 n. 59 (2013): março de 2013
2176-5456
0102-9924
reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)
instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron:UFRGS
instname_str Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron_str UFRGS
institution UFRGS
reponame_str Análise Econômica (Online)
collection Análise Econômica (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||rae@ufrgs.br
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