Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFRN |
Texto Completo: | https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/30631 |
Resumo: | There are many technologies that may emerge and eventually disappear over the years. This fact makes the monitoring of technological trends as well as the anticipation of the direction of technological change paramount. This article aims to carry out the prospection of technologies, focusing on its technical‐commercial viability, for solar photovoltaic energy. The research method had a qualititative‐quantitative approach with application of the Delphi technique. In the conduction of the Delphi technique, seven steps were followed, ranging from the selection of the specialists to the considerations of their opinions regarding the future of nine photovoltaic technologies. The results of the research indicate that in 2020, the cells monocrystalline, multicrystalline, and amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper selenide, indium, and gallium diselenide; and multicompound III‐V cells will have technical and commercial viability and that dye‐sensitized silicon nanowire and carbon nanostructure‐based cells will not be viable. For the year 2025, monocrystalline and multicrystalline silicon cells and those of multicompounds III‐V will still be technically and commercially viable. Silicon nanowire; amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper, selenium, and gallium diselenide dye‐sensitized cells; and organic photovoltaic cells, including those based on carbon nanostructure, may be viable. This study is important, because the technological prospecting of the photovoltaic cells determines the possible trajectories of these cells, in a way that helps the companies of the sector to anticipate the strategic scenarios, thus facilitating the decision making process |
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Sampaio, Priscila Gonçalves VasconcelosGonzález, Mário Orestes AguirreVasconcelos, Rafael MonteiroSantos, Marllen Aylla TeixeiraVdal, Priscila da Cunha JácomePereira, Jonathan Paulo PinheiroSanti, Éverton2020-11-23T14:38:35Z2020-11-23T14:38:35Z2019-11-11SAMPAIO, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos; GONZÁLEZ, Mário Orestes Aguirre; VASCONCELOS, Rafael Monteiro de; SANTOS, Marllen Aylla Teixeira dos; VIDAL, Priscila da Cunha Jácome; PEREIRA, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro; SANTI, Everton. Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical⠰commercial viability. International Journal Of Energy Research, [S.L.], v. 44, n. 2, p. 651-668, 11 nov. 2019. Disponível em: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/er.4957. Acesso em: 08 set. 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/er.4957.0363-907X1099-114Xhttps://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/3063110.1002/er.4957WileyAttribution 3.0 Brazilhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/br/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessTechnical‐commercial viabilityTechnological prospectingDelphi techniquePhotovoltaic solar energyProspecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viabilityinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleThere are many technologies that may emerge and eventually disappear over the years. This fact makes the monitoring of technological trends as well as the anticipation of the direction of technological change paramount. This article aims to carry out the prospection of technologies, focusing on its technical‐commercial viability, for solar photovoltaic energy. The research method had a qualititative‐quantitative approach with application of the Delphi technique. In the conduction of the Delphi technique, seven steps were followed, ranging from the selection of the specialists to the considerations of their opinions regarding the future of nine photovoltaic technologies. The results of the research indicate that in 2020, the cells monocrystalline, multicrystalline, and amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper selenide, indium, and gallium diselenide; and multicompound III‐V cells will have technical and commercial viability and that dye‐sensitized silicon nanowire and carbon nanostructure‐based cells will not be viable. For the year 2025, monocrystalline and multicrystalline silicon cells and those of multicompounds III‐V will still be technically and commercially viable. Silicon nanowire; amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper, selenium, and gallium diselenide dye‐sensitized cells; and organic photovoltaic cells, including those based on carbon nanostructure, may be viable. 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
title |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
spellingShingle |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability Sampaio, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos Technical‐commercial viability Technological prospecting Delphi technique Photovoltaic solar energy |
title_short |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
title_full |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
title_fullStr |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
title_full_unstemmed |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
title_sort |
Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical‐commercial viability |
author |
Sampaio, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos |
author_facet |
Sampaio, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos González, Mário Orestes Aguirre Vasconcelos, Rafael Monteiro Santos, Marllen Aylla Teixeira Vdal, Priscila da Cunha Jácome Pereira, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro Santi, Éverton |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
González, Mário Orestes Aguirre Vasconcelos, Rafael Monteiro Santos, Marllen Aylla Teixeira Vdal, Priscila da Cunha Jácome Pereira, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro Santi, Éverton |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Sampaio, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos González, Mário Orestes Aguirre Vasconcelos, Rafael Monteiro Santos, Marllen Aylla Teixeira Vdal, Priscila da Cunha Jácome Pereira, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro Santi, Éverton |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Technical‐commercial viability Technological prospecting Delphi technique Photovoltaic solar energy |
topic |
Technical‐commercial viability Technological prospecting Delphi technique Photovoltaic solar energy |
description |
There are many technologies that may emerge and eventually disappear over the years. This fact makes the monitoring of technological trends as well as the anticipation of the direction of technological change paramount. This article aims to carry out the prospection of technologies, focusing on its technical‐commercial viability, for solar photovoltaic energy. The research method had a qualititative‐quantitative approach with application of the Delphi technique. In the conduction of the Delphi technique, seven steps were followed, ranging from the selection of the specialists to the considerations of their opinions regarding the future of nine photovoltaic technologies. The results of the research indicate that in 2020, the cells monocrystalline, multicrystalline, and amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper selenide, indium, and gallium diselenide; and multicompound III‐V cells will have technical and commercial viability and that dye‐sensitized silicon nanowire and carbon nanostructure‐based cells will not be viable. For the year 2025, monocrystalline and multicrystalline silicon cells and those of multicompounds III‐V will still be technically and commercially viable. Silicon nanowire; amorphous silicon; cadmium telluride; indium/copper, selenium, and gallium diselenide dye‐sensitized cells; and organic photovoltaic cells, including those based on carbon nanostructure, may be viable. This study is important, because the technological prospecting of the photovoltaic cells determines the possible trajectories of these cells, in a way that helps the companies of the sector to anticipate the strategic scenarios, thus facilitating the decision making process |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2019-11-11 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2020-11-23T14:38:35Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2020-11-23T14:38:35Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
SAMPAIO, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos; GONZÁLEZ, Mário Orestes Aguirre; VASCONCELOS, Rafael Monteiro de; SANTOS, Marllen Aylla Teixeira dos; VIDAL, Priscila da Cunha Jácome; PEREIRA, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro; SANTI, Everton. Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical⠰commercial viability. International Journal Of Energy Research, [S.L.], v. 44, n. 2, p. 651-668, 11 nov. 2019. Disponível em: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/er.4957. Acesso em: 08 set. 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/er.4957. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/30631 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
0363-907X 1099-114X |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1002/er.4957 |
identifier_str_mv |
SAMPAIO, Priscila Gonçalves Vasconcelos; GONZÁLEZ, Mário Orestes Aguirre; VASCONCELOS, Rafael Monteiro de; SANTOS, Marllen Aylla Teixeira dos; VIDAL, Priscila da Cunha Jácome; PEREIRA, Jonathan Paulo Pinheiro; SANTI, Everton. Prospecting technologies for photovoltaic solar energy: overview of its technical⠰commercial viability. International Journal Of Energy Research, [S.L.], v. 44, n. 2, p. 651-668, 11 nov. 2019. Disponível em: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/er.4957. Acesso em: 08 set. 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/er.4957. 0363-907X 1099-114X 10.1002/er.4957 |
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https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/30631 |
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eng |
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Attribution 3.0 Brazil http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/br/ |
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openAccess |
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Wiley |
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Wiley |
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