Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Silva Júnior, José Alexandre
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Nascimento, Willber Silva, Lima, Albany, Omena, Widyane
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista Debates
Texto Completo: https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/99047
Resumo: What is the effect of the magnitude in the Effective Number of Parties (NEP) of the election for Brazilian Senate? This paper analyzes the relationship between the electoral and partisan systems in Brazil. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the effective number of parties. We believe that Senate elections are a good laboratory to test Duverger's propositions because they maintain the electoral formula but allow for a switch in magnitude. Methodologically, we analyzed data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for the last six elections (1998-2018). We used descriptive and inferential statistical techniques to estimate the magnitude effect, controlling for some other variables. The main results indicate that: 1) the magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the NEP; 2) the Duvergerian balance is more frequent in elections of one third; 3) concurrent elections have a significant effect on the NEP.
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spelling Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil¿Ley es ley? Maurice Duverger y las elecciones al Senado en BrasilLei é lei? Maurice Duverger e as eleições para o Senado no BrasilLei de DuvergerNúmero Efetivo de PartidosMagnitude dos DistritosSenado BrasileiroPartidos PolíticosDuverger LawEffective Number of PartiesDistrict MagnitudeBrazilian SenatePolitical PartiesLey de DuvergerNúmero Efectivo de PartidosMagnitud del DistritoSenado BrasileñoPartidos PoliticosWhat is the effect of the magnitude in the Effective Number of Parties (NEP) of the election for Brazilian Senate? This paper analyzes the relationship between the electoral and partisan systems in Brazil. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the effective number of parties. We believe that Senate elections are a good laboratory to test Duverger's propositions because they maintain the electoral formula but allow for a switch in magnitude. Methodologically, we analyzed data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for the last six elections (1998-2018). We used descriptive and inferential statistical techniques to estimate the magnitude effect, controlling for some other variables. The main results indicate that: 1) the magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the NEP; 2) the Duvergerian balance is more frequent in elections of one third; 3) concurrent elections have a significant effect on the NEP.¿Cuál es el efecto de la magnitud en el Número Efectivo de Partidos (NEP) de la elección para el Senado brasileño? Este artículo analiza la relación entre los sistemas electoral y partidista en Brasil. Específicamente, probamos la hipótesis de que la magnitud tiene un efecto positivo y significativo sobre el número efectivo de partidos. Creemos que las elecciones al Senado son un buen laboratorio para probar las propuestas de Duverger porque mantienen la fórmula electoral pero permiten un cambio de magnitud. Metodológicamente, analizamos los datos del Tribunal Superior Electoral (TSE) de las últimas seis elecciones (1998-2018). Utilizamos técnicas estadísticas descriptivas e inferenciales para estimar el efecto de magnitud, controlando algunas otras variables. Los principales resultados indican que: 1) la magnitud tiene un efecto positivo y significativo en el NEP; 2) el equilibrio duvergeriano es más frecuente en elecciones de un tercio; 3) las elecciones concurrentes tienen un efecto significativo en la NEP.Qual o efeito da magnitude sobre o Número Efetivo de Partidos (NEP) da eleição para o Senado brasileiro? Este artigo analisa a relação entre os sistemas eleitoral e partidário no Brasil. Especificamente, testamos a hipótese de que a magnitude exerce um efeito positivo e significativo sobre o número efetivo de partidos. Acreditamos que as eleições para o Senado são um bom laboratório para testar as proposições de Duverger porque mantêm a fórmula eleitoral, mas permitem uma alternância na magnitude. Metodologicamente, analisamos dados do Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) referentes às seis últimas eleições (1998-2018). Utilizamos técnicas de estatística descritiva e inferencial para estimar o efeito da magnitude controlando por outras variáveis. Os principais resultados apontam que: 1) a magnitude exerce um efeito positivo e significativo no NEP; 2) o equilíbrio duvergeriano é mais frequente em eleições de um terço; 3) eleições simultâneas exercem um efeito significativo no NEP.UFRGS2020-08-27info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionPesquisa Quantitativaapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/9904710.22456/1982-5269.99047Revista Debates; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 (2020): Dossier Homenaje a Sonia Maria Ranincheski; 153-180Revista Debates; v. 14 n. 2 (2020): Dossiê Homenagem à Sonia Maria Ranincheski; 153-1801982-52692236-479Xreponame:Revista Debatesinstname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/99047/58253Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Debatesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSilva Júnior, José AlexandreNascimento, Willber SilvaLima, AlbanyOmena, Widyane2020-08-31T17:04:07Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/99047Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/debatesPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/debates/oai1982-52692236-479Xopendoar:2020-08-31T17:04:07Revista Debates - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
¿Ley es ley? Maurice Duverger y las elecciones al Senado en Brasil
Lei é lei? Maurice Duverger e as eleições para o Senado no Brasil
title Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
spellingShingle Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
Silva Júnior, José Alexandre
Lei de Duverger
Número Efetivo de Partidos
Magnitude dos Distritos
Senado Brasileiro
Partidos Políticos
Duverger Law
Effective Number of Parties
District Magnitude
Brazilian Senate
Political Parties
Ley de Duverger
Número Efectivo de Partidos
Magnitud del Distrito
Senado Brasileño
Partidos Politicos
title_short Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
title_full Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
title_fullStr Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
title_sort Law is law? Maurice Duverger and the Senate election in Brazil
author Silva Júnior, José Alexandre
author_facet Silva Júnior, José Alexandre
Nascimento, Willber Silva
Lima, Albany
Omena, Widyane
author_role author
author2 Nascimento, Willber Silva
Lima, Albany
Omena, Widyane
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Silva Júnior, José Alexandre
Nascimento, Willber Silva
Lima, Albany
Omena, Widyane
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Lei de Duverger
Número Efetivo de Partidos
Magnitude dos Distritos
Senado Brasileiro
Partidos Políticos
Duverger Law
Effective Number of Parties
District Magnitude
Brazilian Senate
Political Parties
Ley de Duverger
Número Efectivo de Partidos
Magnitud del Distrito
Senado Brasileño
Partidos Politicos
topic Lei de Duverger
Número Efetivo de Partidos
Magnitude dos Distritos
Senado Brasileiro
Partidos Políticos
Duverger Law
Effective Number of Parties
District Magnitude
Brazilian Senate
Political Parties
Ley de Duverger
Número Efectivo de Partidos
Magnitud del Distrito
Senado Brasileño
Partidos Politicos
description What is the effect of the magnitude in the Effective Number of Parties (NEP) of the election for Brazilian Senate? This paper analyzes the relationship between the electoral and partisan systems in Brazil. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the effective number of parties. We believe that Senate elections are a good laboratory to test Duverger's propositions because they maintain the electoral formula but allow for a switch in magnitude. Methodologically, we analyzed data from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for the last six elections (1998-2018). We used descriptive and inferential statistical techniques to estimate the magnitude effect, controlling for some other variables. The main results indicate that: 1) the magnitude has a positive and significant effect on the NEP; 2) the Duvergerian balance is more frequent in elections of one third; 3) concurrent elections have a significant effect on the NEP.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-08-27
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Pesquisa Quantitativa
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/99047
10.22456/1982-5269.99047
url https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/99047
identifier_str_mv 10.22456/1982-5269.99047
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/debates/article/view/99047/58253
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Debates
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Debates
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista Debates; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 (2020): Dossier Homenaje a Sonia Maria Ranincheski; 153-180
Revista Debates; v. 14 n. 2 (2020): Dossiê Homenagem à Sonia Maria Ranincheski; 153-180
1982-5269
2236-479X
reponame:Revista Debates
instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron:UFRGS
instname_str Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron_str UFRGS
institution UFRGS
reponame_str Revista Debates
collection Revista Debates
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Debates - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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